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SR-9-A (34) If-A LUTM:CPD:PB:SF:JR wjMEAccmet COUNCIL MEETING: December 8, 1992 DEe .i ~. ~~s~ Santa Monlca, california TO: Mayor and City Council FROM: city Staff SUBJECT: Recommendation To Authorize The city Manager To Negotiate And Execute A Contract Not To Exceed $77,933 Wlth Michael Brandman Associates To Prepare The 93-94 Update To The City Master Environmental Assessment INTRODUCTION This report recommends that the city council authorize the city Manager to negotiate and execute a contract to prepare an update to the Clty'S Master Envlronmental Assessment (MEA). As part of the update, the Council is being asked to decide whether to use the San Diego Assoclatlon of Governments (SANDAG) trip generation rates or the Instltute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) rates in the traffic analysls of the MEA. BACKGROUND In March, 1991, as part of the commercial moratorium work program, the city council directed staff to prepare a citywide Master Environmental Assessment (MEA). The purpose of the MEA is to provide baseline data for environmental lmpact reports as well as provide background to proJect and policy related documents. In order to keep all information current for purposes of environmental reVlew, the MEA must be updated annually. - 1 - 9." A VtL 1 v j9~2 In January, 1992, the City council approved the first MEA document and provided staff with a list of addltlonal issues to be addressed ln the MEA update. Staff has recently issued a Request for Proposals for the update and has selected the consulting firm of Michael Brandman & Associates to conduct the update. Scope of the Update The February, 1992 MEA analyzes existing conditions pertaining to specific environmental issues such as traffic conditions, population, seismic, water quality and employment. Where feasible, the document quantifies the environmental conditions by using the list of development projects that are currently under construction or that have pending planning permits. The impacts of the pending or approved development projects are then added to the environmental conditions that exist today. This provides baseline information that is used to determine the environmental impact of future development projects. The MEA update will follow the same format as the existing MEA but will provide more current lnformatlon, where available. For example, the most recent air quality data will be provided; recently released 1990 census data will be included; and, additional information will be added concerning the City's sewer system. - 2 - Several new tasks have been lncluded in the MEA update based upon previous direction from the Cl ty council. These tasks include the following: o Update the cumulative projects list (e.g., list of pending or approved development projects). o Provide a list and map of alcohol outlets by alcohol license type as well as a list of pending alcohol CUP's. o Incorporate relevant information from the draft Safety Element. o Evaluate the impact of traff ic congestion upon emergency response times. In addition to the above tasks, new tasks have been included based upon recommendations from the Planning Commission and staff. These include: o Data regarding the location and existing service capacities of local health care facl11ties. o Document the capacity and condition of existing water and sewer infrastructure, where feasible. o Document the proportion of Monica-Ma11bu Unified School Monica residents. students District in who the are Santa santa o Update the list of approved traffic mitigation measures, and identify and resolve any inconsistencies in these measures. o Update the traffic model to include the most current cumulative projects list. The cost of preparing the update to the background sections is smaller than the cost for updating the traffic analysis. The overall costs for the background update total $31,518 while the parking and traffic analysis totals $46,415. - 3 - Traffic and parking Related Items The majority of the update consists of updating the citywide traffic analysis. This involves conducting new vehicle counts at the 170 study intersections. The counts, both summer and non-summer are then analyzed and translated into Level of Service (LOS) factors for each intersection. In order to keep up to date baseline traffic information for environmental impact reports, it is necessary to conduct new traffic counts and prepare a new analysis. An update to the Third street Promenade Parking Study was not previously lncluded in the MEA, however, based on City Council and Planning CommlSSlon direction, an update to that study will be included in the MEA update. This update will include an inventory of existing parking supply of private and public structures and facilities; an assessment of the number of permit parked cars; an estimate of the future demand for public spaces based on forecasts of projected growth and development in the study area; and, a utilization survey conducted between 9 a.m. to 12 midnight on a Thursday and Saturday. The traffic analysis for the update will use the same traffic methodology as the adopted MEA, the Highway Capacity Method (HeM). However, concern was expressed that some of the assumptions used in the analysis over-stated future traffic - 4 - impacts. Therefore, staff is recommending that the following changes be made to the traffic assumptions: o The traffic model will be modified to include assumed trip generation rate changes associated with the implementation of the city's TMP ordinance for projects on the cumulative list. o A new retail land use trip generation rate will be used that more accurately reflects "pass by" trips. The original MEA included a reduction of 25 percent for pass-by trips. However, this is considered to be a very conservative estimate. SANDAG (San Diego Association of Governments) has not done any research regarding retail land use trip generation rates. However, ITE has done a national survey which provides the only large scale research on this issue. They have found that a 50% reduction for pass-by trips for retail land uses is an appropriate factor to use. Therefore, instead of the 25% reduction, the revised analysis will use the 50% reduction factor. As part of the adoption of the MEA, Council directed staff to look at the accuracy of the l.5 percent ambient growth rate used in the MEA. The ambient growth rate is an lmportant component of the traffic analysis because it reflects the traffic growth associated with those development projects not included in the cumulative projects list and also general growth in traffic due to changes in neighboring communities which cannot be accurately modeled. An ambient growth rate of 1.5 percent was used in the adopted MEA and has been used for various project EIRs. Concern has been expressed that this factor is too high and therefore over estimates the amount of traffic that will be added in the future. - 5 - As part of the MEA update, the consultant will evaluate the 1.5 growth factor by comparing the ambient growth rate of other cities, analyz1ng the amount of traff1c growth over the past ten years, and comparing the traffic growth with the amount of growth due to cumulative projects constructed over that time period. Once this analysis is complete, staff will inform the council of the findings and the recommended ambient growth rate to be used in the MEA analysis. As in the adopted MEA, summer traffic counts will be included in the traffic analysis if they are greater than the non-summer traffic counts. If the summer traffic counts are lower than the non-summer traffic counts, only the non-summer traffic analysis will be conducted. The new traffic counts were conducted this past summer and fall. Trip Generation Rates On June 11, 1991, Counc1l directed staff to use the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) Trip Generation Manual as the primary source for trip generation estimates in the adopted Master Environmental Assessment. For land uses that are not covered by the SANDAG manual, the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) trip generation rates were to be used. At the same time, council directed staff to assess the feasibility of developing localized trip generation estimates for Santa Monica - 6 - in order to provide more accurate information on expected trips generated by proposed projects within the city. Trip generation rates are an important component of traffic analysis because they represent the number of automobile trips a development is projected to create. The number of automobile trips generated are then used to calculate levels of service at study intersections. A higher trip generation rate will likely lead to more severe traffic impacts in an EIR analysis. The consulting firm of Barton-Aschman Associates, Inc. was retained to perform a test-case study to verify the trip generation rates provided by SANDAG and ITE. Two categories of land uses were selected for the study: o Off1ce buildings 10,000 to 100,000 gross square feet o Office buildings over 100,000 gross square feet The survey of these land uses included: o Three sites from each land use; o Counts taken from all driveways at each site. sites were chosen that were isolated and dependent upon on-site parking structures so that costly pedestrian interviews would not be required; o Pedestrian interviews were conducted at one site to verify vehicle counts and test for on-street parking, transit use, carpooling, or other alternative means of transportation. Information at the site was also obtained regarding employee density and vacancy of lease space in the build1ng. - 7 - The survey revealed that the selected local office sites generate significantly fewer trips than both the SANDAG and ITE data. The local trip generation rates are 41 to 55 percent lower than SANDAG data and 15 to 22 percent lower than ITE data. (See Attachment A) . Based upon the survey results, the consultant concluded that local "optional" trips (Le. meetings, errands) are not being made to the extent they are supposed to occur according to SANDAG and ITE trip generation rates; instead, mainly the essential home to work trips are occurr1ng. since the ITE trip generation rates do not vary as greatly from the local survey results, the consultant believes that future traffic projections for developments in Santa Monica can still be conservatively, but more accurately analyzed using ITE trip generation rates. On April 15, 1992, the Planning Commission reviewed the results of the trip generation study and asked several technical questions of staff. One of the questions asked was whether switching to the ITE rates would create a different number of significant impacts. It is not known without performing the actual model runs as to what the results of a different trip generation rate would be. However, it is possible that the ITE rates will show fewer sign1ficant impacts than the SANDAG rates since they provide for fewer trip generations. After the discussion, the Planning commission adopted a motion to recommend the use of ITE rates in the update of the MEA. - 8 - As part of the update of the MEA, staff recommends using the ITE trip generation rates. The ITE rates do not vary as greatly from the local survey results, and future traffic conditions for off ice development can be analyzed more accurately using these trip generation rates. The additional cost to the MEA update of switching to the ITE trip generation rates is $960. Items Not Included in the Update Some items were recommended for inclusion in the MEA update but, due to budget constralnts, have not been included. These include the following: o Analyze operational characteristics of bus routes to determine capacity. o Develop significance crlteria for CEQA issues areas such as air quality, energy, utilities, and public services. o Incorporate neighborhood traffic plans (e.g Sunset Park and Mid Clty) into Circulation section (this will be done once the city Council approves a specific plan) . o Provide information regarding water quality in local aquifers. In addition, some members of the public recommended that the MEA include an evaluation of the public health and public service impacts of alcohol outlets. However, staff believes that such a study is highly specialized and is not appropriate for the city's Master Environmental Assessment. - 9 - Consultant Selection In selecting a consultant to prepare the update, staff issued a request for proposals to eight consulting firms and received three proposals. Upon review of the proposals, it was determined that the proposal submitted by Michael Brandman Associates (MBA) was the most detailed, thoughtful, and cost-competitive. Accordingly, staff is recommending the contact be awarded to MBA. DEVELOPER FEE TO DEFRAY COST OF MEA Because the information contained in the MEA is used to prepare environmental impact reports for development projects, and thus substantially reduces the amount of research and analysis required for each EIR, the cost of preparing the MEA effectively represents a subsidy to project applicants. For this reason, staff will be establishing a pro rata fee on new development to at least partially defray the cost of updating the MEA. Staff wlll return within six months wlth a resolution establishing such a fee for services. BUDGET/FINANCIAL IMPACT without the optional item lnvolving the switch from SANDAG to ITE trip generation rates, the fee for preparing the MEA update is $76,973. However, staff recommends inclusion of the optional trip generation rate item at a cost of $960, bringing the total recommended scope of work to $77,933. These funds are available - 10 - in account 01-210-267-00000-5506-00000 and have been budgeted for this purpose. RECOMMENDATION It is recommended that the City Council: 1) Direct staff to use the ITE trip generation rates ln the traffic analysis. 2) Authorize the City Manager to negotlate and execute a contract wlth Michael Brandman Associates in the amount of $77,933 to prepare the MEA update. Prepared By: Paul Berlant, Director of LUTM Suzanne Frick, Planning Manager Tad Read, Associate Planner Paul Casey, Transportation Planner Land Use and Transportation Management Department Program and Policy Development Divlslon Attachments: A - Trip Generatlon Rate Study wjmeaccmet - 11 -