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SR-042396-9APCD:PPA:SF:KG:TR f:\ppd\share\mea\ccrprtl Council Meeting: April 9, 1995 TO: Mayor and City Council FROM: City Staff APR 2 3 " Santa Monica, California SUBJECT: Approval of 1995/1996 Master Environmental Assessment (MEA) INTRODUCTION This report recommends that the City Council approve the 1995/1996 Master Environmental Assessment (MEA). Once approved, this document will replace the September, 1993 MEA as the baseline for all environmental documents prepared for the City. The document was reviewed and approved by the Planning Commission on February 21, 199b. BACKGROUND In March, 1991, at the direction of the City Council, City staff initiated preparation of the first Master Environmental Assessment. The MEA was designed to serve both as the baseline environmental reference for preparing environmental impact reports and as a reference tool for making decisions about future planning policies. The first MEA was approved by Council in February, 1992 and the second in September, 1993. At the September, 1993 public hearing on the MEA update, the City Council provided staff with several specific recommendations for adding new information to the next APR 2 3 19196 i ~ ~~~ M update. Many of these suggestions have been incorporated into the this update. This report provides the following information: 1) a review of changes made to the 1995/1995 MEA Update as requested by the City Council 2) a summary of the major trends that have been observed between the first, second and current MEA; and 3)a discussion of recommendations made by the Planning Commission at their February 21, 1995 meeting. CAANGES REQIIE$TED SY CITY COUNCIL Upon approving the September 1993 MEA, the City Council suggested several modifications and improvements to be considered during the preparation of the next update. Several of these suggestions stemmed from comments made by the public at the Council hearing. A discussion of the suggested changes and rationale far either incorporating them into or excluding them from the document was provided in a March 1, 1995 Information item to City Council (Attachment A) The following is a summary of the changes that were incorporated: • Lane Configurations: Diagrams of "Existing", "cumulative base", and "with project mitigation" intersection lane configurations are now included in the MEA (MEA Appendix A). These diagrams also depict changes that are planned for each intersection as a result of transportation 2 improvements and project-related mitigation measures. ~ Analysis of on-going trends: For the first time, the MEA contains a section which examines various trends since preparation of the first MEA. This section addresses trends for the major environmental issue areas such as transportation/circulation and land use in a single section of the document. DISCIISSION The fallowing discussion summarizes the changes made to sections of the MEA along with a summary of the major trends that have been observed between the first, second, and current MEA. Section 2 of the MEA update includes a detailed discussion of environmental trends. Cumulative Projects Cumulative projects include development projects that have either gained City approval or have been deemed complete for review by the City. The cumulative projects section of the MEA is a crucial part of the document because it is used as the basis of what is known as the "future base". The future base consists of a) existing conditions (quantified), plus, b) the cumulative, quantified effects of proposed projects. Later, when other projects are proposed in the City, their quantified impacts are added on top of the future base. 3 The cumulative projects list in this MEA includes 26 projects which represents a decrease from the 1992 MEA (41 projects) and a slight increase from the 1993 MEA {23 projects). The 2& cumulative projects total approximately 1,68 million square feet of non- residential square footage, 660 dwelling units, 175 hotel roams, and 12 bed and breakfast rooms. In comparison, the 1993 MEA cumulative projects totaled approximately 1.7 million square feet of non-residential square footage, 351 dwelling units, and 752 hotel rooms. While the 1992 MEA cumulative projects totaled approximately 3.5 million square feet of non-residential square footage, 372 residential units and 756 hotel rooms. The number of regionally significant projects located outside of the city boundaries, has increased from five in the last two MEAs to eleven in this update. The potential cumulative impacts of these projects on each environmental issue are analyzed in each section of the MEA. Earth Resources This section of the MEA has been updated to reflect changes in the number of unreinforced masonry buildings (URM's) in the City following the Northridge earthquake and documents the new City ordinances which were adopted for retrofitting potentially hazardous structures. Air Quality This section of the MEA has been updated to reflect air quality 4 data from the West Los Angeles monitoring station between 1990 and 1994; new federal and state air quality plans and requirements; and new information regarding sensitive receptors in the City. During the 1990-1994 time period, the number of times federal and state air quality standards were exceeded at the West Los Angeles monitoring station has decreased far ozone and nitrogen dioxide, as have measured pollutant levels for carbon monoxide. Since 1986 the number of days the ozone levels have exceeded the State standard has decreased from a level of 81 times in 1986 to la times in 1994 and the number of days the ozone levels have exceeded the federal standard has decreased from a high of 30 times in 1986 to 2 times in 1994. In comparing the data contained in the 1992 and 1993 MEA's to the current MEA, the number of days that nitrogen dioxide levels have exceeded the state 1-hour standard has been consistently zero or one day except for 1990 when the standard was exceeded for three days. In the case of carbon monoxide concentrations, the State and Federal standards have never been exceeded, as reported in the 1992, 1993 and current MEA. Water Resources This section of the MEA has been updated to reflect the mast recent (1993 and 1994) information about water resources in the City. Since, 1991, the City has increased its reliance on local wells and lowered its allocation from the Metropolitan water District. In 5 1991, 43 percent of the total water production was pumped from City wells. In 1993, approximately 66 percent of the total water production was pumped from City wells. energy This section has been updated with information from utility companies concerning current gas and electrical consumption and sales in the City. Electricity consumption in the City of Santa Monica has increased approximately 1.6 percent from 1990 to 1994. Natural gas sales from The Gas Company to residential, commercial and industrial users in Santa Monica has declined by approximately 20 percent between 1991 and 1994. This decrease in gas sales as reported by The Gas Company can be attributed to a variety of factors including energy conservation programs, upgrading of inefficient buildings and a reduction in the number of consumers brought about by the weak economy. Another major reason for the decrease in sales by The Gas Company is the recent deregulation of natural gas sales which allows large industrial and commercial users to purchase natural gas from sources other than The Gas Company. Statistics concerning independent sources which sell natural gas were not available for this MEA update. Risk of IIpset This section has been updated with current information concerning 6 small quantity generators, hazardous materials incidents, and hazardous waste sites. While there has been an increase in the number of industries which generate hazardous materials as an end by-product, from 375 (1992) to 400 in 1993, to 54b in 1995, there has also been a continuous reduction in the number of reported incidents involving hazardous materials/substances within the City, from 413 in 1990/91, to 367 in 1993, to 218 in 1995--a decline of approximately 47 percent since 1990/91. Population, Housinq and Employment This section of the MEA has been updated to reflect current information about the City's population, housing costs, growth forecasts, and employment in the City. • Population Changes. While the City's population has shown an overall decline between the 1980 and 1990 census, according to the California Department of Finance, there has been a 2.05 increase in the City's population since 1990. • Housinq Stoclc Changes. Since 1990, there has been a 1.1$ increase in housing units, bringing the total number of units in 1995 to 48,280. The January, 2994 earthquake ruay have affected the total number and/or composition and characteristics of the available housing stock; however, exact information is not yet available. • Owner and Reatal Housinq Costs. Housing and condominium sales prices for all size units have decreased considerably since 7 1990. For example, the average two-bedroom home which sold for $560K in 1990 had an average sales price of $390K in 1994. Rents on one and two-bedroom rent-controlled units generally increased by 10 to 14 percent between 1990 and 1994. Land IIse This section was updated to reflect current information on changes to the City's zoning districts including the adoption of the Civic Center Specific Plan, the additian of the Light Manufacturing Studio District {LMSD) and the Bayside Commercial District (BSC) as well as the adoption of the Bayside District Specific Pian_ This section also includes updated information on the alcohol outlets in the City. There are currently 328 outlets in the City that sell alcoholic beverages for wholesale or retail purposes. This represents a slight decrease from the 332 outlets listed in the 1993 MEA (alcohol outlets were not listed in the first MEA). Transportation/Circulation This section of the MEA was updated to reflect recent traffic counts, current intersection lane configurations, changes in neighborhood traffic plans, additions to permit parking districts, and trends since the 1992 MEA. Diagrams of existing and planned roadway system geometries have been prepared for this MEA update. They are included in the Technical Appendix of the MEA. 8 The updated traffic counts illustrate that the number of intersections operating at a poor level of service (E or F) improved significantly in the PM peak period between 1991 and 1993 and slightly worsened in 1995. In 1991, 31$ of the intersections were operating at level of service E or F in the pm peak hour. This dropped to 5~ of the intersections in 1993 and then increased slightly to 6~ in 1995. The changes reflect both lower traffic volumes in 1993 and 1995 compared to 1991, as well as a change in analysis methodology.l The number of intersections operating at a poor level of service (E or F) has improved in the AM peak period since 1991. The overall trend therefore has showed an improvement in the early 1990's and now a slight worsening of conditions, however these conditions are significantly better than in 1991. This reflects both lower traffic volumes in 1998 and 1995 relative to 1991, as well as a change in analysis methodology. 1 It is important to note that the methodology used to estimate existing and forecast future level of service changed between the first and second MEA studies. Therefore, the changes in intersection levels of service noted between those two studies are partially due to the changes in analysis procedures and partially due to the actual changes in traffic levels. A better comparison can be made between the second and third MEA traffic analyses. Under both of thane studies, the analysis procedures were consistent and the changes can therefore be attributed to actual changes in operating conditions, 9 Intersection Service Level Trends Intersection 1991 1993 1995 Service Levels AM PM AM PM AM PM LOS A, B, C, D 149 130 153 152 151 148 LOS E 4 i3 2 0 1 2 LOS F 8 1$ 4 7 6 8 Percent LOS E or F 8~ 31% 4~ 5~ 4$ 6~ Several major transportation system improvements have been implemented during the time period covered by the three MEAS. These include: - Installation of 4th Street on-ramp to the east-bound Santa Monica Freeway (Interstate 10). - Signal System Interconnect Projects - A total of 50 signalized intersections have been included in interconnected, signal system networks. - Restriping - Primarily in relation to the development of streetscape plans or neighborhood traffic plans, the City has altered the traffic lane configuration via restriping from two lanes in each direction to one lane in each direction along five City streets, as follows: - Main Street from Pico Boulevard to the southern City boundary; - Montana Avenue from 7th Street to 17th Street (trial period in place); - Ocean Park Boulevard from Lincoln Boulevard to Barnard Way (trial period in place); 10 - Broadway from 26th to Centinela Ave; and, - 26th Street from Colorado Ave. to Wilshire Boulevard. - Bicycle Lane Improvement - Several bicycle lane improvements have been implemented, utilizing grant monies from Propositions 116 and C. - No major development project street improvements have been implemented during the examined time frame. - Permit Parking ^istricts. Santa Monica has instituted permit parking districts in many parts of the City. Since the first MEA, the number of permit parking areas has increased from 24 to 30. IItilitiea This section of the MEA has been updated to reflect current system conditions, deficiencies, and scheduled improvements for water, sewer, storm drain, and solid waste services. Sewage. The City's sewage flow to the Hyperion Plant has been reduced by approximately 7.5 percent since 1991 to a current level of 8.6 million gallons per day [mgd}, a decrease from 9.3 mgd in 1991. Btorm ~9'ater. Since the 1992 MEA, the City is continuing the practice of diverting debris and dry weather flows from direct discharge to the Santa Monica Bay and there have been increased flow levels from the Pico-Kenter drain since the 11 1993 MEA. Additionally, the City has selected a consultant to prepare a preliminary design report to construct a facility that would treat all of the low flow storm water effluent from the Pico Kenter storm drain. Eventually, this plant will have about a 250,000 gpd treatment capacity and provide approximately 200 acre-feet per year of reclaimed water. The anticipated completion and start-up date of the facility is 1999. Solid Waste. In fiscal year 1994-95, 124,064 tons of solid waste Were generated by residences and businesses in the City, a 3.3 percent decrease from the 128,306 tons measured in the 1992 MEA. Of the 124,064 tons, approximately twenty-four percent (24$), or 29,775 tons, was recycled or source reduced, compared to 17 percent in 1991. In order to meet the goals of AB 939, another approximate 1~ will need to be reduced by the end of 1995, and an additional twenty-five percent (25~) will need to be diverted by the year 2D00. Public Services This section has been updated to reflect current information about staffing, resources, and demand for service far police, fire, library, and public schools. Police Protection. Major crimes have fallen dramatically from levels experienced in 1991. Part I offenses (which include homicide, rape, robbery, burglary, thefts, and other crimes 12 against persons) have declined by 14.5 percent from the first MEA. As of September, 1995 there were 192 sworn police officers serving the City compared to 184 sworn officers as documented in the 1993 MEA, and 168 in the 1992 MEA. Based on the City's estimated 1994 population of 89,809 residents, the number of police officers per 1,000 population is approximately 2.Z, compared to a 2.1 sworn officer/population ratio as measured in the 1993 MEA, and the 1.9 ratio in the 1992 MEA. Since 1991, the Police Department has added a substation on the Santa Monica Pier and a Public Information Kiosk in the 1400 block of the Third Street Promenade. Fire Protection. Since 1991 Fire Department resources including both personnel and equipment has increased slightly and in general, the total number of emergency calls has declined since 1990. In 1994 however, a 3~ increase in emergency calls occurred. This increase was primarily due to calls triggered by the January 1994 earthquake. Schools: The schools section has been updated with 1994/95 enrollment information as well as an analysis of the proportion of student enrollment made up of transfer students- -that is, students from outside the school district. According to the School District, the maximum school capacity 13 should ideally be 90~. Currently, four elementary schools are operating at greater than 100$ capacity and one middle school is operating at less than 70~ capacity. Compared to the 1992 MEA which reported school enrollment for 1990-91 and the 1993 MEA which reported school enrollment for 1992-93, enrollment in the elementary schools increased by 723 students for the 1994/95 year, middle school enrollment increased by 223 students, and high school enrollment decreased by 311 students. Library Services: The Library Services section has been updated to address the location, size, capacity, staffing needs and level of service for City library services. The library~s overall collection is estimated to contain approximately 230,000 titles and 400,000 items including books, audio tapes, public records, compact disks, films, magazines, newspapers, microfilm, maps and pamphlets. Fiscal This section has been revised to reflect the current Fiscal Year 1995/96 budget. Recreation Since the 1993 MEA, the city has increased its open space resources from 49 acres to 62 acres while its public park resources have remained constant. The open space resources increased with the 14 addition of the Santa Monica State Beach Facility at 415 Pacific Coast Highway. These acreage statistics will be reexamined as part of the Cpen Space Element Update. Two recreational facilities within the City (Lincoln Park pool and the Santa Monica State Beach Facility at 415 Pacific Goast Highway) have been impacted by the January 1994 earthquake and are closed to the public. Park improvements since the 1993 MEA include the completion of Phase I of improvements to Palisades Park extending from the Pier to Arizona Avenue and renovation of a substantial portion of Lincoln Park which was completed in January, 1995. The second phase of improvements to Palisades Park is being undertaken as part of the Beach Improvement Group (B.I.G.} Project. Cultural Resources This section has been updated to reflect the results of the final phase of the City's Historic Resources Inventory, changes to the City's list of designated landmarks as a result of the Northridge earthquake, and changes to the City's historic resources inventory as a result of the earthquake. Since the 1992 MEA the City has increased its number of designated landmarks from 22 to 29. One of the City's designated landmarks (Henshey's Department Store) and two of its significant landmark-eligible buildings (First Christian Church and Tex's} had to be demolished as a result of damage caused 15 by the Northridge earthquake. Human Health and Saf®ty The most notable change in existing health care facilities located in the City resulted from the Northridge earthquake. 5t. John's Hospital and Health Center was severely damaged, resulting in the demolition of the facility's north wing and reducing its capacity by over 190 beds. Additional changes include the merger of Santa Monica Hospital with UCLA Medical Center and the addition of the Yvonne Burke County Health Facility in the inventory of medical facilities. Other MEA Sections No significant changes have occurred under the remaining environmental subject areas examined in the MEA, including Biological Resources, Noise and Aesthetics. PLANKING COMMISSION RECOMMENDATIONS The Planning Commission at its February Z1, 1996 meeting held a public hearing on the MEA and discussed the contents of the document. The following major comments were made: Energy: The Cammission recommended that additional clarification be provided to the reader to indicate that the reduction in natural gas reflects sales by The Gas Company and that it is primarily attributable to the deregulation of natural gas and the ability of 16 large users to purchase natural gas elsewhere. Therefore it is not accurate to reflect this as a drop in consumption but rather a drop in sales by The Gas Company. Staff proposes to modify p.8-3 to reflect this clarification. The Commission also discussed the fact that the MEA does not consider the impact of gasoline consumption and the corresponding impact of the automobile on the environment. Staff explained that the MEA provides baseline data which used by environmental consultants for environmental documents prepared in the City. The consumption of gasoline is not a measurable standard used to assess environmental conditions. Due to difficulty in obtaining and measuring gasoline consumption in the City and the fact that this is not a standard used in environmental analysis, staff does not support including this analysis as part of the MEA. Land Use: The Commission recommended that the MEA include information on the amount of acreage in the City that is devoted to streets. Staff believes it will be more useful to incorporate this type of information into the Open Space Element of the General Plan which is currently being updated. TransportationlCirculation: The Commission recommended that the transportation/circulation section include an analysis of the total available parking spaces in the City and discuss the rate and fee structure of public and private parking areas. This type of 17 citywide analysis is not related to the MEA, and should the Council determine this information would be useful, the Council should direct staff to return to Council with a recommendation and estimated cost. The Commission recommended that additional information be included concerning pedestrian impacts, including the number of transit users who board and debark from buses in Santa Monica, and the number of annual traffic accidents in the City including a breakdown of fatal accidents. These issues are not typically covered as part of environmental documents and therefore are not included in the MEA. Additionally, the definition of significance related to transportation/circulation issues is being examined and analyzed as part of the Circulation Element and pedestrian issues will be considered as part of this analysis. Fiscal: The Commission requested that the MEA include an accounting item for parking meter revenues. Staff does not believe that this level of detail is important for the MEA and recommends that this information be contained in the City's budget documents. Additionally, providing a comparison of parking meter revenue from FY 93-94, FY 94-95 and FY 95-96 may be misleading due to the fact that the downtown parking structures are no longer operated as metered facilities. Following publication of the Draft MEA, it was discovered that the 18 following two paragraphs had been inadvertently omitted from the bottom of page 15-8. Staff is recommending that they be incorporated into the final document before printing. "The Solid Waste Management Fund is expected to show a slight increase of 6.5 percent or $65,000." "The Water Fund is anticipated to decrease 3.5 percent from FY 1994-95, primarily due to the lower use of Water Demand Mitigation fees for eligible capital projects." ENVIRONMENTAL TASK FORCE RECOMMENDATIONS On March 17, 1996 the Environmental Task Force met to discuss the MEA and approved a motion recommending that the Trends section of the MEA include documentation to reflect progress on the City's Sustainable City Program goals. Since the MEA is used by environmental consultants to provide baseline data about the City for environmental impact reports and is not a tool for measuring the success of particular city programs, staff does not support including this analysis as part of the MEA, and instead recommends that this analysis be handled separately. Members of the Task Force also suggested that the Table of Contents indicate that Chapter 6 Water Resources includes a discussion of the City's Water Quality. This does not seem necessary since the first page of each Chapter includes a summary of the issues covered in each Chapter. 19 NEXT MEA UPDATE Staff will request funds far the preparation of the next MEA update as part of the 1995/1997 fiscal year budget process. FISCAL/BUDGETARY IMPACTS The recommendations in this report do not have any budgetary impacts. RECOMMENDATION Tt is recommended that the City Council conduct a public hearing and approve the 1995/1996 MEA with the incorporation of the changes recommended in the staff report. Attachments: A - March 1, 1995 City Council Information Item B - 1995/1996 MEA Update Prepared by: Suzanne Frick, PCD Director Karen Ginsberg, Planning Manager za ATTACIIlV~ENT A ATTACHMENT A f:/ppd/share/mea/ccinfoi March 1, 7.9 9 5 INFORMATION ITEM Santa Monica, California TO: Mayor and City Council - FROM: City Staff SUBJECT: Master Environmental Assessment (MEA) Update INTRODIICTION This memorandum describes the proposed 2994/95 Master Environmental Assessment (MEA) Update scope of work and outlines the changes that staff is recommending to the document in response to City Council and public comment. In addition, this memorandum evaluates the work necessary to provide a daytime visitor population and traffic impact analysis which the Council asked staff to consider when adopting the present MEA. BACKGROIIND First prepared in February, 1992 as part of the commercial moratorium work program, the MEA zs designed to provide baseline information for preparing environmental documents such as initial studies, negative declarations, and EIR's. The MEA has been successful in reducing the time and cost required to prepare EIR's, ~t has helped to ensure consistency between environmental documents, it has served as a reference document for preparing initial studies, and it has streamlined the City's environmental reVlew process. The current MEA was approved by the City Council in September, 1993. At that time, staff was asked to consider adding addit~.onal information in the next update. The City Council requested that staff consider suggestions for additional infarmata.an and evaluate which ones to incorporate into the next MEA update. After reviewing the suggestions, staff has formulated recommendations cancern~ng which should be included in the scope of work for the MEA update and wh~,ch should not be included. This report outlines the proposed new tasks which have been incorporated into the proposed work program without significant additional expense_ This report also describes tasks which staff recommends not be included in the MEA update. Finally, this report identifies one task suggested by Council that is more appropriately associated with the upcoming budget process. Should the Council wish to pursue this task, necessary funds should be included in the FY 95/96 budget. PROPOSED NEW TASKS The follaw~ng new tasks have been added to the previous scope of work for the MEA: a Lane configurations: "Existing", "cumulative base", and "with project mitigation" intersection lane configurations will be illustrated as part of the Transportation/Circulation section of the MEA. Thzs new information will depict changes 2 that are planned far each intersection as a result of transportation improvements and project-related mitigation measures. o Analysis of environmental trends: An examination of environmental trends since preparation of the first MEA, such as changes in air quality, water production, energy use, population, and intersection levels of service, will be incorporated into the document. A narrative discussion will be accompanied by graphic illustrations to highlight changes. o Traffic gaunt verification: Levels of service at all intersections examined in the last MEA will be recounted. Additionally traffic counts will be taken at the intersections of 23rd and Santa Monica Boulevard, Cloverfield Boulevard and Santa Monica Boulevard, Cloverfield Boulevard and Michigan Avenue, and 4th Street and Broadway as specifically requested by Council. o Human health and safety: Information about the Yvonne Burke County Health Facility will be included zn the discussion of health fac~lit~es. Because the Yvonne Burke County Health Facility provides a variety of medical services in the community, it will be included along with 5t. John's and Santa Monica Hospitals in the inventory of medical facilities. 3 'ASKS NOT TO BE INCLUDED There are a number of suggestions for additions to the MEA which staff does not recommend including in the MEA update. These are briefly discussed below: o Traffic Methodology: It was suggested that the City develop a new method of analyzing traffic impacts using a grid analysis and take into account the effects of traffic spilling over from major streets onto local streets. Using a grid analysis at a local level for traffic analysis is very uncommon -- City staff and consultants are not aware of any cities that use a grid analysis for new development traffic analysis. Grid analyses are often used at a regional level for planning purposes and trip distribution. The grid analysis can look at traffic flow on a stretch of streets, and as it becomes more congested, redirect traffic to a different path for a shorter travel time to their destination. However, models used at the regional level rarely take the analysis to a level of detail below arterial streets, such as Lincoln, Ocean Park, Pico and Wilshire Boulevards. It is feasible to create a grid network using residential streets, but the accuracy is not as reliable. In addition, the grid analysis requires a great deal of 4 detailed information, including socia-economic data such as employment and population statistics down to the block level, and knowledge of tr~.p origins and destinations. A grid analysis model also requires detailed average daily traffic count information. Finally, a grid analysis is a planning model, and does not calculate levels of service for traffic impact analysis of new projects. The information from the model would have to be transferred to a different methodology, such as the City's HCM methodology, to perform the levels of service calculations. Another methodology used more commonly with a grid analysis model could be used, but comparisons to previous MEA's would then be lost. In order to apply a grid analysis to Santa Monica, it would have to be applied to arterial and collector streets at a minimum, and feeder and residential streets to more accurately determine spillover effects. This would require average daily traffic counts far all segments of these streets for each update, which casts approximately $5a,Opo per update just for the traffic counts, and up to an additional S500, 000 to create the model. Such a model would also zequire employment and population data down to the block level as well as consistent updates of the information which the City currently does not have. 5 Based upon the cost of preparing a modal, the difficulty of collecting all necessary data, and the accuracy of the model down to a feeder or residential street level for development impact analysis, staff feels that this approach should not be pursued. Staff feels it ~s appropriate to continue using the HCM methadalogy zn order to create a series of MEA's using the same procedure to track changes in the City's level of service. o Transportation/Circulation: Another suggestion was that the MEA include weekend traffic conditions in "real time", both summer and non-summer, especially on non-signalized intersections west of Ocean Avenue. In particular, this would mean examining traffic conditions during peak beach visiting hours between 10:30 and 3:30. It was also suggested that special event traffic and circulation in the coastal overlay zones (weekend, summer/non-summer) be considered. The purpose of the MEA is to provide baseline information for use in project-related traffic impact analysis. The existing traffic methadalogy and data collection provides peak-period information, when mast development projects have the greatest impacts. Furthermore, the MEA accounts far beach traffic in the coastal zone by conducting summer counts in addition to non-summer counts. If development is proposed in the coastal zone that will have impacts on weekend traffic, specific 5 counts can be taken for that analysis. Therefore, staff dyes not recommend conducting a "real time" traffic analysis. o Cumulative Projects/3peci,fic Plans: It was suggested that the list of cumulative projects contained in the MEA include a comparison between projected impacts of adopted specific plans and actual impacts. More specifically, it would compare the projected impacts on specific intersections to actual impacts, It has also been suggested th®t the Bayside District Specific Plan and Civic Center Specific Flan be added to the Cumulative Projects List. Staff does not support these suggestions because the main purpose of the MEA is to provide baseline environmental data for proposed project analysis, not to evaluate the impacts of specific development over time. Furthermore, it would be difficult to isolate the actual traffic impacts of a particular project or set of projects on a specific intersection, as this would involve project-by-project traffic counts, which would be labor-intensive and expensive. It would also be difficult to factor out other elements impacting an intersection in the analysis, including travel paths to and from the project site, cumulative development impacts, and ambient changes due to the economy. With respect to adding specific plans to the cumulative 7 projects list, staff also recommends against this. Specific plan areas are much like the City's general plan ~n that there is no guarantee that individual parcels will build out to their maximum potential. Therefore, it would be misleading to show the maximum development potential of specific plans on the cumulative projects list. However, to the extent that specific developments are proposed for specific plan areas, such as the Civic Center, Bayside District, or Hospital Area, these developments will be included in the cumulative projects list. o Alcohol vut~,ets: It was suggested that the name of alcohol outlets, number of seats, and hours of operation be added to the alcohol outlet table. The existing MEA already contains the name and location of each outlet. Staff does not support the idea of including the number of seats and hours of operation in the MEA, primarily because this information is not pertinent to the purpose of the alcohol information, which is to show where each type of alcohol outlet is concentrated. Also, the information changes quickly and would require extensive staff time to constantly update. o Cost/benefit analysis of liquor: It was suggested that the MEA include an analysis of the costs and benefits of liquor 8 sales and consumption, as well as an analysis of high risk land uses. Staff believes that such an analysis is not appropriate far the MEA. The purpose of the MEA is to document baseline environmental conditions, not evaluate project-specific impacts or the impacts of particular types of land uses_ o Fiscal: It was suggested that the MEA be used to develop formulas that link police, fire, and paramedic service to increases in overall. population; and, that a cost/benefit analysis be conducted and crime impact and public service fee formulas be determined in advance of project approvals. The City's need for police, fire, and paramedic services is evaluated each year as part of the Ca~ty's budgetary process. It is not the purpose of the MEA to address budgetary issues. o Police, Fire, Paramedic Services: It was proposed that a demand analysis for police, fire, and paramedic services be linked to daytime population. In addition, it was proposed that, ~n order to establish a mitigation fee, a cost factor be developed to account for the demand for services brought about by new development. As indicated, the City's need for police, fire, and paramedic 9 services is evaluated each year as part of the City~s budgetary process. It is not the purpose of the MEA to address budgetary issues. o Crime: It was suggested that Police statistics be provided to show why population has declined but crime has increased. Staff has added a task to the MEA work scope to include recent crime reporting statistics. A more detailed analysis of crime trends would more appropriately be conducted by the Police Department in a separate document. o Police: It was suggested that deployment factors for police be provided in the MEA. This issue is addressed by the Police Department as part of the budgetary process. o Thresholds: It was recommended that, to the extent that they are available, thresholds of significance be applied to additional environmental zssue areas. Staff agrees that it would be useful for the City to establish thresholds of significance far additional environmental issue areas. However, because this effort would require considerable analysis, staff recommends that this be done 10 separately from the MEA update, if directed by the Council. Optional ~a~k$ It was suggested that the MEA include a study of the City"s daytime visitor transient population and police-to-population ratios. In order to fully understand the cost, scope, and feasibility of these additional tasks. staff asked consultants to address them in their proposals for the MEA update. The following information summarizes what has been learned from the consultants: o Visitor/Transient Population: It was suggested that analysis of visitor/transient population address summer/non-summer periods, weekends/weekdays, and special events. Consultant proposals presented a variety of methods for determining daytime visitor population. These ranged from modest approaches, such as review of existing data sources, to more elaborate methods, such as a hotel survey, a business survey, a license plate survey a resident survey and a visitor intercept survey. A review of existing data would cost an estimated $20,000 - $30,000. Additionally, each new survey mentioned above would cost between $20,000 and $4fl,000 a piece, therefore the cumulative cost of all surveys would exceed $20D,OD0. It was also suggested that police-to-population ratios include 11 visitor/transient population. This item could be easily calculated once visitor population is determined. While staff believes that there would be many valuable applications for this information, due to the cost it is not possible to perform this analysis within the budget of the MEA update. Moreover, a thorough survey of transient/visitor population should be conducted over an extended period of time to capture seasonal fluctuations, such as summer daytime and ' weekend population. This would not be possible within the timeframe of the current MEA update, which is anticipated to be completed prior to the upcoming summer. Staff recommends that if the Council wishes to pursue this further, funds for this type of study should be included in the FY 95/9b hudget. Prepared by: Suzanne Frick, PCD Director Karen Ginsberg, Playing Manager Tad Read, Associate Planner Planning & Community Development Department Policy & Planning Analysis Division f:~ppd~share~mea~ccinfol 12