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SR-400-008-01 (4) ATTACHMENT I '~_if' 1_, 1. :J .1 T Tn ~ A r1R&rl. HAMILTON, RABIKOVITZ & ALSCHULER, l:-1c. Policy, FiTJancial & Management C01IjultaTJt,. MEMORANDUM FOR: Robert Moncrief, Housing Manager MEMORANDUM FROM, ~. Silvom SUBJECT: Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects DATE: December 7, 1999 This memorandum summarizes the characteristics ono new condominium projects submitted to the City of Santa Monica ("City") for land use entitlement approvals, between March 1, 1998 and April 30, 1999, a period that includes final approval of the Affordable Housing Production Program. I The number of applications was a surprise to City staff and decision _~1r""'_'" ..........:1... ......-~~_""'..... .....J:' .......................--. ,.............+ +t......... :.......___I~...........~........... ......c+1................. __.....:.n..,.+... .t"......_ ("'I:"'..-r t........~....:.....r. .........1:......:......... HldJ\..CIO:S, i:llLU a. ;:SUUI \.J1t; Vi \.JUlI.....l;;llJ a.UUUL LH'" llH~Hl\.JaUUJ1':) U.l LUt:O;:'tv pi UJ'iJ\.ol.~ .LVi '--"lL Y llUUi31l15 }JV1H...l'liJi3 and impacts on the neighborhoods in which they would be constructed. On May 25, 1999, the City Council adopted Interim Emergency Ordinance 1944, which established a 45-day moratorium on multi-family development in the City's multi-family residential zoning districts, to enable the City to assess the impacts of new development and other related housing issues. The moratorium was subsequently extended for nine additional months. The analysis reported here explores the degree to which the 30 new projects differ in any significant ways from condominium projects proposed in past years, and the motivations underlying the developers' decision to apply for permits at this time. Following a summary of our findings and conclusions, the memorandum presents (beginning at page 4) the physical and operational characteristics ofthe 30 recent projects, and compares them with past patterns of condorruruum development, based on HR&A analyses prepared for the City's Housing Element Update2 and its Affordable Housing Production Program.3 We then report (beginning at page 17) the results of telephone interviews with nearly all of the new project developers regarding their motivations for proposing their projects, including the relative importance of changed market Santa Monica Municipal Code (SMMC), Chapter 9.56, commencing with ~ 9.56.00. 2 City of Santa Monica, 1998-2003 Housing Element Update, 1998, including a Technical Appendix containing 10 HR&A memoranda and reports, whose subjects include assessments oftlle City's Conditional Use Permit process for new condominiums, and its previous Inclusionary Housing Program (Ordinance 1615), as potential or actual "constraints" on the development of new housing in the City. (Hereinafter, "Housing Element Update"). 3 HR&A, Inc., "Revised lnclusionary Housing Program for the City of Santa Monica," a memorandum report, dated April 6, 1998. (Hereinafter, "Revised Inclusionary Housing Program Memo"); and HR&A, Inc., The Nexus Between New Market Rate Multi-Family Developments in the City of Santa }v!onica and the Needfor Affordable Housing, July 7, 1999. (Hereinafter "Nexus Study"). 1990 SOl;TH BCXDY DRIVE, SerrE 777, Los AXGELES, CALIFORXIA 90025. TEL: 3IC.820.3444 . FAX: 31C.820.6778 NfW YORK Los ANGELES '''J '-.' ll~i ~!. Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects circumstances and recent changes in City development regulations, including fee option in the Affordable Housing Production Program.4 In a separate memorandum we analyze the financial feasibility implications of the changes in market conditions, as reflected by these projects, for the nexus calculations underlying the Affordable Housing Production Program's fee option. 4 SMM:C ~ 9.56.070. HAlvlIL TO:-.J, RABINOVITZ & ALsCHULER, INC. Page 2 ,IGJ Characteristics of Recent Condominium Protects I. OVERVIEW AND SUMMARY OF RECENT CONDOMINIUM PROJECTS Thirty new condominium projects, with 176 units, were submitted to the City of Santa Monica for land use entitlements between May 1, 1998 and April 30, 1999. The following is a summary of their characteristics, and comparisons with condominium developments during the past decade. · The number of condominium projects, and proposed units, is large by comparison with most of the 1990s, but is not unprecedented in Santa Monica's recent history. The number of projects is significantly higher than in most ofthe years of the 1990s, a period that included a severe economic recession and numerous changes in City development regulations. But, the volume falls short of the number of applications filed during the last real estate market peak of 1989- 1990, when over half the total number of condominium project applications in the past 10 years were filed. The 30 new projects are about two-thirds of the number proposed in 1989, and one-third of the 1990 total. · The overall scale and inten.~ity of the new projects is similar, in most respects, to past condominium projects, but they are more heavily concentrated north of Wilshire Boulevard and have somewhat larger average unit sizes. Most of the new projects are relatively small, as in the recent past. They are primarily one-lot developments on sites zoned for low-density multi-family development, and all have 12 or fewer units each; about three-quarters have five or fewer units. A much larger proportion of the newer projects than in the recent past, however, are planned for sites north of Wilshire Boulevard (63%), and fewer (10%) will be located south of Pi co Boulevard. One-lot projects with two-bedroom units, the dominant project type, are slightly larger (by 237 square feet, or 3%), on average, than in the recent past, and the average size of the two-bedroom units is larger (by 222 square feet, or 16%). · The new condominium projects will replace rental units to a greater degree than in the recent past. Two-thirds of the new project sites contain, or previously contained, rental units, and the other one-third were vacant or featured single- family homes. This is a reversal in the relative proportions of prior uses, compared with the recent past. It reflects further depletion of the supply of vacant and single-family sites in multi-family zones, as well as changes in regulatory procedures, including changes influenced by court decisions, that make it easier to remove controlled rental units under the Ellis Act today. · The new condominium projects represent a net increase of dwelling units in the City's housing stock, but a reduction in the number of units that rent at prices affordable to lower-income households. Overall, the 176 new condominium HAMILTOt\, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 3 l" 1 tJ tl Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects units will replace 109 existing, or previously existing, dwelling units, for a net increase of 67 units. Ninety-one ofthe previous units had restricted rents under the City's Rent Control Law. About two-thirds (62, or 68%) of these units rented at prices that today would be "affordable" to lower-income households, based on City definitions that include rent and number of bedrooms per unit. · The new condominiums will produce about $2.1 million in Affordable Housing Fee revenue, which can support development of 14-16 new units affordable to lower-income households. If all 30 projects eventually pay the new Affordable Housing Fee of $7.31 per square foot, as elections to do so stated in 21 of the project applications suggest, the fee proceeds will support development of 14 units affordable to a low-income household, or 16 units affordable to a very low-income household, at the City's average per-unit subsidy rate. · City land use entitlement processing outcomes for these projects are similar to past trends, but hearing body decision time lines are faster. All of the new condominium projects that reached the Planning Commission or City Council prior to the moratorium were approved with conditions, and most were exempt from the California Environmental Quality Act, due to their small number of units. It now takes less time to obtain discretionary decisions, from the date an application is accepted for processing, compared with the recent past. · Changes in market conditions-ie., the ability to sell units for a higher price-is the primary reason applicants initiated the new condominium projects, not changes in City regulations. Structured telephone interviews with the sponsors of nearly all of the 30 new condominium projects indicate that improved market conditions is the primary motivation for seeking City approvals of their projects at this time. Only one applicant mentioned the new Affordable Housing Fee, and only as a secondary factor. This case involved a project approved six years ago with a higher affordable housing fee requirement. · The new projects are projecting higher sales prices than in past years, but they are paying more for land and construction costs. Interviews with proj ect applicants indicate that although sales prices have risen over the past few years, so have land costs and construction costs. The feasibility implications of these changes, and what they imply for the City's Affordable Housing Fee, are addressed in a separate HR&A memorandum. HAMILTO~, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 4 !~ J '" 5 Characteristics of Recent Condominium Pro;ects n. CHARACTERISTICS OF THE NEW PROJECTS AND COMPARISONS WITH PAST TRENDS The following sections present the characteristics of the 30 condominium projects filed between May 1, 1998 and April 30, 1999, based on a detailed review of the City's application files.5 Where possible, the analysis also presents comparisons between these projects and new condominium project applications filed between 1989 and 1995, or in some cases, between 1989 and 1997. The historical patterns used for comparison are those contained in analysis prepared by HR&A for the Housing Element Update. A. Number of Projects Proposed The number of condominium projects, and proposed units, is large by comparison with most of the 1990s, but is not unprecedented in Santa Monica's recent history. As shown in Table 1, 1998 was the first year in nearly a decade that more than 10 new condominium projects have been proposed in a single year. On the other hand, the 32 new condominium projects filed in all of 1998 and 1999, through April 30/ fall far short of the numbers proposed during the last real estate market peak of 1989-1990. The applications filed in just those two years account for over half(61%) the total projects and units (58%) proposed in the past decade. The number of project applications in 1998 is about two-thirds of the 1989 total, and about one-third of the 1990 total. The pace of 1999 applications, as of the end of April, indicates that the number of projects and units filed in 1999, on an annualized basis, would have been a little larger than 1998 (i.e., about 27 projects and 156 units), if not for the moratorium, but of similar magnitude compared with the 1989-1990 peak. 5 A copy oithe application audit protocol used by HR&A to extract information about each project from City files is included as Appendix A. 6 For purposes of describing the relative volume of applications, we included one additional project (957 191h Street) filed in 1998, but prior to the May I cut-off date used in other analyses presented in this memo, and another project filed during the analysis period (1513 91h Street), but whose application file was unavailable for analysis. Tn most other cases, the analysis focuses on 30 new projects. HAMILTON, RABC\lOVTTZ & ALSCHCLER, INC. Page 5 ~.. J i~j G Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects Table 1 Number of Condominium Project Applications in Santa Monica, 1989-1999 Application Number of Projects Number of Units Year Number Percent Number Percent 1989 33 20.1% 190 19.6% 1990 67 40.9% 370 38.3% 1991 12 7.3% 75 7.8% 1992 8 4.9% 63 6.5% 1993 6 3.7% 59 6.1% 1994 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 1995 3 1.8% 10 1.0% 1996 2 1.2% 10 1.0% 1997 1 0.6% 5 0.5% 1998" 23 14.0% 133 13.8% 1999b ~ 5.5% ..Ql 5.4% Total 164 100.0% 967 100.0% " Includes one project filed in February 1998. b Through April 30. 1999. including one project which is not analyzed in subsequent sections. Source: Planning & Community Development Dept.; HR&A B. Project Location The locations of the 30 projects proposed between May 1, 1998 and Apri130, 1999, are illustrated in Figure 1, on the following page. Nearly two-thirds (19, or 63%) are located north of Wilshire Boulevard, with about one-quarter (eight, or 27%) located in the central part of the City, including downtown, and the remainder (three, or 10%) are in Ocean Park. As Table 2 indicates, the concentration ofrecent projects in the northern part of the City is a departure from the trend during the earlier years ofthe past decade, when the distribution was more geographically even, north to south. The central part of the City (i.e., downtown and the Mid- City area) received a somewhat smaller share of the new condominium activity than was the case previously, and the proportion of more recent projects in the Ocean Park area is significantly lower than in the rest of the 1990s. HAMIL TON, RABINOVITZ & ALsCHULER, INC. 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EGiUl 0-0- "0 C. 0 cE~ 00_ uuu .. .!! i "! ti .E ~-" .!" ~ "" c:i 'fi.e ~'5 '0;"'", ~.~g ~QO) ~.g~':t 0 &: 5 ~f; rn..9;!C"') c:- 0 &0 ~(I)C:C\I 'E~ -:;6 ltI 0) 0 't-- :r:-...JM co c:i 'L, <3 Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects Table 2 locations of Condominium Project Applications in the City of Santa Monica, 1989-1999 Number of Projects Number of Units Area of the City Number Perce nt Number Percent 1989- 1997 North of Wilshire 48 36.4% 288 36.8% Downtown/Mid-City 50 37.9% 285 36.4% South of Pico 34 25.8% 209 26.7% Total 132 100.0% 782 100.0% 1998-1999' North of Wilshire 20 62.5% 115 62.2% Downtown/Mid-City 9 28.1% 62 33.5% South of Pi co ...l. 9.4% ....1!. 4.3% Total 32 100.0% 185 100.0% 'Through April 30, 1999. Includes two additional projects per footnotes to Table 1. Source: Planning & Community Development Dept.; HR&A C. Zoning Districts As in the recent past, the low-density, multi-family districts (i.e., R2, R2-NW and OP-2) predominate among the recent projects, accounting for the locations of over three-quarters of all projects (23, or 77%). These districts permit two-story buildings, between 28 and 30 feet in height. The medium density districts (R3,R3-NW and R3-R) account for the remaining one- quarter of the new projects (7, or 23%). Five of these projects are three-stories, up to 40 feet in height, while the other two are two-story projects. Table 3 compares the distribution of projects by zoning district with 32 randomly selected and representative condominium projects filed between 1989 and 1995, that were analyzed in the Housing Element Update. It shows little change in the relative distribution of projects as between low-density and medium-density districts. Among the low-density districts, however, the recent projects show a higher representation ofR2-NW District sites, consistent with the concentration ofthese projects north of Wilshire Boulevard, where that zoning district is located. HAMIL TON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 8 J i" ~J Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects Table 3 Zoning Districts for Condominium Project Applications in the City of Santa Monica, 1989-1999 32 Representative 1998-1999 Projects' Area of the City 1989-1995 Projects Number Percent Number Percent Zoning District R2 21 65.6% 13 43.3% OP-2 2 6.3% 3 10.0% R2-NW -1 3.1% .2 23.3% Subtotal Low Density 24 75.0% 23 76.6% R3 6 18.8% 3 10.0% R3-NW 1 3.1% 3 10.0% R3-R Q 0.0% 1 3.3% Subtotal Medium Density 7 21.9% 7 23.3% R4 (High Density) 3.1% 0 0.0% Total 32 100.0% 30 100.0% 1 Through April 30, 1999. Source: Housing Element Update; HR&A D. Project Size 1. Lot Sizes All 30 of the recent condominium applications are for projects with 12 or fewer units, consistent with past trends favoring relatively small projects on one or two lots. The eight largest new projects (i.e., 9-12 units) are on sites exceeding 10,000 square feet in size, mostly two lots. One project with five units is on an over-sized 10,000 square foot site, and the other 21 projects are single-lot developments of three to six units each. Table 4 compares the site area characteristics of the recent projects with 32 representative condominium projects filed between 1989 and 1995. It shows that the more recent projects tend to feature larger lots (i.e., at least one standard City lot of7,500 s.f.) than during past years. This is consistent with the change in the geographic distribution of the more recent projects, with many fewer in the southern parts of the City, where substandard size lots are more prevalent. HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALsCHULER, INC. Page 9 '..1... 0 Characteristics of Recent Condominium Proiects Table 4 Project Site Area for Condominium Project Applications in the City of Santa Monica. 1989-1999 32 Representative 1998-1999 Projects 1 Site Area 1989-1995 Projects (square feet) Number Percent Number Percent 5,000-6,000 9 28.1% 1 3.3% 6,001-7,000 2 6.3% 4 13.3% 7,001 -8,000 12 37.5% 16 53.3% 8,000+ 6 18.8% 9 30.0% Unknown ..1 9.4% ...Q 0.0% Total 32 100.0% 30 100.0% 1 Through April 30, 1999. Source: Housing Element Update; HR&A 2. Total Proiect Floor Area Total project size, as measured in floor area, varies with the number of units and unit sizes in the project. Among the 23 one-lot projects, which include between two and six units each, the average project size is 7,780 square feet. Five, two-lot, two-story projects average 15,249 square feet, and two, two-lot, three-story projects average 25,133 square feet. Table 5 summarizes these project size patterns. Among the 15 one-lot, all two-bedroom unit projects, which account for half of the 30 new projects, the average total project floor area is 7,832 square feet. All but one of these projects includes loft area, ranging from 385 square feet to 1,424 square feet, or between 5.1 percent and 14.4 percent of total floor area. Lofts account for 10 percent or more of total floor area in about half ofthe all-two-bedroom projects. The average total floor in these newer projects exceeds, by 237 square feet, or 3.1 percent, the average assumed for such projects in HR&A's "constraints" analysis7 and in the analysis underlying the recommended amount of the Affordable Housing Fee. The implications of this difference for the "constraints" analysis and the fee are addressed in HR&A's companion memorandum. 7 This analysis for the Housing Element Update established the level offcc that could be charged a new apartment or condominium project to offset its impact on affordable housing, without causing the return on investment to drop below levels that are unacceptable in the development industry. See, Revised Inelusionary Housing Memo. HAMILTON, RAHlNOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 10 ., . 11 I,. J. .l J. Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects Table 5 Total Project Floor Area in 30 Condominium Project Applications in the City ot Santa Monica. 1998-1999 Projects by Scale Average Project Percent ot Floor Area (s.t.) All Projects 1-Lot Projects, 2-BRs Only 7.787 50.0% 1-Lot Projects, 3-BRs Only 8.214 13.3% 1 -Lot Projects, Mixed BRs 7.480 13.3% 1 -Lot Projects, All 7.780 76.7% 2-Lot, Low-Density 15,249 16.7% 2-Lot, Medium-Density 25,133 6.7% All Projects 100.0% 1-Lot Projects, 2-BRs Only Average Project Median Project (15 projects) Floor Area (s.t.) Floor Area (s.t.) Avg. Area (non-Loft) 7,087 7,098 Avg. Loft Area 807 692 Average Total Area' 7,787 7.946 1 Averages are calculated separately for each component and for the total. Therefore, average non-loft area and average loft area do not equal average total floor area. Source: HR&A 3. Unit Sizes Of the 176 proposed new units in the 30 new condominium projects, a large majority (124 units, or 71%) are two-bedroom units, and about one-quarter are three-bedroom units (45, or 26%). The remainder include efficiencies and one-bedroom units (one each), and five, four- bedroom units. About four in 10 (43%) of the projects consist of two-bedroom units only, another one in five consist of three-bedroom units only, and the remaining one-third include a combination of unit sizes. The average unit size for the two-bedroom units is 1,622 square feet; 2,144 square feet for the three-bedroom units; and 2,994 square feet for the four-bedroom units. These unit size relationships are shown in Table 6. HAMIL TON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCIIULER, INC. Page 11 j..i 2 Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects Table 6 Unit Type and Size Distribution for 30 Condominium Project Applications in the City of Santa Monica, 1998-1999 Unit Types. All Proiects Number Percent O-BR 1 0.6% 1-BR 1 0.6% 2-BR 124 70.5% 3-BR 45 25.6% 4-BR -1i 2.8% Total 176 100.0% Proiects. by Unit Mix Number Percent 2-BR Only 13 43.3% 3-BR Only 6 20.0% Mix of Units 11 36.7% Total 30 100.0% Averaae Unit Size Averaae Floor Area O-BR 1,195 1-BR 928 2-BR 1,622 3-BR 2,144 4-BR 2,994 Source: HR&A The two-bedroom units in the recent projects, which are more characteristic of trends in the northern part of the City, include more floor area than was assumed in HR&A's financial modeling work for the Affordable Housing Fee analysis (about 1,400 square feet), conducted in early 1998, which studied averages across the City. The upward trend in new condominium floor area on the north side of the City is also evident from data on sales oftwo-bedroom units in recently built condominium projects. The median size of a two-bedroom unit in condominiums sold north of Wilshire Boulevard since 1997 is 1,546 square feet.8 D. Prior Use of the Project Site According to data in the project application files, which was cross-checked with the City's Rent Control Administration records, all but one ofthe new condominium project sites was 8 Source: HR&A, based on analysis of 1997-1999 monthly closed sales data reported by First American Rcal Estate Solutions. These data are an attachment to HR&A's companion memorandum. HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 12 1 p ~ )... J Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects previously developed with a dwelling unit. Nine projects contained single-family homes and 20 projects (67%) contained apartment units. The newer projects represent a higher incidence of redeveloping sites that previously had rental units on them, than was the case in the recent past. Table 7 shows that for 32 representative condominium projects for which applications were filed during the 1989-1995 period, about one-quarter of the condominium sites had rentals, nearly one in 10 was previously vacant, and almost half previously contained single-family homes. Table 7 Previous Uses on Condominium Project Sites in the City of Santa Monica, 1989-1999 Previous Use 32 Representative 1998-1999 Projects' of Project Site 1989-1995 Projects Number Percent Number Percent Vacant 3 9.4% 1 3.3% Single-Family Home 15 46.9% 9 30.0% Apartments 8 25.0% 20 66.7% Other Uses 4 12.5% 0 0.0% Unknown .1. 6.3% ..Q 0.0% Total 32 100.0% 30 100.0% , Through April 30, 1999. Source: Planning & Community Development Dept.; Rent Control Administration; Housing Element Update; HR&A Altogether, the 176 new condominium units in these 30 projects will replace 107 previously existing dwelling units, for a net housing stock gain of 69 units, or an average of 2.3 additional dwelling units per project. Not all projects represent net increases, however. As shown in Table 8, there will be a net increase of 87 dwelling units in 22 projects, no change in the number of units in five projects, and a net loss of 18 dwelling units in three projects. HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 13 ! . -L..L 4. Characteristics of Recent Condominium Pro;ects Table 8 Net Change in Dwelling Units for 30 Condominium Projects in the City of Santa Monica. 1998-1999 Change # Projects Units Units Net Average Units Before After Change Change Per Project Net Gain 22 49 132 83 3.8 No Change 5 25 25 0 0.0 Net Loss ..]. 35 ~ llID (5.3) Total 30 109 176 67 2.2 , Through April 30, 1999. Source: Planning & Community Development Dept.; Rent Control Administration; Housing Element Update; HR&A Most of the rental units that will be replaced by the 30 new condominium projects were under the jurisdiction of the City's Rent Control Law at one time or another, but the degree to which the rent level in these units was controlled varies with the circumstance of the unit. For example, parcels with three or fewer units are eligible for rent level exemptions if certain on-site resident ownership criteria are met. Under more recent changes in State law, vacant units are no longer subject to controls upon re-rental, provided the unit was voluntarily vacated by the prior tenant.9 (The new rent must be maintained for the duration of the new tenancy, subject to the rent Control Board's annual rent adjustment determination.) Further, units may be removed from jurisdiction of the Rent Control Law through use of procedures allowed under the Ellis Act.tO Nearly half ofthe 30 new projects (14, or 47%) , involve use of the Ellis Act to remove 61 previously controlled rental units. One additional unit was pending withdrawal at the time the f1.les were reviewed. Another 29 units in four projects still had regulated rents that were not involved in Ellis Act withdrawals. Thus, 91 controlled rental units (not including owner-occupied exemptions) will be replaced as a consequence of 19 new condominium projects, or an average replacement of 4.8 controlled rental units per project. 9 Costa Hawkins Rental Housing Act, Civil Code ~ 1954.50. Analysis of the implications of this State law for the City's housing stock is included in the Technical Appendix to the Housing Element Update, a more recent study by the City's Rent Control Administration, and Section 8 rent level projections prepared by HR&A for the City's Housing Authority. 10 This State statute (Govt. Code ~7060 et seq.), which was adopted initially in 1986, provides procedures for landlords to exit the rental business, subject to certain statutory reqnirements and local regulations. The evolution of the City's Ellis Act procedures is documented in thc Housing Element Update. See, HR&A, Inc., "Assessment of the Rent Control Board's Ellis Act Removal Permit Process as a Potential or Actual Governmental Constraint on the Development of Housing," Housing Element Update, Technical Appendix, Section 4. HAMIL TOI\, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 14 r ' r' ..L .L J Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects In evaluating this outcome, it should be recalled that the City's Ellis Act withdrawal procedures have been simplified in recent years, in part as a result of court decisions. Thus, it is procedurally easier today to remove an apartment building from the City's rent control regulations, and replace it with a new use, such as condominiums, than it was earlier in the 1990s. E. Affordable Housing Stock Implications Maximum Allowable Rent data provided by the City's Rent Control Administration indicate that about two-thirds of the 91 units (62, or 68%) previously subject to price controls had rents that would be affordable to very- low- and/or low-income households today, according to City definitions based on both rent level and unit size. Stated another way, each ofthe 19 new condominium projects that will remove units that have, or previously had, price controlled rents will remove, on average, 3.3 units that would be affordable to lower-income households today. The actual income characteristics of the previous tenant households residing in these units are unknown. Previous analysis conducted for the Housing Element Update found that although most tenant households in rent-controlled units had incomes defined as "low" or "moderate," about 25 percent were upper-income households. North of Wilshire Boulevard, where most of the new condominiums are located, the proportion of upper-income households residing in controlled rental units was higher than the Citywide average (31 %)11 At the time the project application files were reviewed, 21 of the applicants had declared the method by which the Affordable Housing Production program requirements would be satisfied, and all 21 elected to pay the fee of $7.13 per square foot. Assuming that all 30 projects eventually elect the fee option, the fee total will be $2,123,672. Eighteen of the projects will pay the full fee, at an average of$106,323 per project. The other three projects are proposed on vacant sites, and are therefore eligible for a 25 percent fee discount. The average fee for these projects is $69,951. The fee proceeds will help support development of about 14 units affordable to low-income households, or about 16 units affordable to very- low-income households, at the average City subsidy rates per unit ($154,916 and $134,822, respectively) that were assumed in the City's Nexus Study for the fee option. F. City Processing orLand Use Entitlements At the time the application files were reviewed, all but two of the applications had been deemed complete by City staff Over half (53%) of the projects had been approved by the Planning Commission. Architectural Review Board approval had been granted to over one-third (37%) of the projects. Four projects (13%) had been approved by the City Council, including 11 HR&A, Inc., "Results of the 1995 Santa Monica Apartment Tenants Survey," Housing Element Update, Technical Appendix, Section I, pp. 27-30. HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 15 . 1 (' -, .f. .L -.'r Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects two that were appealed from Planning Commission approvals (11 %). None of the projects was denied by either the Planning Commission or City Council. Only one project had been granted a Building Permit and was then under construction. None had completed construction and received a Certificate of Occupancy. These distribution of project approvals is shown in Table 9. Table 9 Status of City Approvals for 30 Condominium Projects in the City of Santa Monica, 1998-1999 Category of Rental Unit 1998-1999 Projects' Number Percent Applications Deemed Complete Planning Commission Approval Architectural Review Board Approval City Council Approval Building Permits Under Construction Certificate of Occupancy 28 16 11 4 1 1 o 93.3% 53.3% 36.7% 13.3% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% , Through April 30, 1999. Source: HR&A Compliance with the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) had been determined for 29 of the 30 projects. Of these, categorical exemptions were issued for 23 projects (77%), and Negative Declarations were prepared on the other six (20%), all of which had nine or more units. None of the projects required preparation of an Environmental Impact Report. Data on processing times was not available from all project files, but some trends are discemable. The time between application filing and City staff's "deemed complete" determination was available for about half the projects (53%), and this phase took a median of79 days. Among five projects with time data, the period from "deemed complete" to a decision by the Planning Commission was a median of34 days, and all but one case was completed in less than 35 days. The period from Planning Commission to City Council was a median of 146 days, for another five projects with time data. These trends indicate more time is being taken to deem an application complete, but once it is, the remaining steps in the process are completed faster than in the past, as shown in Table 10. HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 16 't.. ,..., , Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects Table 10 Application Processing Times for Condominium Projects in the City of Santa Monica, 1989-1999 Approval Step 32 Representative 1989-1995 Projects 1998-1999 Projects' Median # Projects Median # Projects Days Days Filed to Deemed Complete 15 26 79 16 Deemed Complete to Planning Commission Approval 49 24 34 5 Planning Commission to City Council Approval 223 3 146 5 , Through April 30, 1999. Source: Housing Element Update; HRM G. Financial Characteristics of New Projects Recent land purchase data are available from a third party source12 for almost three- quarters of the 30 new condominium projects. The median price paid per lot was $630,000, or $84 per square foot. Land value data are available for 10 projects proposed for low-density zoning districts that are intended to be developed with two-bedroom units only, which was the prototype used in HR&A's financial feasibility analyses for the Housing Element Update and the Affordable Housing Fee analyses. The median land value for these IO projects is $91 per square foot overall. Among seven of these projects located north of Wilshire, the median is $95 per square foot, and for two projects in the Mid-City area, the median is $63 per square foot. By comparison, HR&A's feasibility analyses for the Affordable Housing Fee assumed land costs of between $40-$75 per square foot. The City's permit application form requests applicants to disclose the average selling price for units in the project. Among 16 projects (53%) that included this information, the median sale price was $475,000, but this includes a range of bedroom sizes. Among those projects proposed for the City's low-density multi-family Districts, with two-bedroom units, the median estimated sales price among five projects proposed north of Wilshire Boulevard is $595,000, or $333 per square foot. Estimated prices for two-bedroom units in the central part of the City ranged from $375,000 east of downtown (two projects), or $251 per square foot, to $640,000 ($324 per s.f.) near the Ocean (one project). By comparison, HR&A estimated that two-bedroom units needed to sell at prices between $215 and $284 per square foot, depending on the City submarket, in 12 Source: First American Real Estate Solutions (formerly REDI-lRW). HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 17 1';~ 1.A ;J Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects order for the project to achieve acceptable levels ofretum on investment. The applicants' estimated selling prices suggest these thresholds have now been surpassed. Development cost data and other project financial characteristics were obtained in the course of in-person interviews with several developers who consented to discuss project finances. In general, these interviews indicate that construction costs have increased about 15 percent, financing costs remain about the same (9.5% construction loan), sales prices have increased, closing costs have decreased (from 8% to 6%), development fees have increased (from 5-7% to 10%) and construction contingencies have decreased (from 10% to 5%), compared with assumptions used in HR&A financial feasibility analyses for the Affordable Housing Production Program's fee calculation. The policy implications of these changes are discussed in the companion HR&A memorandum, which presents sensitivity analyses for the Affordable Housing Fee calculation. HAMIL TON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 18 () Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects m. DEVELOPER MOTIV A nONS In addition to auditing the new condominium application files, HR&A conducted brief telephone interviews with nearly all of the sponsors of the 30 new condominium projects. The purpose of the interview was to identity the developers' primary motivations for bringing their project forward at this time, and to determine which developers might be willing to discuss project development costs in more detail. A. The Telephone Survey During June 1999, HR&A completed lO-minute telephone interviews with applicants who account for 24, or 80 percent, ofthe 30 projects. Representatives ofthe other six projects refused to participate, but did not offer a reason. In most cases the respondent was a representative of the development entity, and in some cases the respondent was the project architect. In the latter cases, the architect was asked to respond to the questionnaire from his or her client's perspective. A copy of the questionnaire used in the interviews is included as Attachment B. It included introductory questions to verity certain facts about the project (e.g., address, number and types of units and approval status), questions about previous development experience in Santa Monica, questions about motivations for proposing the project, and an indication about willingness to discuss the project's finances in more detail. The question regarding motivation allowed the respondent to choose from three possible responses (stronger real estate market; lower cost of construction financing, recent change in City policies), or to provide another reason. The answer options were rotated from call to call to guard against any response bias. If a respondent stated that a recent change in City policies was the primary reason, the respondent was asked to identity which change, including the ability to pay the Affordable Housing Fee and the amount of the, or a self-identified change, was the most important reason. Once again, these response options were rotated among the interviews B. Survey Results 1. Developer Experience Anecdotal evidence emerged during HR&A's analyses of issues for the Housing Element Update which indicated that a non-trivial proportion of the condominium projects developed in Santa Monica were sponsored by applicants with no prior experience developing in the City, and in some cases, no prior development experience at all. One of the initial interview questions was intended to explore this situation for the 30 new condominium projects proposed since March 1, 1998. HAMIL TON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, lNe. Page 19 ,..r ,.0 Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects Most of the 30 new condominium projects are being proposed by separate applicants, but two applicants account for seven of the projects. The survey results make it clear that most of the applicants have prior experience developing condominiums, either in Santa Monica or elsewhere. Representatives of nineteen projects (63% of projects overall) stated that this was not their first condominium project, though it was the first project in five cases. Ofthe 19 projects whose developers indicated that they had built other condo projects, most (15) are being proposed by developers with prior projects in Santa Monica. 2. Primary Motivation for Filing the Application Nearly all of the respondents (representing 22 of the 30 projects) who answered the question about their primary motivation for proposing their project now, indicated that the most important factor was the stronger real estate market (i.e., the ability to sell their units for a higher price). Two respondents stated that their primary motivation was to provide housing for themselves and immediate family members. No one indicated that recent changes in City rules was the prime factor. Among six responses that also included a second most important factor, lower financing costs was cited four times, followed by City rules changes (one mention) and other reasons (development for personal use; one mention). The respondent mentioning the rules change cited the new Affordable Housing Fee amount applicable to a project that was first proposed in 1993, and subject to a fee that was considered by the applicant to be prohibitive. The ability to pay a fee at all was mentioned by one respondent, but as less than a first or second reason. 3. Willingness to Discuss Proiect Financing Respondents representing half ofthe 30 new condominium projects stated that they were willing to meet with HR&A to discuss their projects in more detail. Meetings with some of these applicants, or their architects, were subsequently conducted, including two applicants responsible for several projects each. The information gleaned from those interviews is discussed in the companion HR&A memorandum that presents sensitivity analyses on the Affordable Housing Fee calculation. HAMIL TO)l, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. Page 20 f ... Characteristics of Recent Condominium Pro;ects APPENDIX A Condominium Project Application File Audit Protocol HAMILTON, RWINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. '-! . ':' .1. (.. ,... CITY OF SANTA MONICA NEW CONSTRUCTION CONDOMlNIWrl PROJECTS, MAY 1, 1998-APRIL 30,1999 FlLE AUDIT PROTOCOL 1. PROJECT LOCA nON a. Street Address b. Zip Code 2. APPLICANT INFORMA nON (fill in all that apply) a. Applicant c. Architect Address Arch. Address Telephone Arch. Telephone b. Property Owner d. Attorney Owner Address Atty. Address Owner Telephone Atty. Telephone e. City Project File Numbers: CUP-~ TM-~AA-~ND-~EIR-_ ARB-~ CDP-~ BP- ; CO- Project Planner: 3. SITE INFORMA nON (fill in all) a. # of Parcels or Lots b. Site Area: s.f. (not including alley) c. Alley Area included s.f. d. Total Site Area s.f (site + alley) e. Zoning District f. General Plan Land Use Category 4. PRE-PROJECT USE OF THE SITE (check one; fill in where needed) a. Vacant Site b. Single-Family Home _ c. Rental Units d. Other Use (specify) # units: #O-BR: ~ #l-BR: ~ #2-BR: ~ #3-BR: _ HAMILTON, RABINOvrrz & ALSCHULER, INc. 1 :~, 1. :..' J 5. OTHER DISCRETIONARY APPROVALS REQUIRED (other than Tract Map and Architectural Review Board) (check all that apply; fill in where.qeeded) a. Yards/setbacks Variance or Adjustment _ (describe: b. Bldg. Height Adjustment _ (Describe: c. Parking Variance _ (Requested # spaces to be reduced d. Zone Change _ (from what to what? e. General Plan Amendment _ (from what to what? f. Other (specify) ) ) ) ) 6. PROPOSED CONDO UNIT MIX AND UNIT SIZES Number of Bedrooms Number of Units Average Unit Size (sf) 0 I 2 3 4 Total NA 6a. Lofts. Were Loft Areas Included? YES or NO If YES, how much floor area in lofts: s.f. 6b. Building Height: # stories: _; Overall Building Height: _ feet 7. PROJECT CHARACfERISTICS THROUGH THE APPROVAL PROCESS (fill in) Base 1# Uoits Density Bonus Market Rate Affordable Units Total # Parking Allowed Units for 00- Units Provided 00 Site Units Spaces Site Affordable As Originally Proposed As Approved by Planning Commission As Approved by City Council Per Building Permit Per Cenificate of Occupancy HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. 2 l' ., .4 . J. C (,t 8. APPLICABLE AFFORDABLE HOUSING REGULATION (check one; fill in as needed) a. Ordinance 1615 b. Ordinance 1918 c. Compliance options selected by applicant (check one and fill in): In Lieu Fee (preliminary Fee Calculation: _ gross s.( x _ (fee per gross sf) = $ (Final Fee Calculation: _ gross s.t: x _ (fee per gross sf) = $ (Date Paid: ) _ Affordable Units On-Site (# affordable units on site ; rental or for-sale? ) _ Affordable Units Off-Site (# affordable units off-site rental or for-sale? ) : location _ Other (specify: ) 9. CEQA COMPLIANCE (check one approach; fill in as needed) a. Exempt Project: _ (YES or NO) b. Negative Declaration Prepared _ (YES or NO) If YES, how much time was needed to complete the Negative Declaration? months If YES, what was the applicant charged for any outside consultant costs to prepare the EIR? $- (If YES. attach proposed mitigation measures to the protocol.) c. Environmental Impact Report (EIR) Prepared _ (YES or NO) If YES, how much time was needed to complete the EIR? _ months If YES, what was the applicant charged for outside consultant costs to prepare the EIR? $_ (If YES. attach proposed mitigation measures to the protocol.) 10. STAFF RECOMMENDATIONS a. To Planning Commission: _ Approve w/conditions _ Deny (reasons: To City Council re: Appeal of Planning Commission Action _ Approve w/conditions _ Deny (reasons: ) ) b. c. To City Council re: Final Tract Map: _ Approve _ Deny (reasons: ) HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INc. 3 '. J. r: ::~ 11. CURRENT APPLICATION STATUS AND OUTCOMES (circle all that apply) " Application Deemed Complete by Staff Pending Approved Disapproved Landmarks Commission - Pending Approved Disapproved Yes or No Planning Commission - Pending Approved Disapproved Consent Calendar or Hearing? City Council Pending Approved Disapproved Consent Calendar or Hearing? Architectura1 Review Board Approval Pending Approved Disapproved Building Pennit Pending Approved Disapproved Under Construction Pending Approved Disapproved Occupied Pending Approved Disapproved What special issues, if any, were raised in the Planing Staff report to the Planning Commission? (Briefly describe) What special issues, ifany, were raised by the Planning Commission? (Briefly describe) What special issues, if any, were raised by the City Council on appeal or at Final Tract Map approval? (Briefly describe) HAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INc. 4 " .,.... ~_ I,) 12. PROJECT APPLICA nON PROCESSING TIME LINE (Enter all dates; if no continued hearing by the Planning Commi:>~ion, or no City Council appeal, enter "none." Enter elapsed time in months.) Action Date Elapsed Notes Time Application Submitted to the Planning Department 0 Application Deemed Complete by Planning Department Planning Commission Final Action Landmarks Commission Final Action City Council Final Action Arch'l Review Board Final Action Building Permit Issued Certificate of Occupancy Issued 13. COASTAL DEVELOPMENT PERMIT STATUS (fill in all) a. Is this Project located in the City's Coastal Zone? _ (YES or NO) b. If YES: (1) Date of Architectural Review Board "conceptual approval" (2) Type of Coastal Commission Action: _ Exempt _ Administrative Approval _ Full Coastal Development Permit (3) Application status (circle all that apply and fill in as needed): Application Filed (date: ) Application Pending Commission Action Commission Action: _ approval or _ disapproval (date: ) lIAMILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INc. 5 .;~, I,.. f :~ ;. \ Characteristics of Recent Condominium Projects APPENDIX B Condominium Project Applicant Telephone Interview Questionnaire R<\.MILTON, RABINOVITZ & ALSCHULER, INC. '. :i" 1-/-' ,y SaMoNex2 -- Preliminary Interviews With Condo Developers Heiio, my name is . with i-iR&A~ inc. We're an independeut economic cOfisuliifig firm that's been working with the City of Santa Monica on housing policies during the past few years. \1.1........ ......,:...u,;....~. ~........t..".....:...:...... ............:.............. .L....... I........ ............ .......................... ~,.r:....... .J...... ......... "'.....r...... ;............ihl Y'l,," I... 1.......1"".....".6 ,",UIIUUIIIIIUUIII l,UUJ,,"""";I uta.. lIo.y... U,,",""II pIUt'U~"'U .......UII;; UI'" pl;l,o:I" l....Q,I ,..... ..........,..J how the new condominium market has changed in the past few years. Because your condominium project was tiled with the City during the last year, we'd like to ask a few general questions about why you initiated the project at this time. This is not for quotation and infonnation you share with us will have no bearing on your City pennits. We're pooling opinion from about 30 developers and no names will be used. This will only take about 10 minutes. I. Verify Project First, i' d iike to confinn that we have the right information about your project: 0.........:........ A~A............ I IUJ...."'.. "'UUI"~~. Tota! Number of Units: Unit Mix: I-BR 2-BR 3-BR 4-BR [NOTE ANY CORRECTIONS] 2. Verify Project Approval Status ,,____..J=__ &_ ~t.._ ,...,=..u Cl__ u._'.._ ___~_____.J ______ ___!__.. L__ ____~____L l"\.\,;~uruUlg l.U me L.ILY UH::S we vc n;vu::wCl1. yuur PIUJC"'L 1Iil:i rc~vcu; 1\In 'Plt:lnnino rJ"lo"".,.,iC!C!i^" ^r r:t'l.l r^"n~il .rf_it!1nn _ . ''''' a .-........0 ............................... "". .......J .................... ................""u _ Planning Commission approval only Planning Commission and Architectural Review Board approval _ Planning Commission. ARB and City Council approval _ Building Pennit, but not vet under construction _ Building Pennit Jl!.!l!. under construction [NOTE ANY CORRECTIONS] 3. Experience Developing in Santa Monica a. For some of the developers we are speaking with, this is their tirst condominium project ever. or their first project in Santa Monica. Others are more experienced builders. Where"o you fit into that picture? Is this your FIRST CONDOMINIUM PROJECT? Yes No IFNO: _ Other condos in Santa Monica? (Describe: _ Other condos elsewhere? {Describe where: b. Do you have experience building apartment buildings? No _ Yes, in Santa Monica (Describe where: _ Yes, but not in Santa Monica (Describe where: ,;-. lr- J (. if 4. Reasons for Developing Your Santa Monica Condo Project Now Whicn of the following are the MOST important and SECOND most important reason you decided to go forward with City permits for your project: [MARK # I AND #2 ONLY] _ Stronger real estate market (able to sell units at higner price) _ Lower cost of financing C- Recent changes in City policies _ Other (specify: F CHANGE IN CITY POLICIES IS #1 OR #2: a. What change was that? b. Which of the following recent changes were the MOST important to you: _ Changes in development standards (If#1 or #2, specifY what----.J _ Changes in permit requirements (If#1 or #2, specifY what----.J _ Ability to pay an in-lieu fee for the affordable housing requirement _ The new amount of the in-lieu fee for the affordable housing requirement _ Other (specify: 5. Follow-Up We plan to speak witn a few developers in more depth ahout project finances and the effects of City development rules. Would you be willing to meet with me to discuss' your project? Again, any information you are willing to share with us will be kept confidential. Do not want to meet. _ Willing to meet. Best day of week, time, etc: Thanks, I'll call you back to arrange an appointment. That's all we needed to ask. Thank you very much for your time. cr' ! n