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SR-07-14-1998-8AF:IHOUSINGISHAREIWPFILESISTAFFRPT\INCLord1 stread.WPD JUL ' Council Meeting: July 14, 1998 Santa Monica, California TO: Mayor and Members of the City Council FROM: City Staff SUBJECT: Recommendation to Introduce for First Reading an Ordinance Adding Chapter 9.56 to the Santa Monica Municipal Code Establishing an Affordable Housing Production Program and to Review Nexus Study Introduction This staff report recommends that the City Council introduce for first reading an ordinance that will implement a new Affordable Housing Production Program to replace the City's current Inclusionary Housing Program (Ordinance 1615). The proposed new program requires developers of market -rate multifamily housing to assist in the production of affordable housing through payment of an affordable housing development fee, development of on-site affordable units or through other specified options. This report also recommends that the City Council review the Nexus Study prepared by the consulting firm of Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. (HR&A) pursuant to Council's direction that staff develop an affordable housing fee alternative. Background On April 15, 1997, the City Council approved the 1998-2003 Housing Element Update in concept. Program 2,a of the Element requires review and revision of the City's Inclusionary Housing Ordinance. At the April 15' meeting, the Council also directed staff to develop a new affordable housing program. ' SR JUL 14 1998 During the past fifteen (15) months, HR&A has been working with staff to develop a new Affordable Housing Program as required by the City's adopted 19982003 Housing Element (see Program 2.a). After considerable research and analysis, and numerous public meetings, in February and March 1998, HR&A presented its preliminary recommendations for revising the program to the Planning and Housing Commissions. Staff, in turn, forwarded comments from the Planning and Housing Commissions to the City Council. On June 9, 1998, after considering the Planning and Housing Commissions' recommendations and public comment, the City Council directed the City Attorney to draft an ordinance implementing the Affordable Housing Production Program recommended in the HR&A Report, Recommendations for Revising the City of Santa Monica's Inclusionary Housing Program, dated April 6, 1998. At the same time, the City Council directed staff to conduct a joint meeting of the Housing and Planning Commissions to seek their input on the Proposed Affordable Housing Program ordinance. The proposed ordinance has been prepared in accordance with the City Council's directive. Summary of Proposed Affordable Housing Production Program Ordinance The Proposed Affordable Housing Production Program Ordinance (see Attachment B) would codify a new program with the following basic elements: F ■ Development Fee. Developers of market rate multifamily projects (i.e., two or more units) may elect to pay an affordable housing developmentfee to the City, assessed on a per -gross square foot basis. The fees will be pooled and leveraged with other available funding to develop affordable housing. Simulations of the feasibility of typical multifamily projects, undertaken as part of the constraint analysis, as well as the results of the Nexus Study indicate that there is a reasonable basis for varying the fee based on product type. Base fees will be established by Resolution of the City Council, after considering, among other factors, the economic impact of the fee on typical market rate multifamily development projects (constraints analysis) and the nexus between market rate multifamily development and the need for affordable housing. Establishing the base fee by resolution will allow the City Council to periodically adjust the fee, if appropriate, without amending the ordinance. This resolution will come before the City Council on July 21, 1998. G Fee Reductions as an Incentive to Encourage Development Which will not Result in Tenant Displacement. Most existing multi family residential developments in the City have rent levels that are affordable to low and moderate -income households. Therefore, to encourage residential development on sites that will not result in 3 tenant displacement, it is proposed that the fee be reduced for multifamily projects in the following circumstances: -- Projects proposed for sites in multifamily residential districts that are vacant at the time of the filing of the Planning permit application will be charged 75 percent of the affordable housing production fee; -- Projects on non-residential sites (i.e., commercial or. industrial zoning districts) will be charged 50 percent of the affordable housing production fee unless the project would replace multifamily housing existing on the site; - The affordable housing production fee will not be reduced for projects on developed sites in multifamily residential districts. ■ On -Site Affordable Housing Production Option. As an alternative to paying an affordable housing development fee, the developer of a new market rate multifamily project may satisfy the affordability requirement by meeting the minimum thresholds needed to qualify for the State -mandated density bonus (i.e., 10% affordable at 50% or less of Median Income, or 20% affordable at up to 60% of Median Income). Projects that satisfy the State density bonus requirement will continue to be entitled to additional zoning flexibilities under the City's Zoning Ordinance. State density bonus projects are eligible for a density increase and reduced parking 4 requirements, and may also apply for a variance to side yard setback requirements, front or rear yard setback requirements, and parcel coverage requirements. The proposed Affordable Housing Production Program ordinance also includes further specifications about the on-site affordable units (e.g., qualifying household incomes and minimum 2 -bedroom unit sizes). ■ Other Affordable Housing Production Options. Developers may also choose to perform other actions which assist in the production of affordable housing, such as off-site construction of affordable units within a specified radius of the market rate project or purchasing or optioning land for an affordable housing development. For off-site production, the proposed ordinance establishes the radius as one-quarter mile. It should be noted that under the current inclusionary housing program ordinance (Ordinance 1615) it is possible to satisfy the affordable housing requirement by deed - restricting 100 percent of the project units for moderate -income households. The new Affordable Housing Program Ordinance eliminates this option. In view of the loss of housing affordable to low- and very low-income households projected to result from the Costa -Hawkins vacancy decontrol legislation, the new program focuses on producing housing for low- and very -low income households only. 5 The draft Affordable Housing Production Program ordinance will be retroactive to March 1, 1998. This is consistent with the time when, at the direction of City Council, staff began to require as a standard condition of approval that new multifamily residential development comply with all applicable requirements of the new Affordable Housing Production Program. The proposed ordinance provides that eligibility priorities for occupying affordable units may be established administratively. Other elements of the program such as program administration and reporting requirements are similar to those contained in the existing program (Ordinance 1615). Nexus Fee Stud On June 9, 1998, the City Council reviewed the preliminary results of HR&A's analysis of the relationship between new market rate apartment and condominium development in the City and the need for affordable housing created by this new development. HR&A has has now completed that analysis ("Nexus Study"). The Nexus Study (see Attachment B) focuses on the relationship between the demand for goods and services created by households who occupy new market rate multifamily development in the City, the number of low-wage workers in public agencies and businesses needed to satisfy this demand, and the costs of producing the affordable housing needed by these workers. It should be noted that these fees are based in part upon the average subsidy gap to produce low- income rental units in the City. 0 The Nexus Study concludes that the average fee which can reasonably be charged to developers of new market rate apartments is $6.14 per gross square foot and the average fee which can reasonably be charged to developers of new market rate condominiums is $7.13 per square foot. The apartment and condominium fees are based upon averaging the two apartment prototypes and the two condominium prototypes, respectively. It is appropriate to base the affordable housing production fee on an average of the fee supported by these prototypes for the following reasons: (a) the Nexus Study analysis is based upon reasonable estimates of the affordable housing demand generated by prototypical new market rate apartment and condominiums, (b) the Nexus Study assumes that all households residing in each prototypical project's dwelling units exhibit average income and spending circumstances, and (c) there are pockets of lower-cost areas and higher -cost areas in each City submarket area. The Nexus Study also concludes that setting affordable housing production fees at the average of the prototype amounts would not constitute a "constraint" on new development within the meaning of State Housing Element law. Comments from Elul 8` Joint Planning/Housing Commission Meeting Per City Council direction, the Planning Commission and Housing Commission conducted a joint meeting on July 8, 1998 to review the draft Affordable Housing Program Production Ordinance and preliminary results of the Nexus Study. Comments from this meeting will be transmitted to the City Council in a Supplement to this Staff Report. 7 BudgetanLIFInancial Impact The amount of fee revenue produced as a result of these amendments depends on the number and scale of projects that apply for permits. Affordable housing fees collected pur- suant to a new ordinance would be deposited into a deferred revenue account until they can be programmed for use in accordance with established budget procedures and neces- sary Council approvals. Approval of the newAffordable Housing Production Program does not have a financial or budgetary impact at this time. '04�DPL'Pil . It is respectfully recommended that the City Council: 1) Introduce for First Reading an Ordinance Adding Chapter 9.65 to the Santa Monica Municipal Code Establishing an Affordable Housing Production Program; 2) Review the Nexus Study. Prepared by: Jeff Mathieu, Director of Resource Management Bob-Moncrief, Housing Manager Tad Read, Senior Development Analyst Attachments: A Proposed Ordinance Production Program B Nexus Study Establishing an Affordable Housing ATTACHMENT A I f:lattylmunillawlbarrylaifhsg.ord City Council Meeting 7-14-98 Santa Monica, California ORDINANCE NUMBER _ (CCS) (City Council Series) AN ORDINANCE OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF SANTA MONICA ADDING CHAPTER 9.56 TO THE SANTA MONICA MUNICIPAL CODE ESTABLISHING AN AFFORDABLE HOUSING PRODUCTION PROGRAM THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF SANTA MONICA DOES ORDAIN AS FOLLOWS: SECTION 1. Chapter 9.56 is hereby added to the Santa Monica Municipal Code to read as follows: CHAPTER 9.56 AFFORDABLE HOUSING PRODUCTION PROGRAM 9.56.010. Findings and Purpose. (a) Santa Monica is a coastal city in a prime location, being bordered by the City of Los Angeles to the north, east and south. The combination of a scenic oceanside location, excellent climate, and the ready availability of urban facilities, services, and entertainment make Santa Monica an extremely desirable place to live. (b) The land area of the City is very small — approximately eight (8) square miles. Santa Monica is already a fully built -out city, with only sixty-two vacant residential parcels. It also has a population of approximately 90,000. Santa Monica's population density, 11,200 persons per square mile, is the second highest among neighboring and nearby jurisdictions, and is the densest among coastal communities in Los Angeles County. (c) The vast majority of new market rate multi -family development in the City is not affordable to lower-income households. Moreover, market conditions, including the high cost of residential land, construction costs, and the availability and cost of financing, make the development of affordable housing in the. City extremely difficult, (d) In addition, the consumption patterns of the upper-income households who occupy these new market rate multi -family housing units create a need for affordable housing in the City. More specifically, households create demand for goods and services in the private sector, such as retail goods and medical services, and jobs in the public sector, such as teachers and municipal services. The higher the household's income, the more demand is created. New market rate multi -family housing in Santa Monica accommodates upper-income households almost exclusively because of the high rent or purchase price required to occupy it. Supplying goods and services sufficient to meet the demand created by upper-income households in new market rate multi- family, housing requires workers across the pay scale spectrum, including lower -wage employees. (e) The City has prepared an analysis of this relationship between new market rate apartment and condominium development in the City and the need for affordable housing created by this new development. This study focuses on the relationship between the demand for goods and services created by households who occupy new market rate multi -family development in the City, the number of low-wage workers in public agencies and businesses needed to satisfy this demand, and the costs of producing the affordable housing needed by these workers. This study demonstrates the range per square foot which could be imposed on new market rate multi -family development to help finance the development of affordable housing needed to meet the demand created by market rate development. 2 (f) In addition, because the City is built -out, land available for residential development in the City is limited. Further, land which could be used for development of housing for low income households is being depleted by development of high cost housing. Thus, continued new residential development which does not include or contribute toward the cost of housing for lower income households will only serve to further exacerbate the current affordable housing shortage. (g) Requiring developers to assist in the production of affordable housing is also consistent with the City's long-standing commitment to achieve and maintain a suitable living environment including decent housing for persons at all economic levels. This municipal commitment conforms with State and Federal policies and is a principal goal of the City's recently adopted 1998-2003 Housing Element Update. (h) The City has historically effectuated this commitment through extraordinary efforts manifest in various City laws, policies and programs. For instance, the City's voters have adopted initiative measures which strive to maintain'and promote affordable housing in the City. The Rent Control Charter Amendment, adopted in 1979, has as its primary purpose the protection of affordable housing and has historically been the City's most important legislative tool for maintaining the supply of affordable housing. Similarly, Proposition R, adopted by the voters in 1990, mandates that thirty percent of all new multi -family housing units constructed in the City each year be affordable. (i) The City's zoning laws and policies also include substantial incentives for the production of affordable housing, including height and density bonuses and reduced parking requirements. In addition, the City operates a number of programs which facilitate the production of affordable housing. These include loans to private, for-profit developers and owners and funding to non-profit agencies to acquire or construct affordable housing units. 0) Despite the City's prime location and high real estate values, the City has historically been highly successful in maintaining its economic diversity. According to the 1998-2003 Update, 23 percent of the City's households are very low income, 16.1 percent are low income, 20.7 percent are moderate income, and 40.1 percent are upper income. Moreover, 53 percent of households residing in rent -controlled apartments are very low- and low-income. This diversity is an essential element of the City's character. It sets the City apart from all other similarly situated coastal cities in California. (k) However, notwithstanding the City's ongoing commitment and efforts, changes in State and Federal law and market conditions are making it increasingly difficult for the City to ensure a continued supply of affordable housing. In 1986, the State enacted the Ellis Act which enables a property owner to cease operating property as residential rental property. More recently, in 1995, the State enacted the Costa -Hawkins Rental Housing Act which phases out limits on the rents which a property owner may charge when re -renting voluntarily -vacated units. Except in limited circumstances, it eliminates the City's ability to control the rent a property owner can impose when a unit is initially rented. Although the full impacts of Costa -Hawkins will not be felt until 1999 and the years thereafter, studies prepared by the Santa Monica Rent Control Board tracking the rent levels of units decontrolled as a result of Costa -Hawkins demonstrates that these units are already losing their affordability. Thus, this law is having and will continue to have a significant impact on the City's supply of affordable housing. Moreover, there is an extremely low vacancy rate for the existing rental housing stock. In addition, reductions in State 4 and federal funding for affordable housing, changes in these programs, and the potential expiration of controls on rents in federally -assisted projects all hinder the City's ability to provide or promote affordable housing. In short, changes in State and federal law seriously threaten the City's existing affordable housing stock. The decline in the affordability of this housing stock is further exacerbated by the production of luxury market rate housing. Given current economic conditions and the general desirability of the City, the new housing costs will only continue to increase, thereby further exacerbating the growing shortage of housing affordable to very low - and low-income households in the City. (1) California's Housing Element law requires each city and county to develop local housing programs designed to address its "fair share" of existing and future housing needs for all income groups. The City's 1998-2003 Housing Element Update establishes the City's fair share at 3,219 housing units of which 1,369 (43%) should be affordable to very low- and low-income households. (m) The Housing Element Update catalogues a dozen funding sources that the City utilizes to assist in the development of affordable housing. These substantial resources are projected to assist in the development of 403 new units affordable to low- and moderate- income households. However, this represents only twenty-one (21%) of the estimated need for new affordable housing in the City as established by the City's fair share. Consequently, the total housing needs of the City exceed the City's available resources and the City's ability to meet these needs. The vast majority of housing units have been and wilt continue to be produced by the private housing industry. (n) This Affordable Housing Production Program will benefit the City as a whole. Each development which contributes to affordable housing through the provisions of this Chapter augments the City's housing mix, helps to increase the supply of housing for all economic segments of the community, addresses the affordable housing need generated by the development, and thereby supports a balanced community which is beneficial to the public health, safety and welfare of the City. 9.56.020. Definitions. The -following words or phrases as used in this Chapter shall have the following meanings: Affordable Housing Fee. A fee paid to the City by a multifamily project applicant pursuant to Section 9.56.070 of this Chapter to. assist the City in the production of housing affordable to very low- and low-income households. Affordable Housing Unit. A housing unit developed by a multifamily project applicant pursuant to Sections 9.56.050 or 9.56.060 of this Chapter which will be affordable to very low- or low-income households. Dwelling Unit. One or more rooms, designed, occupied, or intended for occupancy as separate living quarters, with full cooking, sleeping, and bathroom facilities for the exclusive use of a single household. Dwelling unit shall also include single room occupancy units as defined in Santa Monica Municipal Code Section 9.04.02.030.790. Floor Area. Floor area as defined in Santa Monica Municipal Code Section 9.04.02.030.315. HUD. The United States Department of Housing and Urban Development or its successor. 0 Income Eligibility. The gross annual household income considering household size and number of dependents, income of all wage earners, elderly or disabled family members, and all other sources of household income. "Low" and "Very Low" Income Levels. Income levels determined periodically by the City based on the United States Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) estimate of median family income in the Los Angeles -Long Beach Primary Metropolitan Statistical Area. The major income categories are: "low income" (sixty percent or less of the area median) and "very low income" (fifty percent or less of the area median). Adjustment shall be made by household size as established by the City. Market Rate Unit. A dwelling unit as to which the rental rate or sales price is not restricted by this Chapter. Maximum Affordable Rent. A monthly housing charge which does not exceed one - twelfth of thirty percent of the maximum very low- and low- income levels as defined in this Chapter and adopted each year by the City. This charge shall represent full consideration for housing services and amenities as provided to market rate dwelling units in the project, whether or not occupants of market rate dwelling units pay separate charges for such services and amenities. Housing services and common area amenities include, but are not limited to, the following: parking, use of common facilities including pools or health spas, and utilities if the project is master -metered. Notwithstanding the foregoing, utility charges for use of natural gas and electricity, to the extent individually metered for each unit in the project, may be passed through or billed directly to the occupants of affordable housing units in the project in addition to maximum allowable rents collected for those affordable housing units. 7 Multifamily District. Any zoning district in which multifamily dwelling units are a permitted use. Multifamily Project. A multifamily residential development, including but not limited to apartments, condominiums, townhouses, or the multifamily residential component of a mixed-use project, for which City permits and approvals are sought. Multifamily Project Applicant. Any person, firm, partnership, association, joint venture, corporation, or any entity or combination of entities which seeks City development permits or approvals to developed a multifamily project. 9.56.030. Applicability of Chapter (a) The obligations established by this Chapter shall apply to each multifamily project for which a development application was deemed complete on or after March 1, 1998 involving the construction of two or more market rate units. No building permit shall be issued for any multifamily project unless such construction has been approved in accordance with the standards and procedures provided for by this Chapter. (b) Multifamily projects for which a development application was deemed complete prior to March 1, 1998 shall be subject to the provisions of Santa Monica Municipal Code Section 9.28 et seq. as they existed on the date the application for the project was deemed complete. Section 9.56.040. Affordable Housing Obligation All multifamily project applicants subject to the provisions of this Chapter pursuant to Section 9.56.030 shall choose one of the following options to meet the requirements of this Chapter: 8 (a) Providing affordable housing'units on-site in accordance with Section 9.56.050. (b) Providing affordable housing units off-site in accordance with Section 9.56.060. (c) Paying an affordable housing fee in accordance with Section 9.56,070: (d) Acquiring land for affordable housing in accordance with Section 9.56.080. A multifamily project application will not be deemed complete until the applicant has submitted plans and proposals which demonstrate the manner in which the requirements of this Chapter will be met. Section 9.56.050. On -Site Option A multifamily project applicant may meet the affordable housing obligations established by this Chapter by providing affordable housing units on-site in accordance with the following requirements: (a) The multifamily project applicant agrees to construct at least (i) twenty percent (20%) of the total units of a project for low income households or (ii) ten percent (10%) of the total units of a project for very low income households. Any fractional affordable housing unit that result from the formulas of this subsection (a) shall be treated as a whole affordable housing unit (i.e.: any resulting fraction shall be rounded up to the next larger integer) and that unit shall also be built pursuant to the provisions of this section. The Planning and Community Development Department shall make available a list of very low and low income levels adjusted for household size, the corresponding maximum affordable rents adjusted by number of bedrooms, and the minimum number of very low- or low-income units required for typical sizes of multi -family projects, which list shall be updated periodically. 6 (b) The multifamily project applicant may reduce either the size or interior amenities of the affordable housing units as long as there are not significant identifiable differences between affordable housing units and market rate units visible from the exterior of the dwelling units, provided that all dwelling units conform to the requirements of the applicable Building and Housing Codes. However, each affordable housing unit provided shall have at least two bedrooms unless (i) the proposed project comprises at least ninety-five (95%) one bedroom units, excluding the manager's unit, in which case the affordable housing units may be one bedroom or (ii) the proposed project comprises at least ninety-five percent (95%) SRO units in which case the affordable housing units may be SRO units. The size and design of the affordable housing units shall be reasonably consistent with the market rate units in the project. In no event shall an affordable housing unit have a minimum total floor area, depending upon the number of bedrooms provided, less than the following: 0 Bedrooms 500 Square Feet 1 Bedroom 600 Square Feet 2 Bedrooms 850 Square Feet 3 Bedrooms 1080 Square Feet 4 Bedrooms 1200 Square Feet Affordable housing units in multifamily projects of one hundred (100) units or more must be evenly disbursed throughout the multifamily project to prevent undue concentrations of affordable housing units. 10 (c) All affordable housing units in a multifamily project or a phase of a multifamily project shall be constructed concurrently with the construction of market rate units in the multifamily project or phase of that project. (d) On-site affordable housing units must be rental units in rental projects. In ownership projects, affordable housing units may be either rental units or ownership units. Affordable housing ownership units shall comply with requirements concerning sales price, monthly payment, and limited equity and resale restrictions as established by resolution of the City Council to ensure that subsequent purchasers are also income -qualified households. (e) Each multifamily project applicant, or his/her successor, shall submit an annual report to the City identifying which units are affordable units, the monthly rent (or total housing cost if an ownership unit), vacancy information for each affordable unit for the prior year, verification of income of the household occupying each affordable unit throughout the prior year, and such other information as may be required by City staff. (f) A multifamily project applicant who meets the requirements of this Section shall be entitled to the density bonus development standards established in Santa Monica Municipal Code Section 9.04.10.14.040. (g) All residential developments providing affordable housing on-site pursuant to the provisions of this Section shall receive priority building department plan check processing by which housing developments shall have plan check review in advance of other pending developments to the extent authorized by law, 11 Section 9.56.060. Off-site Option. A multifamily project applicant may meet the affordable housing obligations established by this Chapter by providing affordable housing units off-site in accordance with the following requirements: (a) The multifamily project applicant shall agree to construct the same number of affordable housing units as specified in Section 9.56.050. (b) The multifamily project applicant shall identify an alternate site suitable for residential housing which the project applicant either owns or has site.control over (e.g., purchase agreement, option to purchase, lease) subject to City review to ensure that the proposed development is consistent with the City's housing objectives and projects. units. (c) The off-site units shall be located within a one-quarter mile radius of the market rate (d) The off-site units shall satisfy the requirements of subsections (b) -(f) of Section 9.56.050. (e) The off-site units shall not count towards the satisfaction of any affordable housing obligation that development of the alternative site with market rate units would otherwise be subject to pursuant to this Chapter. (f) Exceptions to the location of the off-site units specified in this Section may be granted by the Planning Commission on a case-by-case basis upon a showing by the multifamily project applicant, based upon substantial evidence, that the location of off-site units in a location different from that specified in this Section better accomplishes the goals of this Chapter. 12 (g) The Housing Division of the Resource Management Department shall prepare administrative guidelines to implement this Section. Section 9.56.070. Affordable Housing Fee. A multifamily project applicant may meet the affordable housing obligations established by this Chapter by paying an affordable housing fee in accordance with the following requirements: (a) An affordable housing fee may be paid in accordance with the following formulas: (1) Projects in Multifamily Residential Districts Affordable housing unit base fee X floor area of multifamily project (2) Projects in Multifamily Residential Districts on sites vacant at time of filing of multifamily project application Affordable housing unit base fee X floor area of multifamily project X 75% (3) Residential Projects in Non-residential Districts on sites that are not already developed with multifamily housing Affordable housing unit base fee X floor area of project devoted to residential uses X 50%. (b) For purposes of this Section, the affordable housing unit base fee shall be established every two years by resolution of the City Council. (c) The amount of the affordable housing unit base fee may vary by product type (apartment or condominium) and shall reflect, among other factors, the relationship between new market rate multi -family development and the need for affordable housing and the impact that the fee will have on the financial return of multifamily project applicants. 13 (d) The fee shall be paid in full to the City prior to the City granting any approval for the occupancy of the project. (e) The City shall deposit any payment made pursuant to this Section in a Reserve Account separate from the General Fund to be used only for development of very low- and low- income housing, administrative costs related to the production of this housing, and monitoring and evaluation of this Affordable Housing Production Program. Any monies collected and interest accrued pursuant to this Chapter shall be committed within five (5) years after the payment of such fees or the approval of the multifamily project, which ever occurs later. Funds that have not been appropriated within this five year period shall be refunded on a pro rata share to those multifamily project -applicants who have paid fees during the period. Expenditures and commitments of funds shall be reported to the City -Council annually as part of the City budget process. (f) An affordable housing fee payment pursuant to this Section shall not be considered provision of affordable housing units for purposes of determining whether the multifamily project qualifies for a density bonus pursuant to Government Code Section 65915. Section 9.56.080. Land Acquisition. A multifamily project applicant may meet the affordable housing obligations established by this Chapter by making an irrevocable offer. (a) dedicating land to the City or a non-profit housing provider, (b) selling of land to the City or a non-profit housing provider at below market value, or (c) optioning of land on behalf of the City or a non-profit housing provider. Each of these options must be for a value at least equivalent to the affordable housing obligation otherwise required pursuant to this Section. The multifamily project applicant must identify the land at the 14 time that the development application is filed with the City. The City may approve, conditionally approve or reject such offers subject to administrative guidelines to be prepared by the Housing Division of the Resource Management Department. If the City rejects such offer, the multifamily project applicant shall be required to meet the affordable housing obligation by other means set forth in this Chapter. Section 9.56.090. Fee waivers. The Condominium and Cooperative Tax described in Section 6.76.010 of the Santa Monica Municipal Code and the Park and Recreation Facilities Tax established in Chapter 6.80 of Article 6 of the Santa Monica Municipal Code shall be waived for required affordable housing units and for low and very low income dwelling units developed by the City or its designee using affordable housing fees. However, any multifamily project applicant who elects to pay an affordable housing fee shall not be eligible for any fee waiver under this Section. Section 9.56.100. Pricing requirements for affordable housing units. The City Council shall, by resolution, on an annual basis, set maximum affordable rents and maximum affordable purchase prices for affordable housing units, adjusted by the number of bedrooms. Such maximum affordable rents shall be set at rates such that qualified occupants for low income units pay monthly rent that does not exceed thirty percent of the gross monthly household income for households earning sixty percent of the median income and that qualified occupants for very low income units pay monthly rent that does not exceed thirty percent of the gross monthly household income for households earning fifty percent of the median income. Such maximum affordable purchase price shall be set at rates such that qualified occupants for low income units pay total monthly housing costs (mortgage payment, property taxes, homeowners' 15 insurance, property mortgage insurance, homeowners' association fees) that do not exceed thirty- eight percent of the gross monthly household income for households earning sixty percent of the median income and that qualified occupants for very low income units pay total monthly housing costs (mortgage payment, property taxes, homeowners' insurance, property mortgage insurance, homeowners' association fees) that do not exceed thirty-eight percent of the gross monthly household income for households earning fifty percent of the median income. Section 9.56.110. Eligibility requirements. (a) Only low-income and very low-income households shall be eligible to occupy or own and occupy affordable housing units. The City shall develop a list of income -qualified households, which may include priorities for eligible tenants. Multifamily project applicants shall be required to select households from the City -administered list of income -qualified households. (b) The City shall develop administrative guidelines for the tenant and purchaser selection process, which shall establish, at a minimum, the timing by which affordable housing units in a project must be leased or sold and occupied, both initially after issuance of the certificate of occupancy for the'project and upon subsequent vacancies in the affordable housing unit. (c) The following individuals, by virtue of their position or relationship, are ineligible to occupy an affordable housing unit: (1) All employees and officials of the City of Santa Monica or its agencies, authorities, or commissions who have, by the authority of their position, policy-making authority or influence affecting City housing programs. (2) The immediate relatives, employees, or other persons gaining significant economic benefit from a direct business association with public employees or officials. 16 (3) The immediate relatives of the applicant or owner, including spouse, children, parents, grandparents, brother, sister, father-in-law, mother-in-law, son-in-law, daughter-in-law, aunt, uncle, niece, nephew, sister-in-law, and brother-in-law. Section 9.56.120. Relation to units required by Rent Control Board. Very low-income and low-income dwelling units developed as part of a market rate project, pursuant to replacement requirements of the Santa Monica Rent Control Board, shall count towards the satisfaction of this Chapter if they otherwise meet applicable requirements for this Chapter including, but not limited to, the income eligibility requirements, deed restriction requirements, and pricing requirements. New inclusionary units required by the Rent Control Board which meet the standards of this Chapter shall count towards the satisfaction of this Chapter. Section 9.56.130. Deed Restrictions. Prior to issuance of a building permit for a project meeting the requirements of this Chapter by providing affordable units on-site or off-site, the multifamily project applicant shall submit deed restrictions or other legal instruments setting forth the obligation of the applicant under this Chapter for City review and approval. Such restrictions shall be effective for at least fifty-five years. Section 9.56.140. Enforcement. No building permit or occupancy permit shall be issued, nor any development approval granted, for a project which is not exempt and does not meet the requirement of this Chapter. All affordable housing units shall be rented or owned in accordance with this Chapter. 17 Section 9.56.150. Annual Report. The Housing Division of the Resource Management Department shall submit a report to the City Council on an annual basis which shall contain information concerning the implementation of this Chapter. This report shall also detail the projects that have received planning approval during the previous year and the manner in which the provisions of this Chapter were satisfied. This report shall further assess whether the provisions of Proposition R have been met and whether changes to this Chapter or its implementation procedures are warranted. In the event the provisions of.Proposition R have not been met, the City Council shall take such action to amend the provisions of this Chapter or its implementation to ensure that the provisions will be met in the future. Section 9.56.160. Principles and Guidelines. (a) In addition to the administrative guidelines specifically required by other provisions of this Chapter, the City Manager or his or her designee shall be the designated authority to develop and implement rules and regulations pertaining to this Chapter, to enter into recorded agreements with multifamily project applicants, and to take other appropriate steps necessary to assure that the required affordable housing units are provided and are occupied by very low- and low-income households. (b) Within one year from the passage of this Chapter, administrative rules and regulations pertaining to this Chapter shall be brought before the City Council for adoption. SECTION 2. Chapter 9.28 of the Santa Monica Municipal Code is hereby repealed in its entirety and the Chapter 9.28 implementation guidelines are rescinded. 18 SECTION 3. Any provision of the Santa Monica Municipal Code or appendices thereto inconsistent with the provisions of this Ordinance, to the extent of such inconsistencies and no further, is hereby repealed or modified to that extent necessary to effect the provisions of this Ordinance. SECTION 4. If any section, subsection, sentence, clause, or phrase of this Ordinance is for any reason held to be invalid or unconstitutional by a decision of any court of competent jurisdiction, such decision shall not affect the validity of the remaining portions of this Ordinance. The City Council hereby declares that it would have passed this Ordinance and each and every section, subsection, sentence, clause, or phrase not declared invalid or unconstitutional without regard to whether any portion of the ordinance would be subsequently declared invalid or unconstitutional. SECTION 5. The Mayor shall sign and the City Clerk shall attest to the passage of this Ordinance. The City Clerk shall cause the same to be published once in the official newspaper within 15 days after its adoption. This Ordinance shall become effective 30 days from its adoption. APPROVED AS TO FORM: MARSHA S MOUTRIE City Attorney T ATTACHMENT B HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALscHULER, INC. Policy, Financial tic Management Consultants DRAFT THE NEXUS BETWEEN NEW MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS IN THE CITY OF SANTA MONICA AND THE NEED FOR AFFORDABLE HOUSING July 7, 1995 1990 SOUTH BUNDY DRIVE, SUITE. 777, TAS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA 90025 • TEL: 310.820.3444 • FAX: 31o.820.()778 NEW YORK LOS ANCA -MES Contents TABLE OF CONTENTS Listof Tables.............................................................. iii I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................. 1 II. SCOPE AND PURPOSE OF THE ANALYSIS ............................. 7 A. Background to the City's Proposed Affordable Housing Production Program ... 7 B. Selection of the Analytic Approach .................................. 12 C. Organization of the Report ........................................ 17 in. HOUSEHOLD INCOME AND SPENDING IN NEW MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS ................................... 19 A. Estimating Total Household Income in Typical New Market Rate Multi -Family Developments..................................................19 B. Estimating Total Household Spending for Goods and Services in Typical New Market Rate Multi -Family Developments ............................. 25 IV. THE CONSUMPTION -RELATED EMPLOYMENT AND EMPLOYEE AFFORDABLE HOUSING IMPACTS OF NEW MARKET RATE MULTI- FAMILY DEVELOPMENT ........................................... 28 A. Marginal Employment Impacts Generated from Consumption Expenditures by Households in New Market Rate Multi -Family Developments in Santa Monica. 28 B. Marginal Affordable Housing Impacts Generated from Consumption Expenditures by Households in New Market Rate Multi -Family Developments in SantaMonica..................................................34 New Multi Family Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Page ii Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Contents Paye V. ESTIMATING JUSTIFIABLE DEVELOPMENT FEES .................... 39 A. The City's Subsidy Gap to Develop Rental Units Affordable to Low -Income Households...................................................39 B. Justifiable Development Fees ...................................... 44 APPENDICES A. Total Employment Impacts Generated By Household Consumption Expenditures for Four Prototypical Market Rate Multi -Family Developments in the City of Santa Monica B. Estimates of the Capital Subsidy Needed to Develop an Affordable Rental Unit in the City of Santa Monica Under Alternative Affordability Thresholds, Land Costs and Unit Sizes C. Derivation of a Development Fee for Four Prototypical New Market Rate Multi - Family Developments in the City of Santa Monica New Multi -Family Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page iii Hamilton, Rahinovitz &A Ischuler, Inc. July 7,1448 Contents LIST OF TABLES T ble o T, itle Rag -e- I-1 Derivation of Low-income Worker Household Demand Resulting from Total Household Consumption Expenditures in Four Prototypical 5 -Unit Market Rate Multi -Family Developments ......................... 4 1-2 Derivation of a Development Fee to Offset the Affordable Housing Demand Caused by Total Household Consumption Expenditures In Four Prototypical 5 -Unit Market Rate Multi -Family Developments ......................... 6 III -1 Rents Required for Financially "Feasible" New Market Rate Apartment Development in the R2 District ..................................... 21 III -2 Household Incomes in Prototypical New Apartment Developments Implied by Various Rent -to -Income Ratios .................................... 22 III -3 Purchase Price Required for Financially "Feasible" New Market Rate Condominium Development in the R2 District ...... I ..... I ...... I ..... 23 III -4 Estimates of Average Annual Per -Household and Per -Project Incomes in Four Prototypical New Market Rate Multi -Family Developments in the City of SantaMonica..................................................24 III -5 Personal Income and its Disposition in the U.S-., 1995 .................... 26 III -6 Total Annual Household Income and Consumption Expenditures for Four Prototypical 5 -Unit New Market Rate Multi -Family Developments in the City of Santa Monica ...................... I ...... I ........ I ... 27 IV -1 Distribution of Employment Resulting from Household Consumption Expenditures in Los Angeles County, Market Rate Multi -Family Prototype #2 (Apartment -Higher Cost Area) ..................................... 33 New Mulli F'andlyDevelopment-Affordahle Housing Nexus Page iv Hamilton, Rahinovilz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Contents P. aXe IV- 2 Total Employment Demand Resulting from Total Household Consumption Expenditures in Four Prototypical Market Rate Multi -Family Developments In the City of Santa Monica ....................................... 34 IV -3 Derivation of Low-income Worker Demand Resulting from Total Household Consumption Expenditures in Four Prototypical 5 -Unit Market Rate Multi - Family Developments in the City of Santa Monica ........... ............ 37 IV -4 Derivation of Low-income Worker Household Demand Resulting from Total Household Consumption Expenditures in Four Prototypical 5 -Unit Market Rate Multi -Family Developments ....................................... 38 V-1 Per-unit New Development Subsidy Gap for Very Low- and Low- Income Households, City of Santa Monica, 1998 ............................. 43 V-2 Derivation of a Development Fee to Offset the Affordable Housing Demand Caused by Total Household Consumption Expenditures in Four Prototypical 5 -Unit Market Rate Multi -Family Developments in the City of Santa Monica .. 44 New Multi Family Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Plage v Hamilton, Rahinovitz &A Ischuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The City of Santa Monica, California ("City") is considering a new ordinance that will require developers of market rate multi -family developments (i.e., apartments and condominiums) to help meet the need for housing affordable to low-income households, as defined by federal, State of California and City regulations {"affordable housing"), which is caused by their projects. The proposed ordinance allows developers to include units in their project that are affordable to low-income households, pay a fee to the City that will be used to help finance new affordable housing, or take other specified actions, including purchase of land for affordable housing. This new program was specified in a recent update of the Housing Element of the City's General Plan. In light of recent U.S. and California Supreme Court decisions, any fee the City may impose pursuant to this new program must be based on constitutional principles. These decisions suggest that there must a legitimate public purpose underlying the imposition of the fee, and there must be a reasonable relationship between the public needs created by a development project and the amount of the fee imposed. The public purpose underlying the City's program is articulated in its recent Housing Element update, including its supporting technical appendices, and the findings in the proposed ordinance. This Report, which was prepared by Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. C"HR&A") at the request of the City, presents analysis and conclusions which demonstrate the extent of affordable housing need that is causally related to new market rate multi -family development in the City, and the development fee amounts that could reasonably be required of developers. Each new market rate multi -family development project constructed and occupied in the City adds new households with particular income and spending characteristics. These households create demand for goods and services, in the private sector (e.g., restaurants, retail goods and medical services) and in the public sector (teachers and municipal services). In general, the higher a household's income, the more dollars are spent for goods and services. New market rate multi- family housing in Santa Monica accommodates upper-income households almost exclusively, because of the high cost of rent or purchase price required to occupy it. Supplying goods and services sufficient to meet the consumption demand from upper-income households in new market rate multi -family housing requires workers across the pay scale spectrum, including lower -wage employees. Some of these lower -wage workers are members of low-income households who require housing at prices they can afford. As a result, new market rate multi -family development is causally related to a demand for housing that is affordable to lower -wage workers and their households. The City may, therefore, request that developers provide part of the cost of meeting NeiVMult! FaniilyDevelopinent AffotdahleHousingNexus Page 1 Hamilton, Rahinovita & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Executive Summu the affordable housing demand generated by their projects, through payment of an affordable housing fee, should they elect this option under the proposed new City program. Estimating the marginal affordable housing demand caused by new market rate multi- family developments in Santa Monica, and a development fee that relates to this impact, was determined through a four-part analysis, as summarized below. The analysis uses four prototypical market rate multi -family projects -- two apartment and two condominium projects; one of each developed in a lower-cost subarea of the City (i.e., relatively lower land prices and rents, such as in the Mid -City area between Wilshire and Pico Boulevard and east of downtown Santa Monica) and a higher -cost subarea of the City (i.e., relatively higher land prices and rents, such as north of Wilshire Boulevard and some parts of the Ocean Park community). HR&A's analytic approach was selected after review and consideration of the professional literature, the few examples of related analyses that have been conducted to date in other jurisdictions, and suggestions by City Council members and City Commissioners. 1. Estimate Per -Project Household Income and Sf)ending Detailed analysis of the financial circumstances of typical new apartment and condominium projects developed in the City that was prepared for the recent Housing Element update demonstrates that developers must charge high rents or purchase prices in order to earn a financial return sufficient to justify the investment. The households who can afford to pay these levels of rent (in the case of market rate apartment projects) or purchased housing costs (i.e., mortgage payments, property insurance, property taxes and homeowners' association dues, in the case of market rate bondominium projects) are, by most any definition, upper-income households. HR&A estimated that rents for market rate apartments developed on sites in the City's R2 multi -family residential district must average between $2,100 and $2,600, depending on the submarket area of the City. Assuming, based on a survey of households residing in newly constructed apartments exempt from rent control that was conducted for the Housing Element update, that rent for such units represents, on average, 37 percent of household income, the average income for households paying rent of this scale must be between about $67,000 and $85,000 per year. The typical five -unit apartment development therefore includes total household income of between about $335,000 and $425,000. Analysis for the Housing Element also found that the average purchase price for new condominiums needs to be in a range of $316,000 to $418,000, again depending on the submarket area of the City, in order for developers of typical projects. Assuming, based on generally accepted residential lending criteria, that total purchased housing costs do not exceed 35 percent of household income, a household would need an income of between about $78,000 and $99,000 to purchase condominiums in this price range. For a typical five -unit project, this implies between $390,000 and $495,000 of total per -project household income. New Multi -Family Development Affordahle Housing Nexus rage Z Hamilton, Rahinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Executive Summar Data on household expenditure patterns indicates that, on average, about 75.5 percent of total household income is available for consumption expenditures, including housing costs. The remainder is attributable to taxes, social insurance contributions (e.g., wage earner's share of payments into Social Security), savings and consumer interest. Applying this consumption expenditure percentage to total per -project household income means that typical five -unit market rate apartment and condominium projects generate between $253,000 and $375,000 in annual spending on goods and services. 2. Estimate the Employment Impacts of Per -Project Household Spending The next step in the analysis was to derive the employment impacts of these estimates of consumption -related spending by households in typical market rate multi -family projects. This was accomplished using the IMPLAN input-output model of the economy of Los Angeles County. Input-output models are used to trace the economic effects, including employment, that result from a change in a regional economy, such as the consumption expenditures by households in new market rate multi -family housing in Santa Monica. FvIPLAN is one such input-output model that is particularly well suited to this type of analysis. First, it provides analysis that is particular to the economy of Los Angeles County. Second, it provides estimates of total employment for each of 528 sectors of the local economy for each dollar of household spending. This includes estimates of direct employment (i.e., at the restaurant or retail store where a purchase is made), indirect employment (Le., in the industries suppling materials to the restaurant or retail store) and induced employment (i.e., due to consumption spending by direct and indirect employees). Third, the model generates employment patterns that correspond specifically to the spending characteristics of upper-income households, like those who occupy typical new market rate multi -family developments in the City. The IMPLAN analysis indicates that consumption expenditures by upper-income households in typical new market -rate multi -family developments in Santa Monica generate between 3.74 and 5.54 total workers, primarily in the retail trade and services sectors of the economy. 3. Estimate the Number of Loop -Income Households Related to the Employment Impacts of Per -Project Household Spending. Not all of these workers are low-income, and only some of these are members of households that meet the definition of a "low-income" household -- i.e., earning up to 60 percent of the Los Angeles County median income, or about $25,000 per year for a two -person household. Deriving the subset of households meeting these criteria was accomplished using the Public Use Microdata Sample (PDMS) for Los Angeles County, a specialized scientific sample of 1990 census data. The most widely available census data are useful only in the summary form New Multi-Fattfily Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 3 Hatttilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Executive Summa published -- i.e., discrete characteristics of a geographic area. PUMS data, on the other hand, allow for cross -tabulations of census data, such as household income by the industry in which the household members work. The PDMS data used an industry classification numbering system that corresponds with the industry numbering system in the IMPLAN model. This relationship made it possible to produce a cross -tabulation between the IMPLAN industry sectors that account for over 90 percent of the consumption -related jobs attributable to new market rate multi -family project and the household income of workers in those industries. After adjusting for the differences between the 1997 definition of "low-income" households and the 1989 household incomes in the 1990 census, estimates were made of the number of "low-income" workers generated by the consumption spending associated with each of the four prototypical new market rate multi -family projects in Santa Monica. For the sum of the affected industries, about 17% of all workers fit the "low-income" definition, or between about two-thirds (0.63) and one (0.93) low-income worker per new market rate multi -family development. The next step was to estimate the number of low-income households associated with these low-income workers. This was also accomplished using cross -tabulations of the PUMS data. The result is an average of 2.36 workers per household in which at least one worker is employed in an industry affected by consumption spending by households in new market rate multi -family projects in Santa Monica. The summary results of steps one through three are shown in Table I-1, below. Table 1-1 DERIVATION OF LOW-INCOME WORKER HOUSEHOLD DEMAND RESULTING FROM TOTAL HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN FOUR PROTOTYPICAL 5 -UNIT MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS, CITY OF SANTA MONICA Prototype Per -Prototype Total Low-income Low -Income Hhld. Income Workers Workers Worker Hhlds. Apt. -- Lower Cost Area $335,189 3.74 0.63 0.27 Apt. - Higher Cost Area $425,919 4.76 0.80 0.34 Condo -- Lower -Cost Area $387,681 4.33 0.73 0.31 Condo - Higher -Cost Area $496,260 5.54 0.93 0.39 AVERAGE $491,263 4.59 0.77 0.33 New Multi -Family Developttment Affordable Housing Nexus Page 4 Hamilton, Rabinovita &A lschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Executive Summary 4. Estimate an Affortlable Housing Fee to Offset the Affordable Housing Demand of Per -Project Household Spending The above table shows the estimated marginal demand for affordable housing caused by the consumption spending from typical new market rate multi -family developments. The cost of producing this much affordable housing, taking into account any other fund sources that are reasonably foreseeable, is a basis for arriving at a reasonable development fee. Previous HR&A analysis estimated that it costs between about $183,000 and $275,000, depending on the City submarket area, to develop two- or three-bedroom apartment units in the R2 multi -family residential district that is affordable to a low-income household, under applicable income and rent thresholds. This sum includes the costs of land, construction, professional fees, permits and financing. At this time, only the amount of debt that can be supported by low-income tenant household incomes can be counted on to help pay this cost. Competition for federal Low - Income Housing Tax Credits, which are about the only non -City financial resource available for the development of affordable housing, cannot be assumed for every project the City would sponsor in the future. Accounting for tenant -supportable debt and assumptions about the most likely mix of units sizes and City submarket areas where new affordable housing would be constructed, it was estimated that the average City financial contribution, or subsidy, to produce an affordable unit is about $155,000. Multiplying this average per-unit subsidy amount by the number of affordable housing units needed to meet the consumption demands of new market rate multi -family developments yields the fee amount that could reasonably be charged to the developer to offset the City's costs. This fee amount can also be expressed as a function of the gross floor area of a typical new market rate multi -family development, as shown in Table I-2. New Multi-Fa»ally Developnfent Affordable Housing Nexus Page 5 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alsehuler, Inc. July 7, 1999 Executive Summar Table 1-2 DERIVATION OF A DEVELOPMENT FEE TO OFFSET THE AFFORDABLE HOUSING DEMAND CAUSED BY TOTAL HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN FOUR PROTOTYPICAL 5 -UNIT MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS, CITY OF SANTA MONICA Prototype Per -Prototype Units of Total Fee Amount Hhld. Income Low -Income Fee Per Gross Housing Amount 2 Square Foot a Demand' Apt. -- Lower Cost Area $335,189 0.27 $41,090 $5.41 Apt. -- Higher Cost Area $425,919 0.34 $52,215 $6.87 Condo -- Lower -Cost Area $387,681 0.31 $47,525 $6.26 Condo -- Higher -Cost Area $496,260 0.39 $60,835 $8.01 ' From Table 1-1. z Housing Demand x $154,916 per unit (City's average subsidy gap). 3 Total Fee Amount divided by 7,595 gross square feet per typical market rate multi -family development. Source- HR&A Considering that the analysis is based on reasonable estimates of the affordable housing demand generated by prototypical new market rate apartments and condominiums, assumes that all households residing in each prototypical project's dwelling units exhibit average income and spending circumstances, and that there are pockets of lower-cost areas and higher -cost areas in each City submarket area, it would be appropriate for the Affordable Housing Production Program fee to be based on an average of the justifiable fees for each product type. The average of the justifiable fee for the two apartment prototypes is $6.14 per gross square foot for new market rate apartment developments, and $7.13 per gross square foot for new market rate condominium developments. These amounts are generally consistent with the fees that previous analysis indicates can be assessed such projects without the fee becoming a "governmental constraint" on new development, within the meaning of State Housing Element law. New Multi -Fatally Development -Affordable IJousing Nexus Page 6 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 H. PURPOSE AND SCOPE OF THE ANALYSIS The City of Santa Monica, California ("City") is considering a new ordinance to require developers of market rate multi -family developments (i.e., apartments and condominiums) to help meet the need for housing affordable to low-income households ("affordable housing"), as defined by federal, State of California and City regulations, which is caused by their projects. The proposed Affordable Housing Production Program ordinance allows developers to choose to include units in their project that are affordable to low-income households, pay a fee to the City that will be used to help finance new affordable housing, or take other specified actions, including purchase of land for affordable housing. This new program was specified in a recent update of the Housing Element of the City's General Plan.' In light of recent U.S. and California Supreme Court decisions, any fee the City may impose pursuant to this new program must be based on constitutional principles. These decisions suggest that there must a legitimate public purpose underlying the imposition of the fee, and there must be a reasonable relationship between the public needs created by a development project and the amount of the fee imposed. The public purpose underlying the City's program is articulated in its recent Housing Element update, including its supporting technical appendices, and the findings in the proposed ordinance. This Report, which was prepared by Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. ("HR&A") at the request of the City, presents analysis and conclusions which demonstrate the extent of affordable housing need that is causally related to new market rate multi -family development in the City, and the development fee amounts that could reasonably be required of developers. A. BACKGROUND TO THE CITY'S PROPOSED AFFORDABLE HOUSING PRODUCTION PROGRAM For more than a decade, the City of Santa Monica has required developers of market rate multi -family housing to help offset the impacts that their projects have on the City's household income balance, in order to comply with State and City law and local housing policies. The developer assistance is but one component of a multi -faceted housing program that also relies on City and other public funds to construct new housing units that are affordable to lower-income households. Following detailed review in April 1997, the City Council concluded that the current developer requirement, the Inclusionary Housing Program as embodied in Ordinance 1615 and ' City of Santa Monica, 1998-2003 Housing Element Update, adopted by the City Council June 9, 1998. (Hereinafter referred to as "Housing Element Update" or "Update") New Multi-Fatuily Developruent Affordable Housing Nexus Page 7 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Scope related guidelines,' needed to be changed in order to address problems with the program, and changes in the local housing market, State law and the funding environment for affordable housing. 1. Overview of the Proposed Affordable Housing Production Program After considering comments on six conceptual alternatives to Ordinance 1615, it was recommended that the City discontinue the current project -by -project inclusionary housing production approach, and instead enact a program that requires developers of market rate multi- family housing to pay an affordable housing development fee to the City, or choose from among other specified alternatives to fee payment. The fees would be pooled and leveraged with other available funding to develop housing affordable to lower-income households, most likely through the auspices of non-profit, community-based development organizations. The revised program would also allow developers to include affordable units in their projects, build affordable units on another site or perform other actions that assist the development of affordable housing. This approach resembles the City's fee program to mitigate the housing impacts of commercial office development, which has been in place since 1984.3 In summary, the recommended program has the following general features: ■ Development Fee. Developers of market rate multi -family projects (i.e., two or more units), may elect to pay an affordable housing development fee to the City, assessed on a per -gross square foot basis. ■ Base Fee Amounts. Base fees will be established by Resolution of the City Council, after considering, among other factors, the feasibility of the base fee for typical market rate multi -family development projects (i.e., "constraints" analysis) and the nexus (or relationship) between new market rate multi -family development and the need for affordable housing. Fee Reductions as Incentive to Avoid Tenant Displacement. Because it is City policy to reduce adverse impacts of new development on the City's supply of existing rental Ordinance 1615 (CCS), adopted March 3, 1992, and subsequently amended by Ordinance 1657 (CCS), November 17, 992, collectively chaptered as Santa Monica Municipal Code (SMMC) § 9.28.010 et seq. The Inclusionary Housing Program also includes a set of implementation guidelines approved by the City Council on December 14, 1993. 3 Project Mitigation Measures, City of Santa Monica Land Use and Circulation Eleinents, October 23, 1984, at pp. 155-156; and SMMC § 9.04.10.12, et. seq. New Multi -Family Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 8 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alsehuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Scope housing, and particularly rentals that are affordable to lower-income households, the fee will be reduced for multi -family projects in the following circumstances: -- Vacant sites in multi -family districts. Sites in commercial or industrial zoning districts where multi -family development is a permitted use and the site is not already developed with multi -family units. On -Site Affordable Housing Production Option. As an alternative to paying an affordable housing development fee, the developer of a new market rate multi -family project may elect to include units affordable to lower-income households in the project. The number of such units must match the minimum thresholds needed to qualify for the State - mandated density bonus (i.e., 10% affordable at 50% or less of the Median Family Income (WI), or 20% affordable at up to 60% of the MFI). The program includes further specifications about the on-site affordable units (e.g., qualifying household incomes and minimum unit sizes). Other Affordable Housing Production Options. Developers may also choose to perform other actions which assist in the production of affordable housing, such as off-site construction of affordable units within one-half mile of the market -rate project, purchasing or optioning land for, or assisting with the financing of, affordable housing development by others. The details of these alternatives will be specified in program implementation guidelines to be approved by Resolution of the City Council_ The recommended program seeks to meet the requirements of Proposition R and other adopted City housing policies and State law, responds to a number of problems with the current Ordinance 1615 approach, and reflects consideration of comment themes that emerged over the past six months as a half dozen conceptual alternatives to Ordinance 1615 were aired in public workshops and hearings. 2. The Public Purpose Underlying the Affordable Housing Production Program Ever since the adoption of its first contemporary Housing Element in 1983,4 the City has had a policy requiring developers of new market -rate multi -family units to provide, or assist in the development of, units that are affordable to low- and moderate -income households as one of several mechanisms for maintaining balance in the City's household income profile. The adopted 4 City of Santa Monica, Housing Element Policy Report, January 1983, at pp. 73-76 (adopted as the Housing Element of the General Plan by Resolution 6620 (CCS), January 25, 1983). New Multi -Family Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 9 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Aischuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Scope Housing Element Update reaffirms this policy. The public purpose underlying the proposed Affordable Housing Production Program is based on the following laws and policies: The Consumption Patterns of the Upper Income Households Who Occupy New Market Rate Multi Family Housing Create a Need for Affordable Housing in the City. Households create demand for goods and services, in the private sector (e.g., retail goods and medical services) and in the public sector (teachers and municipal services). The higher the household income, the more demand is created. New market rate multi -family housing in Santa Monica accommodates upper-income households almost exclusively, because of the high cost of rent or purchase price required to occupy it. Supplying goods and services sufficient to meet Santa Monica's share of the demand created by upper- income households in new market rate multi -family housing requires workers across the pay scale spectrum, including lower -wage employees. New market rate multi -family development is, therefore, causally related to a need for housing that is affordable to lower -wage workers. ■ State Law Establishes a Need for the City to Accommodate Its Regional Fair Share of Low- and Moderate -Income Households. California's Housing Element law requires that each city and county develop local housing programs designed to address its "fair share" of existing and future housing needs for all income groups, as determined by the jurisdiction's Council of Governments, when preparing the State -mandated Housing Element of its General Plan.' The fair share allocation for Santa Monica is usually determined by the Southern California Association of Governments, but in the absence of State funding to prepare the allocation for the 1998-2003 planning period, Santa Monica estimated what share SCAG would have assigned it. The City's 1998-2003 Housing Element Update estimates that a SCAG assignment would probably be 3,219 additional housing units over the five-year planning period, of which 1,936 (60%) units should be affordable to low- and moderate -income households.' For various reasons articulated in the Housing Element Update, the City instead uses a "quantified objective" of 1,542 units, of which 734 (48%) are intended for low- and moderate -income households.' S Calif. Govt. Code §§ 65580, 65581(a) and 65584. Id., at pp. II -82 to II -93; p. V-5 Id., at p. V-6. New Multi-Fandly Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 10 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1999 Purpose and Scope Recent Changes in State Law and Federal Laws and Housing Programs Inhibit the City's Ability to Fulfill State Mandates and Local Policies Concerning Household Income Diversity. As discussed at length in the Housing Element Update,' the Costa -Hawkins Rental Housing Act of 1995 (which gradually phases out limits on the price at which voluntarily vacated units can be re -rented initially), reductions in State and Federal funding for housing (e.g., reductions in State and Federal budget allocations for housing programs) and changes in these programs (e.g., reductions in the Section 8 Fair Market Rents rendering participation in the program much less attractive to private apartment owners) and the potential expiration of controls on rents in buildings whose development was assisted with Federal funds, all make it much more difficult for the City to fulfill its affordable housing goals under State law and local policy. The Vast Majority of New Market Rate Multi Family Development is Not Affordable to Lower Income Households. Data presented in the Housing Element Update demonstrate that most units in new market -rate multi -family development projects are priced at levels that are not affordable to lower-income households under applicable definitions.i6 In light of the circumstances noted above, and absent an aggressive, multi -faceted program, including participation by for-profit developers of multi -family housing, the cumulative effect of new market rate multi -family projects will, over time, contribute to an imbalance in the City's household income distribution and will interfere with the City's ability to meet its regional fair share of housing, as established through State law (48% of all new housing over the next five years affordable to low- and moderate -income households) and local laws and policies (30% of new multi -family construction each year affordable to low - and moderate -income households). It is the Policy of the City to Maintain Income Diversity Among Its Population and Households. According to data included in the draft Update, Santa Monica has been successful in maintaining a balance of household incomes in the City since 1980 -- i.e., about 40 percent low-income, about 20 percent moderate -income and about 40 percent 9 See, for example, Housing Elenient Update, pp. II -47 to I1-64. io For example, the 1995 Santa Monica Apartment Tenant Survey showed that median rent for apartments in new buildings (post -1979) was $1,100 per month for a two-bedroom unit (see, Housing Element Update, Technical Appendix), compared with a maximum rent of $731, which the City established for low-income households in a two- bedroom unit (at 60% x WI) in 1995. Median 2 -BR condominium prices in projects constructed in the last few years are more than twice the maximum of $66,694 established by the City as "affordable" to a low-income household (in 1997), according to our research. Neiv Multi -Family Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Page 1 I Hamilton, Rabinovitz & AIschuler•, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Scope upper-income." Maintaining this balance has been accomplished by a variety of housing programs, including rent control, a carefully designed condominium conversion program, and use of a wide variety of local, State and Federal funding programs to assist in the construction of new affordable housing and the preservation of existing affordable housing. In 1990, the City's voters added Section 630 to the City Charter to require that 30 percent of all new housing development in the City be affordable to low- and moderate -income households. The Housing Element Update continues to include goals, policies and implementation programs to increase the supply of housing affordable to lower-income and moderate -income households.12 ■ The City Has Many Programs to Facilitate the Development and Maintenance of Housing Affordahle to Lower -Income Households, But They Are Not Sufficient to the Task. The Housing Element Update catalogues a dozen funding sources that the City utilizes to assist in the development of affordable housing." Together, these resources are projected to assist in the development of 403 new units affordable to low- and moderate - income households. If achieved, this projection represents only 21 percent of the estimated need for new affordable housing in the City over the same planning period, using the SCAG need estimate, or 55 percent of the affordable portion of the City's "quantified objective." B. SELECTION OF THE ANALYTIC APPROACH As noted above, recent U.S. and California Supreme Court decisions indicate that any fee the City may impose pursuant to the proposed Affordable Housing Production Program must be based on constitutional principles, including a factual basis for concluding that there is a reasonable relationship, or nexus, between new market rate multi -family developments and the need for housing affordable to low-income households. Though the courts do not require mathematical precision, and accord local agencies considerable deference in the approach they use for establishing nexus, particularly when the requirement applies to a broad class of development projects, the current body of law and 11 Housing Element Update, at pp. II -13 to I1-14. 12 See, for example, Goal 2.0 (Increase the Supply of Housing Affordable to Very Low, Low and Moderate Income Persons), its 10 related policies and I I related implementation programs. Housing Element Update, pp. V-12 to V-22. 13 Housing Element Update, Appendix F. New Multi -F amily Development Affordable Housing Nexus rage 1L Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Sco e experience on this subject suggests that certain basic themes must be considered in establishing appropriate nexus, including: 14 ■ Fee Must Be Related to the Burden Created By the Type Development on Which the Fee is Imposed. The local agency imposing a development fee must engage in a reasoned analysis designed to establish that there is a reasonable relationship between the amount and use of the fee imposed and the burden created by a project, or class of projects. Fee Must Be Related in Amount to the Cost of the Improvements Needed. The development fee may be subject to challenge if the amount of the fee is not related to the amount of facilities or services created by new development. Fee May Only Reflect Prospective Impacts. The development fee may not include the costs of remedying existing facilities or infrastructure deficiencies, but must focus on the impacts created by new projects. Court decisions in favor of local agencies imposing development fees have generally been upheld when these principles have been followed and are supported by reasoned impact studies prepared in good faith, which were relied on by the legislative body," 1. General Approaches to Estimating the Affordable Housing Impacts of New Market Rate Residential Development HR&A's review of the professional literature, and initial discussions with the City Council and City Commissioners, identified at least three general approaches that were considered in determining how best to assess nexus between new market rate multi -family development and the need for affordable housing and the design of an appropriate fee if nexus was found. These alternatives are discussed below, followed by a summary of the approach ultimately selected by 14 See generally, Govt. Code § 66000, et seq. and Ehrlich v. City of Culver City 12C4th 854, 50 CR2d 242 (legislatively imposed condition not strictly subject to the tests set forth in Nollan v. California Coastal Cornrnission 107 SCt 3141 and Dolan v. City of Tigard 114 SCt 2309) 15 See for example, Commercial Builders of Northern California v. City of Sacramento 941 F2d 872 (upholding fee on non-residential building to onset burdens created by project, based on a housing impacts study); Russ Building Partnership v. City and County of San Francisco 199 CA3d 1496, 246 CR21 (upholding fee imposed on new office development to provide revenue for a transit system based on a detailed study). New Multi -Family Deve[opine nt-Affor-da ble Housing Nexus Page 13 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Scope The Marginal Em to a ImDact of Marko! Rate Housing Consumption Spending The City of Santa Fe, New Mexico16 and the City of Palo Alto, Californias? conducted studies to measure the marginal impact on affordable housing attributable to each new market rate housing development project. Using general population, household and economic data from surveys conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census, and general household expenditure data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce, these two studies estimate the amount of employment associated with household consumption spending in new market rate residential development and make estimates of the number of low-income workers and households associated with the consumption -related employment. The resulting number of low- and moderate -income worker households were used to justify an inclusionary housing requirement (16% in Santa Fe; 10% in Palo Alto) and fee in lieu of providing the units in new projects. The Palo Alto study analyzed only the direct employment impacts on retail trade employment, while the Santa Fe study produced a more comprehensive employment impact analysis across a broad range of industry sectors, but still counted only the direct impacts, due to limitations inherent in the national data sources used in the study The approach and data sources used in both studies are similar to those used by the City and County of Sacramento to justify an affordable housing fee on new commercial development, which was sustained by the U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. The approach used in the two studies is also consistent with traditional impact mitigation analysis, which focuses on the marginal effects of a proposed project. Both of these studies rely, however, on general national data, much of it dating from early 1990s census surveys, for the statistical basis of the consumption spending - low wage worker -affordable housing connection. b. The Land Price Competition Approach Another approach suggested in the literature, but apparently not yet applied in practice, asserts that any new market rate housing development that does not include affordable housing diminishes the amount of land available for affordable housing, and thereby burdens the remaining land by increasing the amount of affordable housing which it will need to support." Stated S6 Jerold Kayden and David Listokin, Report for Proposed Affordable Housing Program, City of Santa Fe, New Mexico, October 1995. 17 Keyser Marston Assoc., Palo Alio BMR Pt ogramr, Residential Nexus: Issues and Recommrendations, City of Palo Alto, California, April 1995. ("Palo Alto Study"). " See for example, William W. Mc►riil Ill and Robert K. Lincoln, "Linkage Fees and Fair Share Regulations; Law and Methods," 25 Urban Lawyer 223, New Multi -Fancily Development -Affordable dable Housing Nexus Page 14 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &A Ischuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Scope another way, market rate housing competes with affordable housing in a market with finite land resources, and therefore bids up the cost of land, making it increasingly expensive to build affordable housing. If it were possible to quantify this cost premium, it could be offset with a development fee. This approach assumes that: 1) there is a finite amount of land available for residential development; 2) the principal reason that land prices escalate is the competition between market rate and affordable development; and 3) but for market rate development, affordable housing would be constructed. It is difficult to support any of these assumptions in the Santa Monica context. First, the supply of land for residential development may be theoretically finite, but it would be extremely difficult to prove. This is because the City now permits residential development in all of its commercial and many industrial districts. Market support for such housing is largely untested, and therefore it is uncertain how much of the theoretical buildout should be counted as part of the supply, particularly when the relative attractiveness of residential development as against non-residential development on any given site changes over time in response to market conditions and land use regulations.19 Second, Santa Monica land prices respond to a wide variety of market forces, and not just the competition for what kind of housing to build. For example, any recent run-up in multi -family land prices has a lot to do with the partial deregulation in rents mandated by the Costa -Hawkins Rental Housing Act, and not much to do with new development, of which there has been very little since the late 1980s. Third, even if land were cheaper, the ability to build affordable housing would still be extremely limited by the lack of other financial resources to pay for all of the other development costs. One need only look to other parts of Los Angeles County outside the coastal communities, where land is considerably less expensive, but affordable housing is not significantly more plentiful. Replacement ofDemolished Aff rdable Units In response to more local concerns, it has also been suggested that affordable housing nexus could be based on the fact that new market rate multi -family developments sometimes include the demolition of units that are affordable to low- and moderate -income households. Accordingly, it has been suggested, developers should be charges a fee based on the number of affordable units removed. The law may preclude this approach on several grounds. 19 This is precisely the reason that the City of San Francisco reportedly rejected using this approach. (Palo Alto Study, at p, 8.) New Multi FandlyDevelopment-Affordable Housing Nexus Page 15 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Scope For example, the replacement approach may be in conflict with laws which restrict the City's ability to impose additional costs on new projects undertaken pursuant to the State Ellis Act. In a San Francisco case involving single -room occupancy hotel projects,20 the Court of Appeals invalidated a provision in a San Francisco ordinance that required owners of residential hotel units to obtain a permit from the City before the units could be converted to tourist use. The permit would only be issued if the owner agreed to provide ane -for -one replacement of the converted units either by constructing replacement units or by paying an in -lieu fee equal to 40 percent of replacement costs. The Bullock court concluded that the Ellis Act prohibited San Francisco's attempt to require an in -lieu fee. In June, 1989, the City adopted an ordinance putting property owners on notice that they may be required to comply with a requirement to replace units demolished as a result of an Ellis Act withdrawal, or pay an in lieu fee.21 A fee ranging from $38,000 for each one -bedroom unit to $63,000 for a four-bedroom unit was under discussion. In 1991, the "notice" ordinance was repealed and the one-for-one replacement or in lieu fee requirement was suspended in light of the Bullock decision," On the other hand, the City imposes a tenant relocation requirement for lower-income households.23 2. The Selected Analytic Approach For the reasons noted above, ER&A determined that the marginal impact approach was the most reasonable method for estimating the affordable housing impacts of new market rate multi -family development, and the method that yields most directly a development fee that is proportional to impacts. The approach reported here improves on previous marginal impact analyses by using more sophisticated analytic tools capable of measuring the employment effects of high-income household expenditures as they ripple through the local economy, and how this translates into demand for affordable housing, all specific to the regional economy in which Santa Monica is situated. In summary, the analysis approach is as follows. Each new market rate multi -family development project constructed and occupied in the City adds new households with particular income and spending characteristics. These households create demand for goods and services, in the private sector (e.g., restaurants, retail goods and medical services) and in the public sector (teachers and municipal services). In general, the higher a household's income, the more dollars 20 Bullock v. City and County of Sat: Francisco, 221 Cal. App. 3d 1072, 271 Cal. Rptr. 44 21 Ordinance 1486 (CCS), adopted June 27, 1989. 22 Ordinance 1576 (CCS), adopted March 26, 1991, 23 SMMC Chapter 4.36. New Multi -Family Develop»tent Affordable Housing Nexus Page 16 Hamilton, Rabinovita & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Scope are spent for goods and services. New market rate multi -family housing in Santa Monica accommodates upper-income households almost exclusively, because of the high cost of rent or purchase price required to occupy it. Supplying goods and services sufficient to meet the consumption demand from upper-income households in new market rate multi -family housing requires workers across the pay scale spectrum, including lower -wage employees. Some of these lower -wage workers are members of low-income households who require housing at prices they can afford. New market rate multi -family development is, therefore, causally related to a demand for housing that is affordable to lower -wage workers and their households. Therefore, the City may require that developers provide part of the cost of meeting the affordable housing demand generated by their projects, through payment of an affordable housing fee, should they elect this option under the proposed new City program. C. ORGANIZATION OF THE REPORT Estimating the marginal affordable housing demand caused by new market rate multi- family developments in Santa Monica, and a development fee that is roughly proportional to this impact, was determined through a four-part analysis, as presented in each of the following Chapters. The remaining Chapters of this Report are as follows: Household Income and Spending in New Market Rate Multi Family Developments. Chapter III presents estimates of the income and spending characteristics of households who will occupy typical new market rate multi -family developments. The analysis uses four prototypical market rate multi -family projects -- two apartment and two condominium projects; one of each developed in a lower-cost subarea of the City and a higher -cost subarea of the City. Based on the rents and purchase prices needed to achieve financially viable developments, it is possible to deduce the incomes of the households who will occupy the units. The proportion of total household and total per -prototypical project spending for goods and services is then estimated. Tlie Consumption Related Employment Impacts of New Market Rate Multi Family Development. Chapter IV explains how the IMPLAN input-output model for the economy of Los Angeles County was used to estimate the total employment -- direct, indirect and induced -- that is generated by per -prototype household expenditures for goods and services. Tlie Affordahle Housing Impacts of Consumption -related Employment. Chapter V explains how data available from the 1990 census were used to derive the subset of total NevMuttl-Fandly Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 17 Hamilton, Rahinovita & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Purpose and Sca e employment generated by per -prototype household expenditures who are low-income workers and their number of households. This result constitutes the estimate of affordable housing demand generated by the new market rate multi -family development prototypes in the City. Estimating Justisable Development Fees. The final Chapter presents calculations for per - prototype fees that could be charged developers of new market rate multi -family development prototypes in the City to offset the affordable housing demand generated by their projects. The calculation is based on the City's costs to subsidize the development of apartments affordable to low-income households. Several appendices include additional supporting data and information referred to in the Report. New Multr Family Developnien# Affordable Housing Nexus Page 18 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 III. HOUSEHOLD INCOME AND SPENDING IN NEW MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS Detailed analysis of the financial circumstances of typical new apartment and condominium projects developed in the City that was prepared for the recent Housing Element Update demonstrates that developers must charge high rents or purchase prices in order to earn a financial return sufficient to justify the investment. The households who can afford to pay these levels of rent or purchased housing costs are, by most any definition, upper-income households. Upper-income households expend a significant portion of their incomes for goods and services obtained from private and public sector resources. This Chapter presents the basis for the estimates of per -household income and spending, and how these were aggregated for typical new multi -family developments in Santa Monica. A. ESTIMATING TOTAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME IN TYPICAL NEW MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS The first step in establishing the marginal demand for affordable housing from typical new market rate multi -family developments in the City requires defining those typical projects, estimating total per -project household incomes and the amount of income generally available for spending on goods and services." As noted in Chapter II, the analysis presented here focusses on the affordable housing demand generated by the most typical new market rate multi -family developments. Based on data contained in the Housing Element Update, most new apartment and condominium projects in the City are developed in the R2 Medium Density Multifamily Residential District on between one and three adjacent lots. Under current zoning regulations, this allows for apartment or condominium projects with between five and 16 market rate dwelling units, assuming the lots abut an alley. For purposes of this Report, HR&A selected four prototypical five -unit projects that together represent most of the conditions under which new multi -family projects will be built in the City in future years. 24 New market rate multi -family developments are built to meet the demand for apartments and condominiums in Santa Monica. Some of the households who occupy these units will be in -migrants to the City or County of Los Angeles. Other households will already be living in the City or County, but are moving to new units in Santa Monica for any number of reasons, such as to reside in a particular neighborhood or larger dwelling unit, be closer to work, or send their children to schools in the Santa Monica -Malibu Unified School District. While such households are not "new" to the City or County, they free up their prior unit, often to a new in -migrant, in the act of moving. 'Thus, new market rate multi -family development in Santa Monica is associated directly, or indirectly after a series of moves, with new households. New Multi -Family Developittent-Affordable Housing Nextes Page 19 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alsehuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Household Income and S endin The four prototypes are: ■ Apartments in lower-cost subareas of the City, where rents and land costs are relatively less expensive than other areas (e.g., the central part of the City between Wilshire and Pico Boulevards). ■ Apartments in higher -cost subareas of the City, where rents and land costs are relatively more expensive than other areas (e.g., north of Wilshire Boulevard and some parts of the Ocean Park community). ■ Condominiums in lower-cost subareas of the City. ■ Condominiums in higher -cost subareas of the City. Financial feasibility modeling prepared by HR&A for the Housing Element Update, and subsequent analysis for the design of the proposed Affordable Housing Production Program, 25 estimated that rents for market rate apartments developed on sites in the City's R2 multi -family residential district must average between about $2,100 and $2,600, depending on the submarket area of the City to meet generally acceptable levels of financial return to the developer. If these returns are not available, developers will build elsewhere or pursue other forms of investment. The range accounts for both the size of the project and the submarket area of the City in which it is located, as shown in Table III -1. 25 See generally, HR&A, "Recommendations for Revising the City of Santa Monica's Inclusionary Housing Program," memorandum to Santa Monica Housing Manager Robert Moncrief, dated April 6, 1998, pp. 20-24 and Appendix D. New Multi -Faintly De velop inent Affordable Housing Nexus Page 20 Haitilton, Rabinovita & Atschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Household Income and Spending Table III -1 RENTS REQUIRED FOR FINANCIALLY "FEASIBLE" NEW MARKET RATE APARTMENT DEVELOPMENT IN THE R2 DISTRICT, CITY OF SANTA MONICA Market Subarea and Prototype Size Lower -Cost Area 1 -Lot Project 3 -Lot Project Average Total Development Development Cost Cost Per Unit $1,237,484 $247497 $3,536,640 $221,040 Higher -Cost Area 1 -Lot Project $1,593,134 3 -Lot Project $4,613,111 Average Monthly Rent Required to Achieve Threshold Return ' $2169 $1965 $2,067 $318,627 $2,718 $288,319 $2,535 $ 2,627 Cash -on -cash return of 15% in the first stabilized year of operation. The average income of the households occupying units in each prototype can be deduced from assumptions about the proportion of total household income spent for rent. HR&A's 1995 survey of households residing in newly constructed apartments exempt from rent control found that rent for such units represents, on average, 37 percent of household income.2' This is higher than the conventional threshold assumed for affordable housing programs (i.e., 30 percent of income) and higher than the ratio implied by 1990 census data (90% of households with incomes over $50,000 paid less than 20% of household income for rent in 1989).27 The 30 percent ratio is a planning target, and does not necessarily represent what household actually are willing to spend for the housing accommodation of their choice. The 1990 census data is a blend of households in controlled and uncontrolled rental units. Because upper-income households occupy a share of rent -controlled units,28 and therefore pay below-market rents, their ratio of rent to income is not 26 See, HR&A, "Results of the 1995 Santa Monica Apartment Tenants Survey," Housing Element Update, Technical Appendix. Table 11 shows that 55% of households in uncontrolled apartments, which are primarily units constructed after April 1979, paid between 30% and 50% of their incomes for rent. The median calculated from the survey data is 37%. 27 See, U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1990 Census of Population and Housing, City of Santa Monica, Summary Tape File 3, Table H-50. 29 Overall, about 25% of rent controlled units in the City were occupied by households with incomes exceeding 120% of the County median in 1995. This ranges from 18% in the downtown/Mid-City area to 31% north of New Multi -Family Developrrrent Affordable Housing Nexus Page 21 Hamilton, Rabinovitz&Alseluler, Inc. July7, 1998 Household Income and S endin representative of the situation in newly constructed apartments, which are exempt from rent control. Therefore, the 37 percent rent -to -income ratio was used for this analysis.29 It implies that, on average, households paying the rent needed to justify development of prototypical new market rate apartment projects in the City must have incomes of between about $67,000 and $85,000 per year. This calculation, together with the results from alternative rent -to -income ratio assumptions, are shown in Table III -2. Using per -household income based on the 37 percent rent -to -income ratio implies that the typical five -unit apartment development includes total household income of between about $335,000 and $426,000. Analysis conducted by HR&A for the design of the Affordable Housing Production Program also found that the average purchase price for new condominiums needs to be in a range of $316,000 to $418,000, again depending on the submarket area of the City, in order for developers of typical projects to achieve acceptable returns, as shown in Table III -3. Wilshire Boulevard, Id., pp. 27-28. 29 The implications of using alternative rent -to -income ratios for a justifiable development fee are discussed in Chapter V. NewMulli-Family Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Page 22 Harnilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Table III -2 HOUSEHOLD INCOMES IN PROTOTYPICAL NEW APARTMENT DEVELOPMENTS IMPLIED BY VARIOUS RENT -TO -INCOME RATIOS Prototype Average Rent Rent -to -Income Ratios 37% 35% 30% 20% Lower -Cost Area 1 -Lot Project $70,346 $74,366 $86,760 $130,140 3 -Lot Project $63,730 $67,371 $78,600 $117,900 Average $67,038 $70,869 $82,680 $124,020 Per -Prototype $335,189 $354,343 $413,400 $620,100 Higher -Cost Area 1 -Lot Project $88,151 $93,189 $108,720 $163,080 3 -Lot Project $82,216 $86,914 $101,400 $152,100 Average $85,184 $90,051 $105,060 $157,590 Per -Prototype *425,919 $450,257 $525,300 $787,950 Using per -household income based on the 37 percent rent -to -income ratio implies that the typical five -unit apartment development includes total household income of between about $335,000 and $426,000. Analysis conducted by HR&A for the design of the Affordable Housing Production Program also found that the average purchase price for new condominiums needs to be in a range of $316,000 to $418,000, again depending on the submarket area of the City, in order for developers of typical projects to achieve acceptable returns, as shown in Table III -3. Wilshire Boulevard, Id., pp. 27-28. 29 The implications of using alternative rent -to -income ratios for a justifiable development fee are discussed in Chapter V. NewMulli-Family Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Page 22 Harnilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Household Income and S endin Table III -3 PURCHASE PRICE REQUIRED FOR FINANCIALLY "FEASIBLE" NEW MARKET RATE CONDOMINIUM DEVELOPMENT IN THE R2 DISTRICT, CITY OF SANTA MONICA Market Subarea Total Development Development Cost Purchase Price and Prototype Size Cost Per Unit Required to Achieve Threshold Return ' Lower -Cost Area 1 -Lot Project $1,465,227 $293,045 $341,775 3 -Lot Project $4,096,789 $256,049 $290,509 Average $316,142 Higher -Cost Area 1 -Lot Project $1,841,891 3-Lat Project $5,331,732 Average $368,378 $445,067 $333,233 $391,617 $ 418,342 ' Cumulative return on equity of 50% at project sell-out. Deriving an estimate of per -project household income for the condominium prototypes requires several additional assumptions, due to the nature of purchased housing. These include the amount of the down payment (20% is assumed), the mortgage term and interest rate (30 years at 7.00%), estimates of property taxes (1.05% x purchase price less homeowner's exemption), estimates of property insurance ($100 per month) and average homeowner's association dues ($208 per month). The sum of these costs should not exceed about 3 5 percent of total household income, according to conventional residential lending criteria. Using the sum of these costs and this threshold yields and estimate of between about $78,000 and $99,000 per household, or $388,000 to $496,000 of total per -project household income, as shown in the lower half of Table III -4 on the following page. New Mult! Fanuly Development Affo1 dable Housing Nexus Page 23 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 SaMONexM(Ine,)ds Page 24 HRBA, Inc. MOO Table 111-4 Estimates of Average Annual Per-Househotd and Per -Project Incomes In Four Prototypical New Market Rate Multi -Family Developments In the City of Santa Monica Assumptions. 1. 5 -unit projects, typical of development in the R2 District 2, 4 Protoypes, based on protoypes per financial feasibility models Apartment -- Lower -Cost Area (average of one -lot and three -lot prototypes) Apartment -- Higher -Cost Area (average of one -tot and three -lot prototypes) Condominium -- Lower -Cost Area (average of one -lot and three -lot prototypes) Condominium -- Lower -Cost Area (average of one -lot and three -lot prototypes) 3. Apartment rents and condo purchase prices set at rates required to earn threshold returns, per feasibility models 4. Apartment Rent= 37% x Household Income per 1995 Tenant Survey results for uncontrolled rental housing Condo Owners' Cost (mortgage, property tax, insurance and Homeowners Association dues) = 35%x Household Income Prototype #1 Apartment -- Lower -Cost Area (average of one -lot and three -dot prototypes) 1 -Lot 3 -Lots Average Avg, Unit Size (GSF) 1,339 1,441 1,390 Monthly RenUGSF $ 1.62 $ 1.36 $ 1.49 Monthly Rent $ 2,159 $ 1,965 $ 2,067 Annual Rent $ 26,028 $ 23,560 RentlHHld Income 37.00% 37.00°% Annual Hhld Income $ 70,346 $ 63,730 $ 57,038 # Units/Project 5 Project Hhld. Income IS335,1891 Prototype #2 Apartment -- Nigher -Cost Area (average of one -lot and three -lot prototypes) 1 -Lot 3 -Lots Average Avg. Unit Size (GSF) 1,339 1,441 1,390 Monthly RentlGSF $ 2.03 $ 1.76 $ 1.89 Monthly Rent $ 2,718 $ 2,535 $ 2,627 Annual Rent $ 32,616 $ 30,420 RentlHHid Income 37.00°% 37.00°% Annual Hhld Income $ 88,151 $ 82,216 $ 85,184 # UnKslProject 5 Project Hhld. Income 1$425,9191 Prototype #3 Condominium - Lower -Cost Area (average of one -lot and three -lot prototypes) 1 -Lot 3 -Lots Average Avg. Unit Size (GSF) 1,519 1,424 1,472 Purchase PrIcefGSF $ 225 $ 204 $ 215 Purchase Price $ 341,775 $ 290,509 $316,142 Mortgage % 80.00°% 80.00% Mortgage Pmt./Mo. $1,819 $1,546 Prop. Tax Rate 1.05°% 1.05°% Homeowner's Deduct. $ 7,000 $ 7,000 Property TaxfYr. $ 3,515 $ 2,977 Property TaxlMo. $ 293 $ 248 Property Insurance/Mo. $ 100 $ 100 HOA Dues/Mo. $ 208 $ 208 Total Housing Costs/Mo. $ 2,420 $ 2,103 Total Housing Costs/Yr. $ 29,044 $ 25,231 Housing Costs/Hhld Income 35.00°% 35.00°% Annual Household Income $ 62,983 $ 72,090 $ 77,535 # Units/Project 5 Project Hhld. Income 1$,387,68 Prototype #4 Condominium -- Nigher -Cost Area (average of one -lot and three -lot prototypes) 1 -Lot 3 -Lots Average Avg. Unit Size (GSF) 1,519 1,424 1,472 Purchase Price/GSF $ 293 $ 275 $ 284 Purchase Price $ 445,057 $ 391,617 $418,342 Mortgage °% 80.00°% 80.00% Mortgage Pmt./Mo. $2,369 $2,084 Prop. Tax Rate 1.05% 1.05°% Homeowners Deduct. $ 7,000 $ 7,000 Property TaxfYr. $ 4,600 $ 4,038 PropertyTax/Mo. $ 383 $ 337 Property Insurance/Mo. $ 100 $ 100 HOA DueslMo. $ 208 $ 208 Total Housing CostslMo, $ 3,060 $ 2,729 Total Housing CostslYr. $ 36,726 $ 32,751 Housing Costs/Hhld Income 35.00% 35.00% Annual Household Income $ 104,931 $ 93,573 $ 99,252 # Units/Project 5 Project Hhld. Income r$-4-96,-2-601 SaMONexM(Ine,)ds Page 24 HRBA, Inc. MOO Household Income and S endin B. ESTIMATING TOTAL HOUSEHOLD SPENDING FOR GOODS AND SERVICES IN TYPICAL NEW MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS Households in new market rate multi -family developments use their incomes to pay taxes, save for the future and purchase goods and services, including housing costs. Goods and services are provided by the public sector -- e.g., public safety, cultural and recreational, library and educational services -- and private sector -- e.g., groceries, clothing, medical services and domestic help. The amount and pattern of goods and services consumption varies by level of household income. Upper-income households, like those who will occupy new market rate multi- family developments in the City, have more to spend and spend it on more discretionary items than households of more modest means. Because consumption -related expenditures are a crucial element of the national economy, data about them is tracked on a regular basis by the Bureau of Economic Analysis ("BEA") of U.S. Department of Commerce and the Bureau of Labor Statistics ("BLS") of the U.S. Department of Labor. The BEA measures the relationship between total personal income and personal consumption expenditures on a national basis; the BLS sponsors regular surveys to measure consumer expenditures by category, region of the nation and income level. In this Chapter, BEA data are used to estimate the portion of total household income in the four new market rate multi -family development prototypes that is available, on average for purchase of goods and services, including housing costs. The BLS data are used in the IMPLAN input-output model, described in the next Chapter, to account for the employment associated with the particular spending characteristics of upper-income households. Table III -5 shows that, on average, about 75.5 percent of total household income is available for consumption expenditures, including housing costs. The remainder is attributable to taxes, social insurance contributions (e.g., wage earner's share of payments into Social Security), savings and consumer interest. New Multi-F'ainilyDevelopment AlffordableHousingNexus Page25 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &A Ischuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Householdlncome ands endin Applying this consumption expenditure percentage to total per -prototype household income means that typical five -unit market rate apartment and condominium projects generate between $253,000 and $375,000 in annual spending on goods and services, as shown in Table III - 6. New Multi Family Development -Affordable (lousing Nexus Page 26 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &A Ischulet-, Inc. July 7, 1998 Table III -5 PERSONAL INCOME AND ITS DISPOSITION IN THE U.S., 1995 Item Amount Percent ($billions) Personal Income Less Taxes Less Social Insurance Contribution Adjusted Personal Income $6,112.4 -794.3 -294.5 $5,023.6 100.0% -13.0% -4.8% 82.2% Disposable Income (including Social Insurance Contribution) Less Savings Less Consumer Interest Less Foreign Transfers $5,318.1 -246.6 -131.7 _ 14.9 $4,924.9 100.0 -4.6% -2.5% -0.3°% 92.6°% Net Disposable Income Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) 75.5% (Adjusted Personal Income x Net Disposable Income) Applying this consumption expenditure percentage to total per -prototype household income means that typical five -unit market rate apartment and condominium projects generate between $253,000 and $375,000 in annual spending on goods and services, as shown in Table III - 6. New Multi Family Development -Affordable (lousing Nexus Page 26 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &A Ischulet-, Inc. July 7, 1998 Household Income and S endln Table 111-6 TOTAL ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME AND CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES FOR FOUR PROTOTYPICAL 5 -UNIT NEW MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS IN THE CITY OF SANTA MONICA Prototype Per -Household Per -Prototype Per -Prototype Average Average Annual Average Annual Annual Consumption IncomeHousehold Income 2 Expenditures s Apt. (Lower -Cost Area) 67,038 335,189 253,068 Apt. (Higher -Cost Area) 85,184 425,919 321,569 Condo (Lower -Cost Area) 77,536 387,681 292,699 Condo (Higher -Cost Area) 99,252 496,260 374,676 ' From Table 111-4. 2 Per -Household Average Annual Income x 5 units per prototype. 75.5% x Per -Prototype Average Annual Household Income. The next Chapter analyzes the types and amount of employment needed in public sector organizations and private sector businesses to meet the demand from annual consumption spending by the five households in each prototypical new market rate multi -family development. New Multi -Family Development Affordable Housing Nextis Page 27 Hamilton, Rabinovhz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 IN. THE CONSUMPTION -RELATED EMPLOYMENT AND EMPLOYEE AFFORDABLE HOUSING IMPACTS OF NEW MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENT This Chapter describes how the MLAN input-output model for the economy of Los Angeles County was used to estimate the total employment impacts of consumption -related spending by households in typical market rate multi -family projects. But, not all of these workers are lower-income, and only some of these are members of households that meet the definition of a "low-income"-- i.e., earning up to 60 percent of the Los Angeles County median income, or about $25,000 per year for a two -person household. Deriving the subset of households meeting these criteria was accomplished using the Public Use Microdata Sample (PDMS) for Los Angeles County, a specialized scientific sample of 1990 census data. This Chapter describes the PDMS data set and how it was used to derive the estimates of the affordable housing needed to accommodate employees whose jobs result from consumption expenditures by households in new market rate multi -family developments in Santa Monica. A. MARGINAL EMPLOYMENT IMPACTS GENERATED FROM CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES BY HOUSEHOLDS IN NEW MARKET RATE MULTI- FAMILY ULTIFAMILY DEVELOPMENTS IN SANTA MONICA 1. Overview of Input -Output Modeling and the IMPLAN Model Input-output analysis is a method for understanding the economic interactions within an economy, both between businesses and between businesses and consumers. It captures all monetary market transactions for consumption in a given period of time. The resulting mathematical formulae can be used to measure the effects of a change in one or more economic activities on an entire region, including the output, income and employment impacts of a plan, policy or level of new investment. It measures not only the total amount of impact, but also the particular sectors of the economy in which the change exerts the most influence. In form, an input-output model resembles a giant matrix, or spreadsheet, composed of three distinct tables: Input -Output Table. The input-output table (or flow of transaction table) establishes the relationships between each industry and its suppliers, or between a household and the producers of household goods and services. In consists of a table of all of the output sales by each sector to itself and all other sectors, including households, and of all the input purchases made by each sector from itself and every other sector, again including New Multi -Family Development-Affoi dahle Housing Nexus Page 28 Hamilton, Rahinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Employment and Em to ee Housing Impacts households. "Inflows" of goods and services needed by an industry (i.e., the purchasing sectors) are the matrix columns and the rows consist of the "outputs", or selling sectors. Technical Cosi Coefficient Table. This is derived from the input-output table. Each cell in a purchasing sector (i.e., a matrix column) represents the dollar value of the input from a selling sector (Le., matrix row) that goes into the production of a dollar's worth of output in that particular purchasing sector. Inverse Matrix. This is derived from the technical cost coefficient table using matrix algebra. Each cell in a purchasing sector indicates the dollar value of the total change in the selling sector that is needed to meet a dollar's worth of change in the purchasing sector's output, after the entire economy has adjusted to the initial change. Because most inverse matrices are derived from dollar flow tables, total impacts computed from the matrices are expressed in dollar terms. If, on the other hand, the tables are based on physical labor inputs, the values are expressed in terms of jobs. The combination of these three tables makes it possible to determine which sectors of an area's economy are affected, and by how much, when a dollar's worth of change, or "final demand," such as new household spending, is added to a particular sector or sectors of the economy. Input-output models are used throughout the world. Most such models created in the U.S. are based on the trade flow relationships contained in the input-output model created for the national economy by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.30 Although they are very powerful and widely used analysis tools, there are some important limitations to input-output models that should be kept in mind when evaluating the model results. First, the inter -industry relationships on which they are based necessarily derive from historical experience that may no longer be accurate for the current economy, particularly when the economy has been subjected to profound changes like those of the past decade. Second, the input-output model is a snapshot of the economic performance of an area, when in reality, a local economy is in a constant state of reaction to internal and external changes. IMPLAN (IMpact analysis for PLANning) is one widely used input-output model used across the nation to assess the economic impacts of programs, policies and projects. IMPLAN was originally developed by the U.S. Forest Service, the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the Bureau of Land Management to assist in federal land and resource management planning. It has evolved from a mainframe, non -interactive application that ran in "batch" mode to a menu - 30 See generally, U.S. Dept. Of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, The 1982 Input -Output Structure of the U.S. Economy, Washington D.C., 1992. Annual input-output tables are published by BEA. New Multi Fancily Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 29 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Employment and Employee Housing Im acts driven microcomputer program that is completely interactive." The data used in the IMPLAN models derive from the economic censuses prepared by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and various BLS studies. Models were created for the nation, each state and counties within states, all of which are internally consistent and controlled to the national economy. National -level data are adjusted with state- and county -specific data to tailor the trade flow assumptions to each area. Employment data are derived from reports provided by every county and state to the Bureau of Labor Statistics as part of the national unemployment insurance program operated by the states. These data include average annual wage and salary information, establishment counts, employee counts and payrolls. Other data are used to account for employees who are not covered by unemployment insurance (e.g., self-employed persons). Today, "LAN is used for the preparation of economic impact analyses by many public and private agencies, including the California Department of Finance. Locally, it has been used, for example, to estimate the economic impacts of a major hospital campus reconstruction plan," a professional hockey and basketball stadium proposed for a site adjacent to the Convention Center in the Los Angeles Central Business District,33 a plan to add 10 million square feet of new office and other commercial development around Union Station,34 and Universal Studios' proposal to increase the intensity of development at Universal City, home of Universal Studio Hollywood, CityWalk and the world headquarters of Universal's film and television production facilities.35 The IMPLAN model is similar to RIMS II, another popular input-output model developed by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, in terms of its basic structure, availability at the county scale of geography, and data sources. The principal difference is that IMPLAN is a 31 Minnesota IMPLAN Cnoup, IMPLANProfessional, Social Accounting & Impact Analysis Software, 1996. 32 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc., Estimates of the Economic and Tax Revenue Impacts of the Saint John's Health Center and the Health Center's Campus Master Plan, November 17, 1997. 33 Price -Waterhouse, Economic and Fiscal Impact Analysis for the Proposed Los Angeles Arena, prepared for the Community Redevelopment Agency of the City of Los Angeles, October 1996. 34 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc., The Employment, Housing and Population Impacts of the Alameda District Plan, 1995. This Report is a Technical Appendix to the project's Final Environmental Impact Report, which was certified by the Los Angeles City Council in 1996. 35 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc., The Economic and Fiscal Impacts of the Universal City Specific Plan, Draft, December 1996. Data from this analysis was also used in I R&A's analyses of the employment, housing, population and public schools impacts of the project, which are included as Technical Appendices to the project's Draft EIR now in public review. NewMulti-Family Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 30 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Employment and Employee Housing Impacts microcomputer based mode136 that allows the analyst to generate more detailed project -specific impact analyses, including estimates of direct, indirect and induced impacts, and to modify default data derived from national relationships if more specific local data are available. Estimates of employment impacts are derived by entering a measure of new economic activity, called "final demand," into the appropriate MWLAN industry sectors. IMPLAN then traces the effect of that new economic activity through every other sector of the economy. In the case of new household spending, IlVIPLAN allocates personal consumption expenditures to industry sectors consistent with national personal consumption expenditure patterns derived from annual spending surveys, and uses one of three income -level specific distribution patterns (i.e., low-, middle- and high- income). The 528 industry sectors in the EVIPLAN model, like the national input-output model on which it is based, are composites of Standard Industrial Classifications (SIC), the nation's official system for classifying businesses by their activity or product. Each industry that produces goods and services generates demands for other goods and services. These iterations in the economy are described by "multipliers." IMPLAN measures three categories of economic impact, which together capture the complete "multiplier effect" of new economic activity in an area, such as new spending by upper-income households who occupy new market rate multi -family development projects in Santa Monica. These impact categories are as follows: Directlmpacts. These include all jobs, earnings (i.e., wages and benefits) and total economic output (a local version of the gross domestic product) created directly from new household spending for goods and services, which economists refer to as "final demand." Indirect Impacts. Indirect impacts are created by business purchases of goods and services that are used as inputs to meet final demand. These include, for example, jobs and earnings associated with the production of goods sold at retail. Induced Impacts. Induced impacts are created by direct and indirect employee spending for a variety of household goods and services. These impacts, including still other jobs, earnings and economic output, will most likely occur near the homes of the direct and indirect employees. These impacts are associated with a wide variety of convenience goods (e.g., banks and supermarkets), comparison shopping goods (e.g., car dealers, household appliances and furniture stores) and services. 36 See generally, Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc., IMPLANProfessional, Social Accounting and Impact Analysis Software, 1996. New Multi Fatnily Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Page 31 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &A Ischuler, Inc. July 7, I998 Employment and Employee Housing Impacts For the analysis reported here, an IMPLAN model of the Los Angeles County economy as of 1996 (the latest model year) was used. The County is used because it is a functional economic area. That is, it is a self-sufficient economic unit that includes most of the places where people live, work and shop, most of the businesses that supply goods and services to other businesses, and the travel corridors that connect businesses and consumers. Although IMPLAN can be used for smaller geographic areas, such as the City, doing so would not capture all of the trade flow relationships of consumer spending by households in new market rate multi -family developments. 2. IMPLAN Estimates of Marginal Employment Impacts As noted in Chapter III, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics {"BLS") sponsors the Consumer Expenditure Survey program. The surveys, conducted for BLS by the Bureau of the Census, track the buying habits of American consumers through its Consumer Expenditure Survey. These are the same surveys that are used, in part, to establish the Consumer Price Index. The survey program has two components. The first is an interview panel survey in which the expenditures of consumers are obtained during five interviews conducted every three months. The second is a diary completed by participating households for two consecutive one-week periods, which tracks expenditures on small, frequently purchased items which are not always captured precisely in the interviews. The two surveys query independent samples of consumers that are representative of the national population. Data are collected in 88 urban and 16 rural areas of the country. Data from the two surveys are then integrated, and are reported for various geographic areas of the nation, income group and other characteristics. The IMPLAN model relies on these data and translates the BLS data's consumer unit values into household values, using U.S. census and other data. RMIPLAN provides impact data for three household income categories: 1) low-income (less than $20,000); 2) middle-income ($20,000-$50,000); and 3) high-income (over $50,000). Because the average household incomes in new market rate multi -family developments in Santa Monica all exceed $50,000, the "high- income" consumption expenditure patterns in the IMPLAN model were used. Entering the estimate of total per -prototype household consumption expenditures into the EVIPLAN model, using the high-income household expenditure distribution pattern, results in estimates that the consumption expenditures by upper-income households in typical new market - rate multi -family developments in Santa Monica generate between 3.7 and 5.5 total workers, primarily in the retail trade and services sectors of the economy. Table IV -1 shows the distribution of direct, indirect, induced and total employment, by major industry categories, for Prototype #2 (apartment -higher -cost area), as an example. New Multi Family Develop hent -Affordable Housing Nexus Page 32 Hanulton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Employment and Em to ee Housing Impacts The proportions of employment by industry are consistent across prototypes; the number of employees per industry varies with the amount of consumption spending, as summarized in Table IV -2. More detailed results from the IWLAN model are included in Appendix A. New Multi-Fainily Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 33 Hamilton, Robinovitz & Alschulei, Inc. July 7, 1998 Table IV -1 DISTRIBUTION OF EMPLOYMENT RESULTING FROM HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY, MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY PROTOTYPE #2 (APARTMENT -HIGHER COST AREA) Direct Indirect Induced Jobs Total Major Industry Sector Jobs Jobs Jobs' Agriculture & Mining 0.01 0.2 0.01 1.3 0.01 0.4 0.02 0.4 Construction 0.00 0.1 0.06 8.2 0.02 1.6 0.08 1.6 Manufacturing 0.11 3.8 0.05 7.6 0.06 4.5 0.21 4.5 Trans p.ICommun.lUtil. 0.19 6.7 0.09 13.4 0.10 8.1 0.38 8.0 Wholesale Trade 0.04 1.4 0.00 --- 0.01 1.0 0.05 1.1 Retail Trade 1.12 39.5 0.04 5.8 0.41 32.9 1.57 33.0 Finance/lnsur./Real Est. 0.14 5.1 0.12 17.6 0.09 7.5 0.36 7.5 Services 1.02 35.9 0.28 41.8 0.47 37.8 1.77 37.3 Government 0.21 .7.a _QJU _4-a _QM ALZ 9-1 _fU Total` 2.83 100.0 0.68 100.0 1.25 100.0 4.76 100.0 ' Totals may not sum precisely due to independent rounding. = Less than 0.01 Source: HR A The proportions of employment by industry are consistent across prototypes; the number of employees per industry varies with the amount of consumption spending, as summarized in Table IV -2. More detailed results from the IWLAN model are included in Appendix A. New Multi-Fainily Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 33 Hamilton, Robinovitz & Alschulei, Inc. July 7, 1998 Em to ment and Employee Housinig Impacts Table IV- 2 TOTAL EMPLOYMENT DEMAND RESULTING FROM TOTAL HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN FOUR PROTOTYPICAL MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS IN THE CITY OF SANTA MONICA Prototype Per -Prototype Direct Indirect Average Annual Employees Employees Induced Employees Total Employees z Consumption Expenditures ' Apt. -- Lower Cost Area $253,068 2.23 0.533 1.00 3.74 Apt. - Higher Cost Area $321,569 2.83 0.68 1.25 4.76 Condo -- Lower -Cost Area $292,699 2.57 0.62 1.14 4.33 Condo - Higher -Cost Area $374,676 3.30 0.79 1.46 5.54 AVERAGE $310,503 2.73 0.65 1.21 4.59 ' From Chapter 111, Table 111-6. z May not sum precisely due to independent rounding. B. MARGINAL AFFORDABLE HOUSING IMPACTS GENERATED FROM CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES BY HOUSEHOLDS IN NEW MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS IN SANTA MONICA 1. The Public Use Microdata Sample From the 1990 U.S. Census The decennial U.S. Census of Population and Housing includes both published summary data and public use microdata on computer tape. The summary data are the most widely used version of census information, but their usefulness in analysis is limited by the fact that they include discrete characteristics of a particular geographic area. It is not possible to derive subsets of the data beyond those that are already published. For example, the published data provide the information about the numbers of households who fall within various income ranges, and the distribution of workers among sectors of the economy and occupational categories, but It is not possible to derive the number of low-income workers in a specific sector or occupation from the published data. PDMS data, on the other hand, allow for cross -tabulations of one census variable by any other census variable, because the basic unit of data is a household and its occupants. The PUMS data are drawn from a five -percent sample of households who completed the long -form (i.e., New Multi-ramily Development Affordable Housing Nexrrs Page 34 Hamillon, Rabinovilz &Alschulei, Inc. July 7, 1998 Employment and Employee Housing Impacts detailed) census questionnaire. This includes a detailed categorization of the industry sector in which each employed member of the household works. Data are reported for geographic areas of about 100,000 population each.37 For this analysis, HR&A used a summary set of PDMS data for Los Angeles County to match the geographic extent of the RV PLAN employment estimates. The principal limitation of the PDMS data is that, like all census data, It becomes available only at ten- year intervals. 2. Estimating the Number of Low -Income Worker Households The total employment demand generated by consumption spending in new market rate multi -family developments in Santa Monica, as presented above, includes workers at all income levels. Because this analysis seeks to determine the connection between such developments and the need for housing affordable to low-income households, it is necessary to determine what portion of all such workers fall within this income category. This requires a two-part analysis using the PDMS data. First, the percentage of low-income households was estimated using the 1990 PUMS data for Los Angeles County. The IMPLAN employment estimates were sorted to identify the 58 sectors (out of a total of 528 IMPLAN sectors) that account for almost 92% of all household consumption impacts. A crosswalk between the industry categories used by the IMPLAN model and the industry categories used by PDMS was developed to identify workers in the PDMS data (and their households) who were employed in the 58 most affected sectors." A variable that identifies workers employed in any of the 58 sectors was created in the PDMS data so that the affected workers and households could be further analyzed. Because the household incomes reported in PDMS were current as of 1989, the year preceding the Census enumeration, a household income adjustment was required to bring the income data into conformance with current Santa Monica "low-income" thresholds, which vary by number of persons per household.34 An evaluation of median family income estimates used for 37 Because Santa Monica's 1990 population fell short of this threshold, its PUMS data is combined with that for several other coastal and Santa Monica Mountains communities rendering It less useful for analysis than larger population centers. 38 The PUMS data used an industry classification numbering system that corresponds with the industry numbering system in the M'LAN model, both of which are based on the U.S. government's Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system. The correspondence between the U.S. Census (i.e., PUMS) classification system and the IMPLAN model's system is shown in the first two columns of the IMPLAN employment estimates in Appendix A. 39 The City's thresholds for FY 1997-98 were up to $21,546 for a one-person household; up to $24,624 for a two -person household; up to $27,702 for a three-person household; and up to $30,780 for a four -person household. Near Multi-Fandly Development -Affordable Rousing Nexus Page 35 Handiton, Rabinovitz & Rlschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Employment and Employee Housing Impacts means testing in many federal programs indicated that the 1989 income figures from PDMS should be increased by 26 percent in order to approximate 1996 income levels." The adjusted household income values for workers in the 58 industry sectors affected by consumption spending in typical new market rate multi -family developments in Santa Monica were then arrayed against Santa Monica's low-income housing qualification thresholds. Tabulating the results of the comparison between adjusted household income and the qualifying thresholds shows that approximately 17 percent (16.74%) of all workers in the 58 affected industry sectors are members of low-income households. This percentage was applied to the total employment estimates presented in Chapter IV to calculate the number of low-income workers in those industries that are affected by consumption spending from households in new market rate multi -family developments in Santa Monica. The consumption -related spending by households in the four prototypical five -unit apartment and condominium developments generates demand, therefore, for between two-thirds (4.63) and one (0.93) low-income worker, as shown in Table IV -3, 40 Income Statistics Branch/I-H-IES Division, U.S, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, Median Income for 4 -Person Families, By State, February 26, 1998. New Multi Family DevelopmentAffordable Housing Nexus Page 36 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Employment and Em to ee Housing Impacts Table IV -3 DERIVATION OF LOW-INCOME WORKER DEMAND RESULTING FROM TOTAL HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN FOUR PROTOTYPICAL 5 -UNIT MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS IN THE CITY OF SANTA MONICA Prototype Per -Prototype Per -Prototype Total Average Annual Average Annual Workers Low -Income Workers " Household Consumption Income' Expenditures 2 Apt. -- Lower Cost Area $335,189 $253,068 3.74 0.63 Apt. - Higher Cost Area $425,919 $321,569 4.76 0.80 Condo -- Lower -Cost Area $387,681 $292,699 4.33 0.73 Condo - Higher -Cost Area $496,260 $374,676 5.54 0.93 AVERAGE $411,263 $310,503 4.59 0.77 From Chapter III, Table 111-4. s From Chapter III, Table 111-6. ' From Chapter IV, Table IV -2. a Total Workers x 16.74%. Source: HFMA Not all low-income workers are necessarily members of low-income households. The next step in the analysis, therefore, was to estimate the number of low-income households associated with these low-income workers, because many households are supported by more than one worker. Tabulations of the PDMS data show that households with low-income workers in one of the 58 most affected sectors contain, on average, about 2.4 workers (2.363). The number of new low income households is estimated by dividing the number of low income workers by this factor. As shown in Table IV -4, consumption spending by households in the four prototypical new market rate multi -family projects in Santa Monica creates demand for between one-quarter (0.27) and one-third (0.39) low-income worker household. New Multi -Family Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 37 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler; Inc. July 7, 1998 Em to meat and Em to ee Housln Im acts Each of these households, by definition, requires a corresponding fraction of a unit of housing at a price within their means, as defined by federal, State and City housing programs. The cost to the City of providing these units, and what this implies about a fee that may be charged developers of new market rate multifamily developments to offset this cost, are discussed in the next Chapter. NeipMulfi gamily Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Page 38 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &A Ischuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Table IV -4 DERIVATION OF LOW-INCOME WORKER HOUSEHOLD DEMAND RESULTING FROM TOTAL HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN FOUR PROTOTYPICAL 5 -UNIT MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS Prototype Per -Prototype Total Low -Income Low -Income Average Annual Workers 2 Workers Worker Household Households Income Apt. - Lower Cost Area $335,189 3.74 0.63 0.27 Apt. -- Higher Cost Area $425,919 4.76 0.80 0.34 Condo -- Lower -Cost Area $387,681 4.33 0.73 0.31 Condo -- Higher -Cost Area $496,260 5.54 0.93 0.39 AVERAGE $411,263 4.59 0.77 0.33 ' From Chapter III, Table I11-6. 2 From Chapter Ill, Table IV -2. 3 From Table IV -3. 4 Low-income Workers divided by 2.36 low-income workers per household. Sourcen HR&A Each of these households, by definition, requires a corresponding fraction of a unit of housing at a price within their means, as defined by federal, State and City housing programs. The cost to the City of providing these units, and what this implies about a fee that may be charged developers of new market rate multifamily developments to offset this cost, are discussed in the next Chapter. NeipMulfi gamily Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Page 38 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &A Ischuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 V. ESTIMATING JUSTIFIABLE DEVELOPMENT FEES Chapter IV presented estimates of the marginal demand for affordable housing caused by the consumption spending from typical new market rate multi -family developments. The cost of producing this much affordable housing, taking into account any other fund sources that are reasonably foreseeable, is a basis for arriving at a reasonable development fee, as presented in this Chapter. A. THE CITY'S SUBSIDY GAP TO DEVELOP RENTAL UNITS AFFORDABLE TO LOW-INCOME HOUSEHOLDS The City of Santa Monica has generally relied on non-profit, community-based development organizations to develop units in the City that are affordable to lower income households. The process is complicated by the need to merge a variety of public and private funding sources and a bewildering mix of regulations and procedures that accompany each source of funding, which are sometimes in conflict with one another. Further, these projects must be carried out in the same real estate market environment as for-profit projects. 1. Development and Operating Costs The cost of developing affordable units through non-profit developers is, in general, somewhat less expensive than the cost of producing for-profit housing, but not much less. The reasons the savings may appear less than the "non-profit" status of the organization may initially suggest include: Multi -layered Financing. The layered subsidy, debt and equity structure used in the non- profit housing production process -- with four to six funding sources per project not uncommon -- allows rents to be maintained at levels deemed "affordable" to lower-income households. However, packaging these resources is technically complex, time consuming, costly, and can result in inefficient choices about project size, unit mix and design. Transaction costs, particularly the cost of arranging for equity contributions through the Federal Low Income Housing Tax Credit program, are expensive. ■ Accommodating Numerous Public Objectives. Non-profit development projects, because of their public nature, typically involve more time consuming planning and approval processes (e.g., neighborhood design workshops), are sometimes held to a higher (and more costly) standard of design, incur unique development costs (e.g., payment of prevailing construction wages) and often provide a higher level of building management New Multi -Family Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 39 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Justifiable Develo me_tFees and tenant services than is typical of private projects. Yet, non-profit projects compete for land and buildings in the same real estate market, and have to pay about the same costs for numerous professional services (e.g., architects and engineers), as the private sector. 2. Affordable Housing Funding Resources Contrary to the situation in the late 1980s and early 1990s, there are today only very limited sources of funding for either new construction of affordable housing, or the acquisition and rehabilitation of existing buildings to maintain them as affordable housing. Funds to develop affordable housing in Santa Monica generally come from three sources. Loans Supported By Affordable Tenant Rents. Affordable housing projects typically produce enough net operating income to support a modest mortgage, which is usually obtained from a bank or an intermediary institution at below-market rates (e.g., about one percentage point below conventional permanent loans for apartment buildings, or about 7.00% today). The maximum loan amount is a function of the average affordability level of the tenant households, which dictates the maximum rent they are considered able to pay under Federal, State and City guidelines,41 and the typical costs of operating the building (e.g., administration, maintenance, property taxes, an allowance for rent collection losses), plus a reserve for operating losses and building systems replacement. The income side of the ledger is therefore constrained by tenant affordability limits, and the cost side of the ledger is generally higher than in private development, because non-profit developers tend to provide a higher level of service to tenants, and are required by public lenders to maintain higher reserves, than is typical in for-profit projects. Thus, the amount of net operating income (gross income minus operating expenses and the losses allowance) available from an affordable housing development can only support a relatively small loan, even at below-market interest rates. The Federal Low -Income Housing Tax Credit. About the only remaining non -City public funding resource for affordable housing is equity raised through selling tax credits to 41 Federal, State and City laws and policies define three household income categories that merit special housing assistance: very low-income households (earning under 50% of the Los Angeles County Median Family Income (IIID), low-income households (51%-80% x MFT, depending on the program) and moderate -income households (81 %- 120% x MFI, depending on the program). These income thresholds, coupled with a Federal standard that a household should not pay more than 30 percent of its income for housing costs, the Los Angeles County MFR, which is adjusted by the Federal government each year and a City calculation that converts household size to unit size, is the basis for establishing maximum affordable rents and for -sale housing purchase prices eaeh year. New Multi -Family Development Affordable Housing Nexits Page 40 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Aischuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Justifiable Develo mentFees private investors under the Federal Low -Income Housing Tax Credit program. Because of the way these credits are made available in California, and the fierce competition for them from both non-profit and for-profit developers, the maximum credit, equal to about nine percent of eligible development costs, is no longer available to projects in Los Angeles County. Four percent tax credits are still readily available when used in combination with the issuance by the City of tax-exempt bonds. This is the approach that will most likely be used in the future to build new affordable housing in Santa Monica. Though the tax credit is available to projects in which all of the units are rented at prices affordable to households at 60 percent of the County median family income, the City's affordable housing projects usually attempt to also assist households of even more limited means. Thus, as a practical matter, neither tax credits nor any other non -City financial assistance would be available to projects in which all of the units were affordable at Proposition R's and Ordinance 1615's definitions of "low-" and "moderate" -income (i.e., 60% and 100% x MEI, respectively). City Resources. The City has several current, and projected future, sources of funds that it channels into the development of affordable housing. Briefly, these include:42 -- Federal Affordable Housing Funds Allocated to Santa Monica. The City receives annual allocations of funds under two Federal programs for affordable housing, on a formula basis. These are the HOME Investment Partnership and the Community Development Block Grant. Only a portion of the funds received by the City are used for new construction of affordable housing. The annual amounts of the City allocations depend on national budget decisions made each year by the U.S. Congress, and the local share of those funds available for affordable housing development depend on annual City budget decisions. -- Repayment ofMERL Program Loans. The City will eventually receive repayment of $33.4 million in loans from CDBG and HOME funds made available by the Federal government to assist with reconstruction of damaged multi -family buildings after the 1994 Northridge earthquake. Loan repayment proceeds will be restricted to uses eligible under the CDBG and HOME programs (i.e., to benefit lower-income households), including affordable housing development. -- Redevelopment Housing Funds. At least 20 percent of the tax increment revenues derived from the City's four redevelopment project areas must be reserved for the 42 More detailed explanations of these programs, their projected five-year yields, and the number of new affordable units they are estimated to help support, are included in Appendix D to the Housing Element Update. New Multi Family Development-AffordableHousing Nexus Page 41 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Justifiable Development Fees production of affordable housing. -- Other Existing Development Fee Programs, The City also receives funding for affordable housing through an existing fee on the development of commercial office buildings, and the remaining balance of tax revenues from the sale of condominiums converted from apartments under the Tenant Ownership Rights Charter Amendment (TORCA), which has now expired. -- Other Miscellaneous City Programs. Funding is also available for affordable housing development from repayment of an inter -fund loan to assist with the purchase of property at the corner of Pico and Cloverfield Boulevards to expand Virginia Park, funds committed through negotiated Development Agreements and from the existing Ordinance 1615 in lieu fee program (less than $100,000 projected over the next five years). The City Council also allocates funds from the General Fund to assist development of affordable housing. -- New Tax -Exempt Bond Program. The draft 1998-2003 Housing Element Update proposes a new funding program through which the City would issue tax-exempt bonds to provide below-market rate loans for affordable housing development. 3. City Financial Contributions to Affordable Housing Projects The scale of the City's contribution to the cost of affordable housing projects, through one or more of the above sources, is derived by subtracting the value of a rent -supportable mortgage and any Federal, State or other non -City debt, equity or subsidies from total development cost. The current per-unit subsidy gap for newly constructed rental units affordable to low- and moderate -income households is as shown in Table V-1 (all calculation details are provided in Appendix B): New Multi -Family Development -Affordable Housing Nexus Page 42 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &,41schuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Justifiable Develo mentFees Table V-1 PER-UNIT NEW DEVELOPMENT SUBSIDY GAP FOR VERY LOW- AND LOW- INCOME HOUSEHOLDS, CITY OF SANTA MONICA, 1998 (includes blend of 2- and 3 -BR units and a blend of high and low land prices) Calculation Component Very Low -Income Low -Income (5011/6 x MFI) (60% x MFI) Development Cost (Range)' $182,920 - $274,901 $182,920 - $274,901 Predictable Debt/Equity Contributions (Range) 4% Tax Credits2 $37,512 - $48,528 NA Bank Loan3 $28.396 - $38.977 $49.638 - $61.426 Total $65,908 - 87,505 $49,638 - $61,426 Development Subsidy Gap (Range) $116,984 - $187,433 $133,044 - $213,844 Development Subsidy Gap (weighted average)' $134,822 $154,916 ' Includes land, construction, professional fees and construction financing costs. 2 Through sale of tax credits assigned via competitive application for Federal Low -Income Housing Tax Credit Program a Below-market rate loan through tax-exempt financing for the 50°x6 x MFI units; conventional loan for others. a Refer to calculation details in Appendix B. Snlil'1i4::U$&A The 60 percent of median scenario in Table V-1 does not include the four percent tax credit, because the City is unlikely to pursue tax credits for a tax-exempt project in which all of the units rent at exactly the 60 percent -of -median level. If it did, the weighted average City subsidy gap would decline to $112,988 (i.e., by the amount of the additional tax credit). Accounting for tenant -supportable debt and assumptions about the most likely mix of units sizes and City submarket areas where new affordable housing would be constructed, it is estimated that the average City financial contribution, or subsidy, to produce an affordable unit is about $155,000. Using this value is particularly appropriate because evidence is beginning to show that, with the improving real estate market and other pressures, such as partial decontrol of rents with full implementation of the Costa -Hawkins Rental Housing Act, land costs are beginning to rise above the assumptions used in the above modeling work. New Multi Family Development Affordable Housing Nexus Page 43 Hainilion, Rabinovitz & Rlschuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Justifiable DevelopmentFees B. JUSTIFIABLE DEVELOPMENT FEES Multiplying this average per-unit subsidy amount by the number of affordable housing units needed to meet the consumption demands of new market rate multi -family developments yields the fee amount that could reasonably be charged to the developer to offset the City's costs. This fee amount can also be expressed as a function of the gross floor area of a typical new market rate multi -family development, as shown in Table V-2. A more detailed summary of the chain of calculations in the nexus analysis is included as Appendix C. Table V-2 DERIVATION OF A DEVELOPMENT FEE TO OFFSET THE AFFORDABLE HOUSING DEMAND CAUSED BY TOTAL HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN FOUR PROTOTYPICAL 5 -UNIT MARKET RATE MULTI -FAMILY DEVELOPMENTS Prototype Per -Prototype Units of Total Fee Amount Average Annual Low-income Fee Per Gross Consumption Housing AmountSquare Foot 4 Expenditures' Demand' Apt. - Lower Cost Area $253,068 0.27 $41,090 $5.41 Apt. - Higher Cost Area $321,569 0.34 $52,215 $6.87 Condo -- Lower -Cost Area $292,699 0.31 $47,525 $6.26 Condo - Higher -Cost Area $374,676 0.39 $60,835 $8.01 ' From Chapter III, Table III -6. From Chapter IV, Table IV -4. 3 Low -Income Housing Demand x $154,916 (the City's average subsidy cost). 3 Total Fee Amount divided by 7,595 gross square feet per typical market rate multi -family development. Considering that the analysis is based on reasonable estimates of the affordable housing demand generated by prototypical new market rate apartments and condominiums, assumes that all households residing in each prototypical project's dwelling units exhibit average income and spending circumstances, and that there are pockets of lower-cost areas and higher -cost areas in each City submarket area, it would be appropriate for the Affordable Housing Production Program fee to be based on an average of the justifiable fees for each product type. The average of the justifiable fee for the two apartment prototypes is $6.14 per gross square foot for new market rate apartment developments, and $7.13 per gross square foot for new market rate condominium developments. New Multi -Fancily Development -Affordable 11ousing Nexus Page 44 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler•, Inc. July 7, 1998 Justifiable Development Fees Because the calculation of the fee is a direct function of the per -prototype average annual consumption expenditures which, in turn, is a function of the household income calculation and the housing cost -to -income ratio on which that calculation rests, a different fee level would result from alternative ratio assumptions. For example, if the apartment rent -to -income ratio is assumed to be equal to the 35 percent factor used for condominiums, the apartment fees would increase by $0.31-$0.39, or to an average of $6.49 per gross square foot (+$0.33). If on the other hand, the housing cost -to -income ratio for both the apartment and condominium were modified to meet the housing policy goal of 30 percent, the average apartment fee would increase to $7.58 (+$1.43) and the average condominium fee would increase to $8.32 (+$1.19). For the reasons presented in Chapter III, however, HR&A believes the ratios that underlie the results in Table V-2 are the most analytically defensible assumptions. These fee amounts in Table V-2 are generally consistent with the fee amounts that previous analysis indicates can be assessed such projects without the fee becoming a "governmental constraint" on new development, within the meaning of State housing element law. This analysis showed that fees on typical new market rate apartment projects could fall within a range of $546 per square foot. Fees on typical new market rate condominium projects could fall within a range of $448 per square foot using a return on equity feasibility threshold, or between $5 and $7 using a gross margin return threshold." Though a fee of $6.14 per gross square foot for apartments and $7.13 per gross square foot for condominiums, per Table V-2, could lower slightly the financial returns for some projects, the resulting returns would still be acceptable to enough developers to enable the City to achieve its "regional fair share" housing production target. We conclude, therefore, that Affordable Housing Production Program fees set at the average of the per -product type amounts shown in Table V-2 would not constitute a constraint on new development within the meaning of State law. 43 "HR&A, "Recommendations for Revising the City of Santa Monica's Inclusionary Housing Program," memorandum to Santa Monica Housing Manager Robert Moncrief, dated April 6, 1998, pp. 24-28. See also supplemental information, including modeling using a different feasibility threshold for condominiums, dated April 21, 1998. New Multi -Family Development -Affom-dable Housing Nexus Page 45 Hamilton, Rabinovitz &A Ischuler, Inc. July 7, 1998 Appendices APPENDIX A Total Employment Impacts Generated By Household Consumption Expenditures for Four Prototypical Market Rate Multi -Family Developments in the City of Santa Monica NetivMulti-FainilyDevelopttient-Affoi•dableHousing Nexus July7, 199$ Hamilton, Rab inovitz &Alschuler, Inc. MULTI -FAMILY PROTOTYPE #1 --APARTMENTS (Lower -Cost Area) 1990 Census IMPLAN Cumulative Ste Sector industry Direct` Indirect` Induced` Total` Percent Percent 041 454 Eating & Drinking 304.40 13.26 108.63 426.29 11.4% 11.4% 602 455 Miscellaneous Retail 179,31 2,89 86,20 248,39 6,691, 18.0% 820 490 Doctors and Dentists 157.90 0.00 54,98 212.89 5.791, 23.791, 5XX 447 Wholesale Trade 93.26 35.00 46.50 174.76 4.7% 28.4% 031 492 Hospble 110.16 0.01 47,55 167.72 4.2% 32.691, 600 449 General Merchandise Stores 98.26 1.40 33.50 133.16 3.6% 36.191, 831 450 Food Stores 88.01 2.07 35.67 125.75 3.4% 39.5% 612 821 451 Automotive Dealers & Service Stations 78.63 2.12 29.73 110.39 2.9% 42.4% 910 488 Amusement and Recreation Services, N.E.C. 65.74 0.47 21.37 87.59 2.3% 44,8% B50 496 Colleges, Universities, School@ 57.13 4.26 18.39 79.78 2.1% 46.991, 761 525 Domestic Services 55.86 0.00 19.49 76.37 2.0% 48.9% 823 452 Apparel & Accessory Stores BOAS 0.38 17.76 68,62 1.8% 60.8% 712 462 Real Estate 16.74 30.73 21.03 68.50 1.8% 52.6% 731 474 Personnel Supply Services 3.82 46.14 18.01 67.97 1.8% 54.4% 700 701 456 _ Banking 36.22 8.32 17.22 61.76 1.6% 56.1% 631 453 Furniture & Home Furnishings Stores 44.62 0.49 15.04 60.15 1.6% 67.7% 711 459 Insurance Carriers 41.58 2.77 13.89 58.24 1.6% 59.2% 842 495 Etementary and Secondary Schools 42.90 0.00 11.14 54.04 1.4% 60.7% 871 500 6oclal Services, N.E.C. 40,62 0,40 12.67 63,69 1.4% 82,1% 772 780 466 Beauty and Barber Shops 32.59 6.32 14.31 53.22 1.4% 63.5% 702 463 Hotels and Lodging Places 29.33 10.54 12.70 62.56 1.4% 64.9% 702 457 Credit Agencies 19.iS 16.94 13.26 51.36 1.4% 66.3% 840 493 Other Medical and Health Services 31.47 5.39 13.54 50.39 1.3% 67.6% 751 479 Automobile Repair and Services 31.67 3.34 11.67 46.59 1.2% 869% 771 464 Laundry, Cleaning and Shoe Repair 22,86 9.45 11.03 43.13 1.2% 70.0% 832 491 Nursing and Protective Care 21.33 0.00 21.49 42.82 1.1% 71.2% 841 494 Legal Services 17.87 12.02 12.22 42.11 1.1% 72.3% 873 INA Labor and Chic Organizations 31.66 0.06 10.30 42.02 1.1% 73.4% 580 591 582 448 Building Materials & Gardening 31,20 0.14 9.93 41.26 11.1% 74.5% 410 411 435 Motor Freight Transport and Warehousing 14.75 13.96 10.13 38.84 1.0% 75.6% 870 501 Rosldonllal Cara 29.12 - 0.00 9.00 38.12 1.0% 76.6% 60 66 Maintenance and Repair Other Facilities 0.00 27,11 9,72 36.53 1.091, 77.6% 741 470 Other Business Services 2.37 22.85 8.93 34.15 0.9% 78.5% 711 460 Insurance Agents and Brokers 0.00 24.20 7.58 31.78 0.6% 79.3% Boo 607 Accounting, Audit€ng and Bookkeeping 0.84 21.16 7.81 29.50 0.8% 80.1% 862 499 Child Day Care Servlees 20.52 0.00 6.28 27.04 0.7% 80.9% 722 472 Services To Buildings 5.37 13.86 7.19 26.41 0.7% 81.6% 860 497 Other Educations€ Services 18.53 0.77 6.13 25.42 0,7% 52.2% 732 475 Computer and Data Processing Services 0.99 17.03 6.41 24.44 0.7% 82.9% 412 613 U.S. Postal Service 5.25 12.58 6.19 24.02 0.6% 113.5% 872 602 Other Nonprofit Organizations 17.37 0.39 5.54 73.30 0.6% 84.2% 892 508 Management and Consulting Services 0.02 16.94 6.22 23.18 0.6% 84.8% 441 442 441 Communications, Except Radio and TV 11.18 5.35 6.46 22.99 0.6% 55.4% 810 489 Membership Sports and Recreation Clubs 15.24 0.68 5.62 22.34 0.6% 86.0% 60 55 Maintenance and Repair, Residential O.Oo 15.93 5.33 21.26 0.6% 86.6% 791 468 Miscellaneous Personal Services 15.41 0.14 5.12 20.67 0.6% 87.1% 740 476 Detective and Protective Services 6.58 8.69 5.Ot 19.28 0.5% 87.6% 710 458 Security and Commodity Brokers 6.93 6.44 5.21 18.58 0.5% 88.191, 151 124 Apparel Made From Purchased Materials 12.99 OAS 4,58 18.04 0.5% 88.6% 901 512 Other State and Local Govt Enterprises 10.46 1.97 4.68 17.09 0.5% 89.1% Bao 605 RalNlous Organizations 11.79 0.00 3.64 15.43 0.4% 89.6% 522. State & Local Government- Education 0.00 0.00 - 0.00 - 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 623 State & Local Government- Non -Education 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 524 Rest Of The World Industry 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 526 Dummy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 527 Dummy 0,00 0.00 0100 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 528 Inventory Valuation Adjustment 0.00 0.00 0100 0.00 0.0% 100.0% *Number of Jo" ganorated by $335,189,000 In PCE 2,225,24 633.54 985.30 3,744.09 Rescaled to Prototype 1= $335,189 in PCE 2,22624 0,53354 0,88530 3.74409 9a&IaHazY&WLAMp:athyhA. PA96 t HR&A, hc. 71TAS MULTI -FAMILY PROTOTYPE #2 -APARTMENTS (Highor-Coat Area) 1880 Census IMPLAN Cumulative Sic Sector Industry Direct, Indirect* Induced' Total Percent Percent 941 454 Eating & Drinking 386.82 16.86 €38.04 541.72 11.4% 11,4% B82 455 Miscellaneous Retail 227.86 3.67 64.12 315.64 6,6% 16.0% 820 490 Doctors and Dentists 200.66 0.00 89,87 270.53 5.7% 23.7% 5� 447 Wholesale Trade 118,51 44.47 59.09 222.08 4.7% 26.4% 831 492 Hospitals 139.99 0.01 60.42 200,43 4.2% 32.6% 600 449 General Merchandise Stores 124.86 1.78 42.57 169.21 3.6% 36.1% 811 450 Food Stores 111.84 2.63 45.33 159.80 3.4% 39.6% 012 021 451 Automotive Dealers & Service Stations 99.811 2.69 37,78 140.28 2.9% 42.4% 8110 488 Amusement and Recreation Servk:es, N.E.C. 83.54 0.60 27.16 111.30 2.3% 44.8% 850 496 Colleges, Unhreraities, Schools 72.60 5.41 23.37 191.38 2,1% 46.9% 791 525 Domestic Services 71.01 0.00 24,77 95.78 2.0% 48.9% 623 452 Apparel & Accessory Stores 64.15 0.48 22.57 87.21 1.8% 50.8% 712 462 Real Estate 21.27 39.05 26.73 87.04 1.8% 62.6% 731 474 Personnel Supply Services 4.86 68.63 22.88 86.37 1.8% 54.4% 700 701 456 Banking 46.02 10.58 21.88 78.48 1.6% 56.1% 931 453 Furniture & Home Furnishings Stores 50.71 0.62 19.11 76.44 1.6% 57.7% 711 459 Insurance Carriers 62.84 3.52 17.65 74.00 1.6% 69.2% 842 495 Elementary and Secondary SchDols 54.62 0.00 14.16 68.67 €.4% 60.7% a71 500 Social Services, N.E.C, 51.62 0,51 16.10 68.23 1.4% 62,1% 772 780 466 Beauty and Barbar Shops 41.41 8.03 18.19 67.63 1.4% 63.5% 762 463 Hotels and Lodging Places 37.28 13.40 16,14 66.81 1.4% 64.9% 702 457 Credit Agencies 24.35 24,07 16.85 65.27 1.4% 66.3% 840 493 Other Medical and Health Services 39.99 6.84 17.20 64.04 1.3% 67.6% 751 479 Automoblle Repair and Services 40.25 4.25 14.71 59.20 1.2% 68.9% 771 464 Laundry, Cleaning and Shoe Repair 28.80 12.01 14.01 54.81 1.2% 70,0% 832 491 Nursing and Protective Care 27.11 0.00 27.31 54.41 1,1% 71.2% 841 494 Legal Services 22.70 15.28 15.53 53,52 1.1% 72.3% 873 604 Laborand Civic Organizations 40.23 0.07 13,09 53.39 1.1% 73.4% 580 581 582 448 Building Materials & Gardening 39.65 0.17 12.61 52.44 1.1% 74,5% 410 411 435 Motor Freight Transport and Warehousing 18.75 17.73 12.87 49.35 1.0% 75.6% 870 501 Residential Care 37.01 0.00 11.43 48,44 1.0% 76.6% 60 56 Maintenance and Repair Other Facilities 0.00 34.45 12.35 46.80 1.0% 77.6% 741 470 Other Business Services 3.01 29.03 11.34 43.39 0.9% 78,6% 711 460 Insurance Agents and Brokers 0.00 30.75 9.63 40.38 0,8% 79.3% 890 607 Accounting, Auditing and Bookkeeping 1.07 26.88 9.92 37.67 0.8% 80.1% 882 499 Child Day Care Services 26.45 0.00 7.98 34.43 0.7% 80,9% 722 472 Services To Bulldings 6.82 17.61 9.13 33,56 0.7% 81.6% 860 497 Other Educational Services 23.65 0,96 7.78 32.31 0.7% 82.2% 732 475 Computer and Data Processing Services 1.26 21.64 8.15 31.05 0,7% 82.9% 412 613 U.S. Postal Service 6.68 15.96 7,87 30.62 0.6% 63.6% 872 602 Other Nonprofit Organlzatlons 22,07 0.50 7.04 29.61 0.6% 84.2% 892 508 Management and Consulting Services 0.02 21.53 7.91 29,46 0.6% 84.8% 441 442 441 Communications, Except Radio and TV 14.21 6,80 6.21 29.22 0.6% 85.4% 810 489 Membership Sports and Recreation Cubs 20.64 0.73 7.02 28.39 0.6% 86.0% 60 55 Maintenance and Repair, Residential 0.00 20.24 6,77 27.02 0.6% 86.6% 791 468 Miscellaneous Personal SerAcas €9,59 0.17 6.50 26.26 0,6% 87.1% 740 476 Detective and Protective Services 7.09 11.04 6.37 24.50 0.5% 87.6% 710 458 Security and Commodity Brokers 8.81 8.18 6.62 23.61 0.5% 88.1% 151 124 Apparel Made From Purchased Materials 16,51 0.61 5.81 22.93 0,5% 88.6% 801 512 Other State and Local Govt Enterprises 13.30 2.50 6.92 21,72 0.5% 89.1% 880 605 Religious Organizations 14.98 0.00 4,63 19.60 0.4% 89.5% 522 State & Local Government- Education 0.00 0,00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100,0% 523 State & Local Government - Non -Education 090 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100,0% 524 Rest Of The World Industry 0.00 0,00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100,0% 526 Dummy 0.00 0,00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100,0% 527 Dummy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 528 Inventory Valuation Adjustment 0,00 0,00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 'Number of Jobs by $425,919,000 In PCE 2,827,75 678.00 1,252.08 4,757.84 Rescaled to Protoypa 2 = $425,919 In PCE 2.82775 0,67800 1.25208 4.75784 a.IJoNwXWPLAWj*2Nghb. Peg.2 FWL4, W. 7rrf99 MULTI -FAMILY PROTOTYPE #3 -CONDOS (Lower -Coat Area) 1880 Census IMPLAN Cumulative sic Sector Industry Direct' Indirect' Induced' Total` Percent Percent 641 454 Eating & Drinking 352.07 15.34 125.64 493.05 11.4% 11.39% 682 456 Miscellaneous Retail 207.39 3.34 76.56 287,29 6.6% 1810291, 820 400 Doctors and Dentists 182,83 0.00 63.59 246.22 5.7% 23.71% 5xx 447 Wholesale Trade 107.67 40.46 53.78 202.13 4.7% 28.37% 831 492 Hospitals 127.42 0.01 55.00 182A2 4.296 32.5991, 600 449 General Merchandise Stores 113.66 1.62 38.74 154.01 3.6% 36.14% 611 450 Food Stores 101.79 2.40 41.25 145.45 3.4% 39.50% 612 021 451 Automotive Dealers & Service Stations 90.63 2.45 34.39 127.67 2,9% 42,4596 610 488 Amusement and Recreation Services, N.E.C. 76.03 0,55 24.72 101.30 2.3% 44.79% 850 496 Colleges, Universities, Schools 66.08 4.92 21.27 92.28 2.1% 46.92% 761 525 Domestic: Services 64.63 0.00 22.54 87.17 2.0% 46,9396 623 452 Apparel 8 Accessory Stares 58.39 0.44 20.54 79.37 1.8% 50.77% 712 462 Real Estate 19.36 36.54 24.33 79.22 1.8% 52.60% 731 474 Personnel Supp€y Services 4.42 53.37 20.83 78.61 1.8% 54.4196 700 701 456 Banking 41.69 9.63 19.91 71.43 1.6% 56.116% 631 453 Furniture & Home Furnishings Stares - 51.61 0.57 17.39 69.57 1.6% 57.67% 711 459 Insurance Carriers 48.09 3.20 16.06 67.36 1.8% 59,2296 842 496 Elementary and Secondary Schools 49.62 0.00 12.88 62,60 1.4% 60.67% 871 500 Social Services, N.E.C. 46.98 0.46 14.65 62.10 1.4% 62.10% 772 780 466 Beauty and Barber Shops 37.69 7.31 16.56 61.56 1.4% 63.52% 762 463 Hotels and Lodging Places - 33.93 12.19 14,69 60,81 1.4% 64.9396 702 457 Credit Agencies 22.16 21.91 15.34 59.40 1.4% 66.30% 840 493 Other Medical and Health Services 36.40 6.23 15.66 58.29 1.3% 67.64% 751 479 Automobile Repair and Services 36.63 3.87 13.39 53.89 1.296 66,6996 771 464 Laundry, Cleaning and Shoe Repair 26.21 10.93 12.75 49.80 1.2% 70.04% 932 491 Nursing and Protective Care 24.67 0.00 24.65 49.63 1.1% 71.18% 841 494 Legal Services 20.66 13.91 14.14 48.71 1.1% 72,3196 873 504 Labor and CIVIC Organizations 36.62 0,07 11.91 48,60 1.1% 73.43% 580 581 582 448 Building Materials & Gardening 36.09 0.16 11.48 47.73 1.1% 74.53% 410 411 435 Motor Freight Transport and Warehousing 17.06 16.14 11.72 44.92 1.0% 75.579h 870 501 Residential Care 33.69 0.00 10.40 44.09 1,0% 76.59% 00 56 Maintenance and Repair Other Facilities 0,00 31.36 11.24 42.60 1.0% 77.57% 741 470 Other Business Services 2.74 26.42 10.33 39.49 0.9% 78.48% 711 460 Insurance Agents and Brokers 0.00 27.99 8.76 36.75 0.8% 79,3396 890 607 Accounting, Auditing and Bookkeeping 0.97 24.47 9,03 34,47 0.896 80.13% 882 499 Child Day Care Services 24,08 0.00 7.26 31.34 0.7% 80.85% 722 472 Services To Buildings 6.21 16.03 8.31 30.55 0.7% 81.56% 860 497 Other Educational Services 21.43 0,89 7,08 29.41 0.7% 82.24% 732 475 Computer and Date Processing Services 1.14 19.70 7.42 28.26 0.7% 82.89% 412 513 U,S, Postal Service 6.08 14,54 7,16 27.78 0.6% 83.53% 972 602 Other Nonprofit Organizations 20.09 0.45 6.40 26.95 0.6% 84.15% 892 608 Management and Consulting Services 0.02 19.59 7.20 26.81 0.6% 84.7796 441 442 441 Communications, Except Radio and TV 12,93 6.19 7.47 26.69 0.6% 85.39% 810 489 Membership Sports and Recreation Clubs 18.79 0.67 6.39 25.64 0.6% 85A11% 60 55 Maintenance and Repair, Residential 0.00 18.42 6,16 24.59 0.6% 66.55% 791 468 Miscellaneous Personal Services 17.63 0.16 5.92 23.90 0.6% 87.10% 740 476 Detective and Protective Services 6.45 10.05 5.79 22.30 0,5% 87,6296 710 458 Security and Commodity Brokers 8.02 7.45 6,03 21.49 0.6% 88.11% 151 124 Apparel Made From Purchased Materials 15.03 0.55 5.29 20.87 0.5% 68.60% 901 612 Other State and Local Got Enterprises 12.10 2.27 5.39 19.77 0,5% 89,0596 880 505 Religious Organizations 13,83 0,00 4.21 17.84 0.4% 69.46% 522 State & Local Government- Education 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 100.00% 523 State & Local Government - Non -Education 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 100.00% 524 Rest Of The World Industry 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 100.00% 526 Dummy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 100.00% 527 Dummy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 100.00% 526 Inventory Valuation Adjustment 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 100.00% 'Number of Jobs generated by $387,681,00 In PCE 2,573.72 617.10 1,139.60 4,330.42 Rescaled to Prototype 3 a $387,681 In PCE 2.67372 0,61710 1.13860 4.33042 SOWONeWAa'LNr MigT3da Page rataA, Inc. MNO MULTI -FAMILY PROTOTYPE #4 --CONDOS (Higher -Cost Area) 1990 Cenus IMPLAN Cumulative sic Sector Industry Direct' Indirect' Induced' Total' Percent Percent 641 454 Eating & Drinking 450.67 19.64 180.83 631.14 11.496 11.4% 682 455 Miscellaneous Retail 265.47 4.27 98.01 367.75 6,696 18.096 620 490 Doctors and Dentists 233.78 0.00 81.40 315.18 5.796 23.7% 5xx 447 Wholesale Trade 138.08 51.81 68.84 258.74 4.796 28.4% 031 492 Hospitals 163.10 0.02 70.40 233,52 4.296 32.6% 600 449 General Merchandise Stores 145.47 2.07 49.59 197.14 3.696 38,1% 611 450 Food Stores 130.30 3.07 52.81 186.18 3.496 39.5% 612 621 451 Automotive Dealers & Service Stations 116.27 3.14 44,02 163.43 2.9% 42.4% 610 488 Amusement and Recreation Services, N.E.C. 97.33 0.70 31.84 129.67 2.396 44.6% 860 498 Colleges, Universities, Schools 84.59 6.30 27.23 118.12 2.196 46.9% 761 525 Domestic Services 62.73 0.00 28.65 111.59 2,0% 48.9% 623 452 Apparel & Accessory Stores 74.74 0.56 28.30 101.80 1.8% 50.6% 712 462 Real Estate 24.78 45.49 31.14 101.41 1.8% 52.6% 731 474 Personnel Supply Services 5.66 68.31 26.66 100.63 1.8% 54.4% 700 701 456 Banking 53,62 12.32 25.49 91.44 1.696 56.1% 631 453 Furniture & Home Furnishings Stores 66.07 0.73 22,26 89.06 1.6% 57.7% 711 459 Insurance Carriers 61.56 4.10 20.56 86.22 1.6% 59,2% 842 495 Elementary and Secondary Schools 63.52 0.00 16.49 80.01 1.496 60.7% 871 500 Social Services, N.E.C. 60.14 0.59 18,75 79.49 1.4% 62.1% 772 760 466 Beauty and Barber Shops 48.25 9.35 21.19 78.80 1.4% 63.5% 762 463 Hotels and Lodging Places 43.43 15.61 18.80 77.84 1.496 64.9% 702 457 Credit Agencies 28.37 28.04 19.63 76.04 1,4% 68.3% 840 493 Other Medical and Health Services 48,80 7.97 20.04 74.61 1.3% 67.6% 761 479 Automobile Repair and Services 46.89 4.95 17,14 86.98 1.2% 68.9% 771 464 Laundry, Cleaning and Shoe Repair 33.55 13.99 16.32 63.86 1.2% 70.0% 832 491 Nursing and Protective Care 31.58 0,00 31.81 63.40 1.1% 71.2% 841 494 Legal Services 28.45 17.80 18.10 62.35 1.1% 72.3% 873 504 Labor and Civic Organizations 46.87 0.09 15.25 62.21 1.1% 73.4% 600 681 682 448 Building Materials & Gardening 46.19 0,20 14,69 61109 1.1% 74.5% 410 411 435 Motor Freight Transport and Warehousing 21.84 20.66 15.00 57.50 1.0% 75,8% 870 501 Residential Care 43.12 0.00 13.32 56.44 1.0% 76.6% 60 58 Maintenance and Repair Other Facilities 0.00 40,14 14,39 54.53 1.0% 77.6% 741 470 Other Business Services 3.51 33.82 13.22 50.55 0.996 78,5% 711 460 Insurance Agents and Brokers 0.00 35.83 11.22 47.05 0.8% 79.3% 890 507 Accounting, Auditing and Bookkeeping 1.24 31.32 11.56 44.12 0.8% 80.1% 862 499 Child Day Care Services 30.82 0.00 9.30 40.11 0.7% 80.9% 722 472 Services To Buildings 7.95 20.52 10.64 39.10 0.7% 81.6% 860 497 Other Educational Services 27.44 IIA4 9.07 37.84 0.7% 62.2% 732 475 Computer and Data Processing Services 1.48 25,22 9.50 36.16 0.7% 82.9% 412 513 U.S. Postat Service 7.76 18.62 9.16 35.56 0.696 83,5% 872 502 Other Nonprofit Organizations 25.71 0.56 8.20 34.49 0.6% 84.2% 892 508 Management and Consulting Services 0.02 25A8 9.21 34.32 0.6% 64.8% 441442 441 Communications, Except Radio and TV 16.55 7.92 9.58 34.04 0.696 65.4% 810 489 Membership Sports and Recreation Clubs 24.05 0.85 8.18 33.08 0.6% 86.0% 60 55 Maintenance and Repair, Residential 0.00 23,56 7.89 31.48 0.6% 86.6% 791 468 Miscellaneous Personal Services 22.82 0.20 7.5B 30.60 0.696 87,1% 740 476 Detective and Protective Services 8.28 12.86 7.42 28.54 0.5% 67.6% 710 458 Security and Commodity Brokers 10.26 9.53 7.71 27,51 0.5% 88.1% 161 124 Apparel Made From Purchased Materials 19.24 0.71 6.77 26.72 0,596 68.6% 901 512 Other State and Local Govt Enterprises 15.49 2.91 6.90 25.31 0.5% 89.1% 880 505 Religious Organizations 17,45 0.00 5.39 22.84 0.496 89.5% 522 State & Local Government • Education 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 523 State & Local Government - Non -Education 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.096 100.0% 524 Rest Of The World Industry 0.00 0,00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100.096 526 Dummy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 100.0% 527 Dummy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0,096 100.0% 528 Inventory Valuation Adjustment 0.00 0.00 0,00 0.00 0.0% 100.096 "Number of Jobs generated by $496,260,000 in PCE 3,294.55 769.93 1,456.77 5,543.25 Rescaled to Protolypa 4 = S406,260 in PCE 3.29455 0.78993 1 A5977 5.54325 SeMoXoA PLVWo4hlphils Pogo HnsA. Inc. 71760 Appendices APPENDIX B Estimates of the Capital Subsidy Needed to Develop an Affordable Rental Unit in the City of Santa Monica Under Alternative Affordability Thresholds, Land Costs and Unit Sizes New Multi Family Development -Affordable Housing Nexus July 7, 1998 Hamilton, Rabinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. Appendices APPENDIX C Derivation of a Development Fee for Four Prototypical New Market Rate Multi -Family Developments in the City of Santa Monica New Afulii-Family Development -Affordable Housing Nexus July 7, 1998 Hamilton, Rahinovitz & Alschuler, Inc. p z W m CL O LUW O } _J a J W W W F LL, r zr W W 2 Y IL oLUa O (aj Z W a g mea aOr- IL LL. } O m g LU 4 W W LL. zg O W z0 On F- z as am 2 W W a DZ N O S W J m a 0 O LL. 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NY r«rnYIeR MRMr yPw+b ' _ OevNOamri COY CJeOorYs 11171 Cotl Tad Cotl 18 ix fJOMe RasY Mrq Coq TddCoq i6V12A 18 9z t>lg� easy Ndw IMtl FrtAew Wq iln5emq f 600,000 S ]1,300 f - fTOYltlq f 1,050,000 L 85.633 f - 6fe0m NRM eINyYsdaq i815 Pts•Ls»eµNW TrleheMeroe Alwuce i f1R1,000 t 160 S 0l0 f IT f x f - - Nome i S1R+,000 f 7eA i 1,OSD i 1T i 88 i - nen ClyuebewilNgMNY,eybewtl - Panen CnyMMwltln0016Mss;Ivr�Y Eegwtew >c. Cege 51.SM1000 i f3.30R1,000 t B00 f 1,500 S 58 f 91 f - - S1.SOR1,000 5 f3.3ai1p00 f 1,515 i 3,633 i 9e f i& i - qen C�yugnulnhq 060M-a;beeM - HRM SWdY i 603,750 f ]7,Tx i - i 1,059,000 i 88,000 i - Cd Ywin awrocoY] IbXVYs f ie1.6Mn.q s 10,000 f 9m s 13x.000 635 t n,s90 s 10,000 1,n6,a0o eiP6e2e f selMtn.q a 10,000 { f,176,W0 a 6x3 S. Soo s 000 Per HW 1,n6ow Pa mncM ugerMmn9 �a.L,n; be.q 9gtY.PeMy (MI-xXe Mirvmnii f13,500Xpett f f f 111,800 i 10,350 f 7,330 f 331,000 117,800 $13 n f S 15%aXerO ]N.000 S 600 f 10.]30 f 1,350 f nen Ciy iNmwitiry 0J44uS:MMeige 117.600 Pa HRM CabgrF.y £etlgY ]%ilW wqf f f 59,900 f ,100 i ],973 s 105,100 f SB.000 .100 wYs i f 56,900 S 1,608,100 f 5 f 105,100 s 39,800 Per aY nen ugewlYry glOrB'm; beM Ib06.100 PrtwYo�el Fees 5%xRbI IYN rots { 61.]M f S.ZIO f 91.)30 6%aFd.9eN wYs f 61,7x0 f S,ZN f x,3x0 Pr CMOen utlgMMrq 9WMM1li; beelq Leemeew AM. CMt9rwy i Abxvre i 3.000 f 10.000 f 135 i 613 i 3,000 10,000 $ Ploceroe S 3.400 S 000 f 15.000 1x3 f 675 f 000 Pa CMgenvgewMiX Wtlelner,Metl 10,000 Pa Cky 17.17 utl«Ym.p pueXm; Xyl ertl SOib Fnpneer XePWYaoega PlRsel f A1ewePre s f 5,000 f 1xa90 s 2500 t JtJ S w s 156 i 5.000 13.500 AMnaO f Fiee.�Ye i PbweaO f S aao s tE.300 i ]tl i rw s +58 3 PQ CM 6417 utivwMro yOYnee; MO�sye tx,oaD P«cM 17.17 Mtleiv,YRl alaNYe;Rw1Xy. 2soo PucM tren�Mcenilp piOeYus;XTaY Le Few ANrmRe f 300 i 15,000 091 S 111] i 300 f 15.000 1.091 f 1,J>5 Pa Cky nen utlernprq pY4lnes; beaq AFcOu'llnyAW+ COMrv[tlmMwpemM f Abwln S t 000 f f ],1x5 S 3.500 Pbweroe f Tuvwice i i 000 f 3 i 3,133 f Prcxynen ugawrellY piewms;bee'q 50.000 Pa CMynM ugelvnitln0 p16Yne;Xpiaq &tldet f 16,330 f 11,1TO S 173,695 f 144.3x0 f 11,710 i 117,693 MebrMU �I7R few SxM S fSs 000 i is 31x41,.4ao 1". $ 35 S - ,vel f Sf 21,000 t ii 1,730 S xss is x9. 'I'-MY PPedr HCMRM en utlXMxog MI6NILT XSP Yq - gRefawt� 510064311 Sngs. !0 Z. W--] P spLedeaqw 3srs 3e,o $ 1e,1w0oo a a0 Owvipa Fw 9%rfuWwlHdXN f 111,x1 f 10.106 171)"1 9%11RN.sOlHotlr s 171,x61 f 10,705 171,381 Pa Cb Oengtluer Wp3Mq XON .,. ... Fhndiq COYs CarsNctlm Lon Fw 1.0%elwnemwl i 17,000 i 1,410 i x9,090 1.0%vbn unoul i SSA00 f i z000000 000 Keurn bn=t00%:rdYpp+Mpnvl CM PemRmd Lwn Fw f 150%xrsYxbn 39,000 f 1,613 f 1.0%rbn anvq f S ;000 f Nwnea bn=100%xTYY Uew100n1e33 COY ornYrOn ps0o001YRY Req Esb,e Tues (Sle%i MFII S 11%raaeOwtleYN1 f 17x50 S ta,1x f 7,703 t 1,573 s 117, x30 33,150 50%rrNoben f t.t%1(Mm=i 136,000 f W.lw S 4100 S 991 f x,000 Keurn 8.5%bn Me; ben=101%[TdY CF-*Io0mer3 COY 110.100 60%6100%i me0n 00 nd pNryfa Wleielrytln Resl EYne 71717(50%1 Mfl) Owwrua 0.f%10r6eoY.Yn01 S 50006NI f - i ,3,�0 f - 800 f 11.800 0.1%r(NN mY.Yno) f i90064q f f 800 i - 900 f 50%xmegenpe9neelanenpind9wwelie+y hi ra a,eq es+ns. 13,800 Pa CMmn WaeNtln0i00fnaa p;Metl CaXOWin Bond 9eM Ma6anq 1%10W wYa i f 981 i 16,000 f1 1,OSl f SOD 14.000 f 1 P1o+nrcweYs f 16.861 f 000 S 1.051 S 500 i 19,9& 8,000 Pa CM aen ugenMUnO pNeYNa; XylgY IW d Abeuce i f 1,300 i 316,561 $ 391 S 15,5]5 f 1,4,WANenroe 119,591 S f 1.500 s x7;M1 f x91 S 17,011 S 1,Pa CMnen vtlnwnlry ydeRYl; leee-tl SW 310,361 TOTAL f 2918.115 f 1829x0 { Z1 ..0 $ 3.402883 s x12681 S 2-,810 CAPITAL W-YREOU-TOOIVELwN FOROeBLEREMTILLUMR UMOERALTERN-APPORGRILT'TNR[SHMMLAMOCO0T8ANOURR % O}Y OB eAIITA fpXICA.1991 lwJeme I1meeMl Tm l4tl CakW ylwe TM Mn1y1115rM e<MN1b OnNpa NmgmM,1e3+1«rN 6amvNp•Mftl 0>.5bfinef apWRBan Sib dRl1 B4OW dtlle4rl6ge•T/oeRl. R3ORRRBMN50x0eeb0au, M11.Ne Ntllro vrneM.wHuan euWhq t1.OW 91bW,xfMn UM5 Eder 10SRR)I�RA (95058 a1x]RR2BA11,Oe019 epmron Prf1'V 1.5 Rna. pa Wl fln V+991 WMr : Y mme wYim.mn bM Cbibnd. /Ox4iNNN OppwY NMR 5Rrw5k ro00erJvrwI00RY.PCar. Cb Fees Emrq Oen 9aedleea Nimwlkn Wlbx EOOEN Be9Y • ti al 1 2,2)),990 10 f 2,298,010 10 6ipeMBuv / 3,2)]SW ! 2,290,010 cE4bN 30% Iron..S br OOA Rap.nN. MCeunM o6% tx,n],sao 1 ■ 1603,902 00% tz,xse,eoo ■m.•r+ !009,592 6.4uMm..e.�p.bb91 1 ■-me-r.aw 1405,199 1 ■m+.s+ f408,23e lr loGrwn.IYAve.eN Ou.W,btl9.m IOpo5,5x1 10,905,521 f9p3epe] 10 13p3BpB) 2xlftlll3l urvr. llACeunry 21 #.011,851 #011,851 22)fMlel lint Luetwrrnn pwin0l Re9ummtleus #.313,399 Narlrol 1be 12,313,399 f2?13,]99 NvnnU U. 12,313,399 T 111,11 2.0% e.esx fo 9.vx e.efix so coo.. Lor Iawe9 .. G.en la fo o Z 105],513 9.ex MI. 13 IBse 80.1% fess )OeMAnnvM lu detlh AMoaW n IB9.Bx] 185,8]] 1050,2)1 1858,x]1 oro N.wwe. fBcoae9 f6oc,te9 309agy REOYOtED TIDE -WAN AFFORDABLE RENTAL - UNDER ALTERNATNE AFFORDABILRT TNR -OLDS LANG COBTa ANO D -iia. c]T OF aANTA MONICA,1%8 NEW CONSTRUCTION DEVELOPMENT COSTS TM 0.vNapnRi aaaeRb Me Ta aa•aaA. meptcamm�Ma•s.a m2 R," weNv 0.1 BWfrq 000(N tdeL3f �wetey anL R3Oen,gy WN 50%hmay Dau,MNle.mmuwticadlav 17mi Fier lealRn-eA(1f50,Ra1zsBRrs-BA(1,oeo5R.Pam%Ni Cly PsneY 1.Sawm wTak Oen DaeR plkiO; iLmaY atlalNYen leal CM fmi AdNN pletlw APaaVN me aRB eppwel, m aUa d iaetlwwy eq •wYi Eaary[ aom adRd len stl reaeWw MR lu 11WLB1 0.vNaF0,iit cw4 cNe0aln Lard WaAim UNICaN TdN Cwt Pa4N'A• 1} IliN caN -EE- N111. Lab S16YNN i 800,000 f 50,101 i {iO%MN S 1,DA` ,101 i 4),500 i - 1eae1m HREA4w1TNedpd 1815 PMduw iOViYN TNe YRia7rts Abwvn f 750 T 8] f - Nownn i )50 S p f - Pr UeO CNY Warn9lry WOdw3: bwaN eaaNleei Mic.Copi i1R1 WO i if.5OR1,000 i {3.5011,000 i RE i 900 i 1,500 i 50 i itii1,000 f 050 i M S - i9502t 0o0 i 1.375 S 135 i - R.SM1,000 f 2,85 $ N 9 131 f B 9 - Pade8C;lyudaAlitlrypiMlwi;Wad - Pa Uea CNywOanNIN440elm:Waq - HRM 9tlaN f BO],)50 i 8D.]I] S - $1,056000 f 41000 caaOaUlo• Dnwltlw • i 10.000 f e]J f 10,Ow Nmrce f 10,000 i e]J i aXR6A &{Wry Cepa `31Va. f86k150.N f 1340.000 ,241W i 96,000 f 1.1)6.000 f6„Ltlp.al 9 8,000 S 9a,000 f 1.178.000 Pa Dia CNyvdaNRn9p3Mwa; bRad Po44np q1-ife 180aawvei il],50aaww i f 20,350 i N;OW it],SAO/wem i 34].000 f iO,YA f 34],000 beq Cp Warn9lry WOdwi;MMipe 1ib1cay0npaRy 10%x MN cep{ i 5%rOerY mala i t 1.605,400 117,600 i 54,1M S i 9.400 i 1176M 10%x74N 4opi 600 3 4,900 f 1 59,Eo0 SN aleN mps f 1150.000 f , 6- 9 605,100 i ,605,400 i 100 i 4,900 f , 6- 9 Pa HR6A 158,000 Pa Ciy ft vaan61N9+ONm:lONaq 1,605,400 ROInNo7elf•n NdNemnVEnNwR17O 5%aNd.eW nrai f 60570 f 6.689 i 80,}70 5 • i 802)0 f 6669 i L 70 Pa CRY a eRMdaNRn9MeaFwi; b•ad 1*1_Rvdanillrq Lerd%fw ARM1 Nwra f 3.000 S 167 i 3,000 f 3,000 i 167 f ;000 Pa gJpeUYi py y,0 YSuwi fe1Y E]ISIOiai /UawuP• i Nwra f 1 -mo i 5,000 i 6]J f 10,000 i 000 i 411 f 5,000 Nse f 15,000 S Ell f .17 i 10.000 Pa dryaeR MlOmnR'Do90Nam;6w, mE 5,000 Pa C<yeeR utlaniti�q piMmr, Mdrnq DeaNylnOeda Alowerce i 1;Ow S 000 f 13.000 N3nrce f t2,Ow 9 1308 1,000 i 5000 Pa CAyrtea udaNNrq 9a0Nwe; Mdnryv 1;500 FmlronlpLN PNe4il Level Fen Cbxnea f Abw[e i 3.500 f 7,526 5 150000 f 500 Naem f 3,SOD S 4b f 4,]75 Aidwrce f )500 i 13.000 308 S I!Se 3 Pa ClrytreOumNMry pitlelwi:Ny, me 4,]75 Pa ClyrteR vdvnl0nO p40Nwe; BOR rM CmmurWADE, Mew pamN Pioxvlrta i Pio'nrce f { i S 4411 11 f 5,500 N 5 f x.000 oxide f 50000 i 417 $ 4.187 9 ;500 Pa I-.- Cxy -ft-NW Oe4wi; UN a,L CilyrteR vAmeMIM pl0elm; Ny, M SWdN 5 181.310 f 1 15,)56 i i 161.310 i 15.]36 i 168,845 ONe C6yPmr15eM len 3 3,S , . 5 ll 29,000 McMelnpW eiae4p NPnrca 5 100 f ll i - Nrwrce i 100 i � f DO, MderNO NOFaFwr NIA mE SdG f]LIln15-xJmoi, f s 10,800 i 21.4. s 900 i - i]OONNi]Rm. S TE.I�W L 1267 s 2e,oa0 s i 900 f 5.38! i 6 Pa XR q 3e.aao - DevekgerFw FlFuldn9 CMf 9%x aN•aN•Ma 5 1..- i 1],6]9 163,838 e%rONY•uR•aDa i 18],826 i 13.618 18-.- Pa Cil, mlOdnnMnO V--; .0 mE mpnr6m Lwn Fn PwwIYNLwn Fw CmY Lan Peiol Naell 1.0%xbin Nnwi f 1.069alwn in,aaN 5 511%x Mexben S 18,000 i 36.000 f 110,500 3 3,167 i 31,000 f.0%alwnemPA1 f ]1,000 L 2,117 i - .O%ibnemP.•1 i ]1000 f 9.A1 i t0,5W 1505{arNa {ben f 131.750 f 131,359 5,54] t 3.56- i 10,919 t ]1,000 Nvnm ben=lW%iTolelDmwban7l Cop - Nwwa Yen•100%x T...... -C. 1]I,Tb Nauam a 5%le•n Me; bn. 100%x TNN De.p -Coat Reel ENNe Temi151•%r MFp 1?%aOeN mp•YMt f }4.}59 i 2033 f %i(OW mN•YM) S 209 f 3.4]4 i 29.M9 EO%6100%xme14n 00 rd wMlawn marytlm T emi1506Lx MF0 0.1%x(NN mM•Yn� i - i - 0. f f 50%inwNen lnlgm NaxenOtlm Npaselbry Olf MM lletl i4mei. IRmMi arrbWlm Bw6 f 19 1%x NN mpi f 9.f00 f 16054 i 800 S 9,fi00 fOWArp i 9800 f 1 6-B i 1,054 1%alaN wpi f 16,051 f 1667 a00 f 1,l]B L 96W Pa ClybeR ulOaNMMP4dNwe;Iw rM 16,054 Pa HRLA 8a74 MONloMN Aiv erce f 6.000 f Novi i 6.000 i 187 f 8600 Pa eiybeR ulONNNnO N(Fl ene OrU 11a1 Nexerce f S 4,503 a 334,91) f 1 4,4,000 P5 i 4.-ANwrce f 261,500 f 14,)1) i i 198,91] ,11] i 21115 f ,769 i 2500 Pd Cllytre6 a18anl0N UN ad EJDARR pl8elw i; .11] TOTAL f ;610,]10 i ri;197 i ;1&,585 s ;-,.D 1 514,901 s 3,195,115 Lpw2w.mn XwMq Ta <M Cru4M: Lawie:vn Xaebq TU CMI Ce ' The a..wrlMN ernes o.M a% Eubwe LIN$ Paxeo CM Pang$ cMA>°s CAALTEaYBMGY REGR TOTHFI XAX AROA.0 I—UUMT URGER ALTERxwTNGAPPORM&F UNT AWWCka, LAMO C09Ta ANG YMf5,17g; C$rTOP 9AMTA IbMICA 1998 NCLonarl. lr...nr �rrtrrlswrea aw.bmef �aeo-up2 e[s M. -I re YXLtle eiy ercel, Rl d.., r arerybuva,Mre Mbm YpeW m�atlpre Pav 1e?BR/I-BA(650 all aix }e2!!-YAIt,oB4 M pNwb 1.3 mttL Pr YA fLte9rr pnbnp: rm orc SWmuan bb m.u.. roaaul Xr ARB 2pnal.e m teen awra. y epwaleb Emryl Ram #opl wn rr roverpn uA Out cv sn.,. a1% .•.. fvx,Tv r<.I R.w, 530x,350 lLA/S-0A Low Cew HlpiCat ' Elbib &.: • G.aX i ],1&,565 f0 f x,195,1f5 i0 TCEfY�bb 1001E 5],144.361 1001E R,19i,T65 30%Inoroue bi OOA Rop.rti. ILA Cour 1 ■m.r..� $422,316 1 ■m•.+ $Ox0,s0,::2::1".'16 16%Inaeauu GGA Ropenb. bubwmix. 1 ■m•.+ $gxx,094 v,x34,m2 1 $2 ■oo.n� 14 v,ux, me so urrauv 1.z. ru .—N.—Nst.1.7 IMIl3/ (i Nie teu0rrrnen perMpl v,q ,ss1,r22 x22.58 v,zez,ra stsst.lr 4 on Trs Craa4 u.p $z,222.sa$ 2% ].rt% $2.2z,z24,2,s«a N q% ].TI% A..WIio �Xn o".�ie�M4r.. u.ef 561x.Ti3 4.ox a.ssx sa ferx,rl3 a.me 6ax w cv sn.,. a1% .•.. fvx,Tv r<.I R.w, 530x,350