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sr-022382-6ef'(3L'D _;»~ t~ TD:JFH:RLA:dag Council Mtg. February 23, 1982 T0: Mayor and City Council FROM: City Staff SUBJECT: SUBMISSION OF SHORT RANGE TRANSIT PLAN Introduction Santa Monica, California This report requests that the City Council authorize the City Manager to file a Short Range Transit Plan(SRTP) with the Southern California Association of Gov- ernments(SCAG) and the Los Angeles County Transportation Commission (LACTC), in order to remain eligible for State and Federal transportation grant funds. The deadline for filing this year's plan is March 1, 1982. Background Federal Transportation System Management regulations require the City to prepare an annual Short Range Transit Plan, based on a study of existing operations and future plans, in order to remain eligible for Federal transportation funds. This document also serves as the basis of requests for State transportation funds. Although the primary purpose of the SRTP is to provide budget information and justification for use by the LACTC in making subsidy allocations for fiscal 1983, the Plan also provides an important look at future years based on information currently available to the City. However, fiscal years beyond 1983 will again be addressed in next year's version of the Plan. This year the City retained the services of ATE Management and Service Company to prepare the document according to the guidelines set forth by SCAG through the LACTC. A major problem addressed for the first time in this plan is the Federal Administration's decision to phaseout Federal operating assistance entirely. In past years, the City normally received an allocation of Federal operating assist- once which represented approximately 25% of the Department's operating budget. As the report indicates, the withdrawal of this funding will lead to higher fares and less service in future years. However, the Department's ability to conserve ~~'~ FFo ~ 3 ~aa~ To: Mayor and City Council -2- February 23, 1982 federal operating funds in prior years and to use these carryover funds in FY 83 and FY 84 substantially cushions the impact that would otherwise have occurred due to the loss of these funds. In line with the SRTP guidelines, the document describes and evaluates existing conditions of Transportation Department service and facilities, then presents a five year plan, including revenues by source, expenditures, miles of service to be operated and capital programs to be pursued. ATE notes in summarizing the existing conditions that Santa Monica service is marked by high productivity and efficiency; that its maintenance facilities lack space for the size of fleet to be maintained; and that in the last three years, new equipment has lowered the average fleet age to 4.5 years, but that reliability problems with newer buses has lead to an increased need for spare buses and placed even greater importance on remodeling and expanding the facility. It should be noted that the FY 1982 financial figures are based on the Transportation Department's budget. However, as shown in the mid-year financial review recently presented to the City Council, actual expenses are expected to be below budget. The Commission distributes State and Federal transportation funds to each eligible operator in Los Angeles County based on a formula, of which 95% is given to each operator under all circumstances and the other S% distributed at the discretion of the Commission. The Commission requires each operator to develop three scenarios of the future based on receipt of 95%, 100% and lOSo of the transit operator's formula share. All three scenarios presented in the SRTP include an increase in the basic cash fare from 35¢ to SO¢ in mid-FY1983, with additional increases for fiscal years 1985, 1986, and 1987, to a total of 90¢ at that time. All three plans maintain the existing level of service in FY 1983, but project a 14o decrease in miles operated over the five year period, reflecting the anticipated loss of passengers To: Mayor and City Council -3- February 23, 1982 caused by the fare increases. Under the 95o plan, even with the fare increases and mileage reductions, the SRTP projects budget deficits of approximately $1.2 million annually in FY 1985, FY 1986 and FY 1987. Since Santa Monica received only 95o funding in FY 1982, funding at the 95% level in the future is not an unlikely possibility. The 100% plan also projects budget deficits in FY 1985., FY 1986 and FY 1987, ranging from $500,000 to $600,000 annually. Nevertheless, this 1000 plan is being put forward as the recommended plan, as it is based on Santa Monica receiving its full fair share of the formula funds. In the event that either of the above plans are funded at the levels outlined in the SRTP, and all other projections for FY 1985 and beyond hold true, it would be necessary to reallocate funds from other priorities, or to raise fares even higher, to cover the budget deficits. The Plan based on receiving lOSo of the formula share of funds in each of the next five years would eliminate the budget deficits completely. However, allo- cation of a 105% share annually to Santa Monica for each of the next five years, would mean that SCRTD and/or the County's other municipal transit operators would receive less than their formula shares. Since the other operators are gen- erally in worse financial shape than Santa Monica, this is considered a highly unlikely scenario. In view of Santa Monica's poor experience with advanced design buses, the five year capital program includes the selective rehabilitation of older Big Blue Buses in addition to the purchase of new replacement buses. Also included in the the capital program is the modernization of the Department's radio system and re- placement of fireboxes. The modest level of the capital program, which remains unchanged under all three plans reflects the Federal Government's announced To: Mayor and City Council -4- February 23, 1982 intention to reduce Federal capital funding for transportation in addition to the complete phase-out of Federal operating funds. Recommendation City staff recommends that the City Council authorize the City Manager to file the Short Range Transit Plan with the Southern California Association of Govern- ments and the Los Angeles County Transportation Commission. Prepared by: J. F. Hutchison R. L. Ayer