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SR-9-A (26) .. q-A LUTM:PB:SF:DM w/develop3 Council Meeting: February 9, 1993 FEB S 199~ Santa Monica, California TO: Mayor and City Council FROM: city staff SUBJECT: city Council Review of the Commercial Standards Program Environmental Impact Direction to Staff on Recommended Alternatives. Development Report and Development INTRODUCTION This report recommends that the City council review the Commercial Development Standards Program Environmental Impact Report (EIR) and direct staff and the City Attorney's office to prepare implementing ordinances. Following the council's direction, staff will prepare additional environmental analysis as may be required if an alternative is selected that has not been previously studied, and return to Council for certification of the EIR, adoption of a Statement of Overriding Consideration and adoption of amendments to the Zoning Ordinance to implement the revised commercial development standards. Specifically, Council is being asked to conduct a public hearing to consider the Commercial Development standards program EIR and the Planning Commission and staff recommendations on revised commercial development standards. staff is recommending revised development standards for the commercial districts which maintain the existing Zoning Ordinance floor area ratios (FAR), but require the following: q-A- - 1 - fES 9 1993 ~ - For projects located in the BCD, C4, C5 and C6 districts, maintain the existing FAR, but allow a maximum of 70% of the permitted FAR to be devoted to commercial square footage. The remaining 30% of FAR may only be utilized if the space is devoted to residential uses. Under this scenario, more than 30% of a project could be devoted to residential uses, but if a developer chose not to include any residential uses, the project could achieve up to 70% of the permitted FAR. Residential uses would not be required in the commercial district, rather they will be encouraged with the additional FAR. - For projects located in the C3 and C3C districts, maintain the existing FAR, but include housing incentives similar to those proposed in the Bayside District Specific Plan. These include a provision where floor area devoted to residential uses is discounted by 50% and building height for projects devoted primarily to residential uses is counted in terms of feet and not number of stories. - For projects located in the C2 and H1 districts, allow 100% of the permitted FAR to be devoted to commercial and industrial uses. - For large parcels, require a 25% reduction in FAR for parcels over 22,500 square feet. In relation to the C5 and Ml areas that have been the subject of the Residential Transition (RT) proposal, staff is recommending that the Council consider options and direct staff to prepare additional environmental analysis if needed on a preferred option. A detailed discussion of these options is contained in the analysis of the staff recommendation. A chart indicating staff's original recommendation, the Planning Commission recommendation, staff's revised recommendation and other options is attached (Attachment G). BACKGROUND In March 1991 the city Council adopted a work program which included the preparation of a Master Environmental Assessment (MEA), selection of a preferred traffic methodology, definition - 2 - of a "significant" traffic impact and the preparation of an Environmental Impact Report which would analyze a variety of commercial development scenarios 1n order to assist the Planning commission and the City council in determining the appropriate commercial development standards for the city. In January 1992, the city Council reviewed the proposed development standards to be analyzed in a program EIR. At that time, council directed staff to prepare an EIR that would evaluate eight commercial development scenarios as well as three different scenarios for rezoning portions of the C5 and MI districts to residential use. In order to complete the work program for which only Council decisions are now pending, on January 19, 1993, the City Council adopted an ordinance which extended the existing moratorium to June 26, 1993. In order for Council to adopt revised commercial development standards prior to the ordinance expiration date, the following schedule is being followed: October 14, 1992 Planning Commission reviewed and heard public comment on Draft EIR and initiated a resolution of intention to amend the Zoning ordinance. November 11, 1992 Planning Commission public hearing on proposed commercial development standards and RT zoning. December 2, 1992 Planning commission Workshop on examples of existing building FAR's and mixed-use projects. January 13, 1993 Planning Commission recommendation to Council on certification of the FEIR, adoption of a preferred alternative and resolution of intention to amend the Zoning Ordinance. - 3 - February 9, 1993 City Council hearing and discussion on proposed commercial development standards. Direction to be given to staff and city Attorney to prepare Zoning ordinance amendments and any necessary further environmental document. March 2, 1993 (If needed) continued proposed standards. city council commercial discussion on development May 11, 1993 Final date of city council hearing, certification of Final EIR and first reading of ordinance implementing new commercial standards. May 25, 1993 Second reading of ordinance implementing new commercial development standards. June 24, 1993 New development effective. standards become PLANNING COMMISSION ACTION On October 14, 1992 the Planning commission conducted a public hearing on the EIR and provided comments on the document to staff. At that time the Commission had general questions regarding the methodologies and assumptions used in the study and expressed concern regarding the proposed RT rezoning. In addi tion to the Planning commission comments on the RT zoning, numerous property owners and business people in the proposed RT area voiced objections to implementation of the rezoning al ternati ve, and stated that they have no' immediate plans to vacate their facilities. Furthermore, they expressed concern that creation of the RT zone would make their existing businesses non-conforming uses, thereby limiting their ability to expand, modify, update, or repair their facilities in the event of a disaster. - 4 - On November 11, 1992 the Planning commission conducted another hearing on the commercial development standards. Many of the same concerns regarding the proposed RT zoning were reiterated by the public speakers at the hearing. That evening the Planning Commission approved a motion to recommend that the City Council reject the RT zoning. The motion was approved by a vote of 3 to 2. The Commission also requested that staff provide them with specific examples of buildings with various FAR's, so that they would have a better idea of what certain FAR's represent in terms of building density and bulk. On December 2, 1992 the Planning Commission conducted a workshop where staff presented a list of recently completed projects with FAR's ranging from approximatelY .5 to 2.5 (Attachment A). staff also presented a series of slides showing these projects, along with their context in terms of surrounding buildings and neighborhoods. . The presentation also included examples of mixed-use projects which have been built in the City (Attachment B) . On January 13, 1993, the Planning Commission held its final public hearing on the commercial development standards. The majority of public comment at the January meeting was again related to the proposed RT zoning district. The Commission agreed to let their previous vote rejecting the RT zoning stand. In addition, the Commission took the following actions: - By a vote of 4 to 0, approved a motion to recommend that the city Council consider allowing residential uses in the H1 district SUbject to the approval of a Conditional Use Permit. - 5 - - By a vote of 4 to 0, approved a motion to recommend that the City council adopt the staff recommendation to require a 25% reduction in FAR for parcels over 22,500 square feet in area. However, the commission stated that such a reduction may not be appropriate in all districts. - By a vote of 4 to 0, approved a motion to recommend that staff review the impacts of development on large parcels to determine if a 50% reduction in FAR for parcels over one acre is appropriate. - By a vote of 4 to 0, approved a motion to recommend that the City Council adopt the staff recommendation to maintain the existing FAR's and require that a minimum of Jot of all new buildings be devoted to residential uses, with the following exceptions: - Projects under 15,000 square feet; - Hotel and motel projects; - Car dealerships; - Single tenant retail uses; and - proj ects located in the Civic Center Speeif ie Plan area, the HASP area, the Bayside District, Main Street and the RVC District. - By a vote of 4 to 0, approved a motion to recommend that the City council adopt a resolution of intention to implement new commercial development standards. - By a vote of 4 to 0, approved a motion to recommend that the city Council certify the Commercial Development standards Program FEIR. STAFF RECOMMENDATIONS The development standards recommended by the Planning Commission are consistent with the staff recommendation at the time of the Planning commission hearing. However, following Planning Commission action on the item, staff has taken into consideration comments from the public and based on subsequent analysis, modified the staff recommendation. Development Standards As previously stated, staff is recommending that the city Council adopt development standards which maintain the existing floor - 6 - area ratios in all of the commercial districts. However, in the BCD, C4, C5 and C6 districts, the proposed alternative would include a provisions that only 70% of the permitted FAR may be devoted to commercial uses. The remaining 30% may only be utilized if that space is devoted to residential uses. If a developer were to choose not to include residential uses, the proj ect would be entitled to 70% of the permitted FAR. This recommendation is based on testimony indicating difficulty with financing mixed use projects, and the suggestion that residential should be encourage through incentives instead of required. Regarding the C4 district, staff is recommending that all of the C4 district be permitted a 1.5 FAR. Under the current standards, the C4 district is divided into several subareas, with either a 1.0 or a 1.5 FAR. This has resulted in some confusion for the public and difficulty in administration. with a maximum of 70% of permitted FAR devoted to commercial uses, raising the existing 1.0 FAR to 1.5 will only result in a minimal amount of additional commercial square footage. For properties in the recommendation would allow devoted to commercial uses. C2 and M1 distr icts , the staff 100% of the permitted FAR to be This recommendation is made in order to maintain and encourage neighborhood and light industrial uses in the City. In the case of the C2 district, residential uses would still be permitted. In addi tion to the above amendments to the staff is also recommending elimination of Zoning Ordinance, the site review - 7 - concept. This concept, as identified in the Land Use and circulation Element, and mentioned in the Zoning Ordinance, would have allowed additional height and FAR, based on specific review criteria. council direction in the work program for this report is contrary to the concept of the added height and FAR except in so far as additional housing opportunities and preservation of neighborhood services is concerned (as is addresses in staff's recommendations). Hence the current recommendation. Discretionary review and approval of a Development Review Permit would still occur for projects above the square footage development review thresholds identified for each district in the Zoning Ordinance. The Development Review Permit is based on the project square footage, and does not allow additional height or FAR in exchange for project amenities. FAR Reductions for Large Parcels The Planning commission's recommendation and staff's recommendation both include provisions which would require a FAR reduction for large parcels. However, there has not been a consensus on how the large lot reductions should apply. For example, should the reduction be 25% or 50% for certain size parcels, or should the reduction be based on a sliding scale relating to an incremental percentage FAR reduction as the size of the parcel increases. The option considered by the Planning Commission and originally recommended by staff, would have required a 25% reduction in FAR for parcels over 22,500 square feet in area and a 50% reduction for parcels over one acre (43,560 square feet). Some Planning - 8 - commissioners and members of the public expressed concern that this option may not be appropriate in all zoning districts and that it did not adequately address parcels between 22,500 square feet and one acre. The Planning Commission made no specific recommendation regarding the one acre FAR reduction, but suggested further analysis. staff reconsidered this approach and determined that a 25% reduction for parcels over 22,500 square feet sufficiently addresses the concerns related to large parcel development. A 50% reduction for parcels over 1 acre appears excessive given that most one acre parcels (located in the Ml and C5 districts) currently are limited to a 1.0 FAR. Therefore, no further reduction is recommended. As an alternative to the recommendation presented by staff, the Council may also wish to consider an incremental percentage reduction for parcels between 22,501 and 52,500 square feet in area. In other words, rather than have a standard 25% reduction in FAR, the FAR would decrease by 10% for every 7,500 square feet over 22,500, up to 52,500, where the reduction would reach 50%. Staff believes that this method may create a lack of clarity and be d1fficult to administer, given that parcel sizes ?ften do not increase by exact 7500 sq. ft. increments (7500 sq. ft. is the standard lot size). Attached is a chart which indicates this recommended alternative compared to the staff recommendation (Attachment C). If the Council wishes to pursue a reduction in FAR (beyond the 22,500 sq. ft. threshold) for large parcels, it should also identify the zoning districts which would be SUbject to a large - 9 - parcel reduction and select a methodology that is easy to calculate and administer. In any event, statf does not believe a large parcel reduction would be appropriate in the downtown (C3 and C3C) areas, where the City has encouraged a higher density of development. However, it is appropriate in the commercial corridors that are adjacent to residential neighborhoods. Residential Transition Zone While the original staff recommendation to the Planning Commission included the creation of a Residential Transition (RT) zoning district, the Planning commission voted to reject the idea. After further consideration of the issue based on testimony of members of the pubic, staff is recommending an alternative that would maintain the existing light industrial base, encourage additional housing; and provide opportunities for research and development type uses. The recommendation includes the following: Eliminate the C5 district, except in areas where projects have been approved or built (i.e. Water Garden, Colorado Place, the Arboretum and Lantana Center). - Rezone areas indicated on the attached map (Attachment D) for mUlti-family housing only. - create a new Ml/R&D district for the remaining C5 and Ml parcels in the RT-area (other than those parcels above). The new zone would allow light manUfacturing, research and development uses, and a higher percentage of allowable office space (30-40%) than currently allowed in the M1 district where such office space is related to other permitted uses in the zone. - Create a housing overlay zone as indicated on the attached map. The overlay would permit multi-family residential with a CUP. - 10 - staff's recommendation on this issue is based on several factors. First, it is generally agreed that the community does not want to encourage the type of large proj ects allowed by the current cs standards. Rezoning of the area to a M1jR&D district will allow and encourage small scale, light industrial and research and development uses. Second, rezoning of the two large parcels identified on the map to a residential-only district is being recommended in light of interest being expressed to develop the properties for residential uses. Finally, staff is recommending a housing overlay zone in order to allow the opportunity for housing on a voluntary basis. criteria would be established to protect both future residents and existing industrial/commercial uses from the potential incompatibility of mixing residential and non residential uses in close proximity. The attached map (Attachment D), shows the subject area and indicates the parcels staff is recommending for residential and MljR&D zoning. If the Council decides to pursue the type of rezoning outlined above, or any other rezoning option, additional environmental analysis will be necessary. If the Council directs staff to conduct additional analysis in the RT area, Council should also direct staff to prepare an interim ordinance for the subject area to return to the Council with the permanent ordinances implementing the revised commercial development standards for the rest of the city. staff is recommending that the Council identify the preferred option and direct staff to conduct further analysis as necessary. OVERVIEW OF EIR - 11 - The Commercial Development standards Program EIR considers 11 alternative commercial development scenarios, each of which would permit different amounts of commercial and industrial growth in the city. The EIR uses the baseline environmental conditions as contained in the City's Master Environmental Assessment and then adds the impacts created by each zoning alternative to that base information. The result is an evaluation of the net environmental impacts above those that exist today as identified in the MEA. For purposes of this report, the analysis compares the potential impacts of each zoning alternative to one another. The alternatives propose to modify the permitted floor area ratios as well as the mix of residential and commercial uses in the following commercial zoning districts: BCD Broadway Commercial District C2 Neighborhood Commercial District C3 Downtown commercial District C3C Downtown Overlay District C4 Highway Commercial District C5 Special Office Commercial District C6 Boulevard Commercial District Ml Industrial Conservation District Commercial areas of the city where development standards have been established or are being studied through a specific plan process, including the Civic Center area, Hospital District, the Bayside District, and Main street were not included in the study area. The Pier and the RVC district were also excluded from the study area since these areas are within the Local Coastal Plan - 12 - boundaries. A detailed summary of the alternatives and impacts is contained in Attachment E. In relation to the creation of the RT district, the EIR did not contain a detailed environmental analysis of the proposal due to its conceptual nature. As previously stated, if the council decides to pursue any type of rezoning in the Ml and/or C5 area, additional environmental analysis will be necessary. CONCLUSION Planning staff recommends that the city Council implement new commercial standards which reduce the amount of all new commercial development by 30% and encourages a portion of new projects to be devoted to residential uses. This recommendation accomplishes a number of goals. First, as demonstrated by the alternatives matrix (Attachment F), the traffic impact in the year 2002 is virtually identical in each of the development standards alternatives evaluated in the EIR. Therefore, the issue which must be decided is the mix of uses for future development projects. Commercial office uses on the westside are abundant and scarce opportunities exist for new residential development. The recommended alternative is a housing incentive alternative. council has stated that increasing housing opportunities in the City is a high priority. The Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) estimate for the 1989-1994 planning period determined that 3,220 new residential units would be needed. Without implementation of some form of incentive or mandate, it will be difficult to meet this goal. - 13 - Not only will the staff recommendation better attain the goal of meeting the RHNA numbers, the recommendation would improve the imbalance between jobs and housing that exists in Santa Monica. The 1.71 jobs/housing ratio projected for the year 2002 in the 1992 MEA could be reduced. According to SCAG, a relative balance is 1.27, therefore, the city would go towards meeting that goal. Finally, the staff recommendation also reduces the overall amount of commercial development that can occur in the City. The Citywide commercial development moratorium was adopted by Council in order reduce and manage commercial growth in the City. The recommended alternative accomplishes this goal by reducing permitted commercial FAR by at least 30 percent in specific areas in the city. BUDGET/FISCAL IMPACT The recommendations provided in this report do not have a negative budget impact. The Fiscal Impact section of the EIR shows that, under each of the proposed development alternatives, new commercial development results in a net fiscal benefit to the city. The model developed to determine the costs and benefits of commercial development assumed that the current mix of services provided by the city would continue at their current levels. Therefore, the cost of increasing services due to additional commercial development were determined and then subtracted from the total revenue projected. At buildout, estimated net benefits for the alternatives range from $34.52 million for Alternative 3 to $4.35 million for Alternative 6. Alternative 3 may generate - 14 - the highest fiscal benefit to the City, but this alternative does little to assist in increasing housing opportunities in the city. A total of 994 residential units would be provided under alternatives. Al ternati ve 3 versus over 4,000 in some of the other the In addition, housing intensive of alternatives, the staff alternative generates the greatest revenue while still SUbstantially reducing the amount of commercial development that can occur in the city. RECOHKENDATION staff recommends that the City Council review the Commercial Development Standards Program Environmental Impact Report, direct staff to prepare implementing ordinances on the Council's preferred standards, and if necessary, direct staff to prepare additional environmental analysis on the standards. In relation to the RT area, staff recommends that the council approve the alternative recommended by staff and direct staff to prepare an be required. interim ordinance and any further environmental analysis as may Prepared by: Paul Berlant, Director, Land Use and Transportation Management Suzanne FriCk, Planning Manager David Martin, Associate Planner ATTACHMENTS: A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. List of Project FAR's List of Mixed Use Projects Large lot FAR Reduction Chart M1/CS Rezoning Map Summary of Environmental Impacts Alternatives Matrix Recommendation Chart Commercial Development Standards Program Draft Environmental Impact Report - 1S - ...- - - - ATTACHMENT A ~-- NEW BUILDING FARS 1. 1300 3rd St. Promenade Theatre 2. 1500 Wilshire COln./Off. (currently under demo) J. 1632 5th st. Com. IRes. (files say 1636 5th) 4. 1245 16th St. Med. Off. Bldg. 5. 1313 3rd St. Promenade Movie Theatre (under construction) 6. 730 Arizona Ave Mixed Use liThe Rave110lt 7. 120 Broadway Off./Retail (files say 100 Broadway) 8. 1457 Jrd st. Promenade Off./Retail/Rest./Res. (files say 309 Broadway) 9. 1700 Ocean Hotel tlLoew's Hotel" 10. 2425 Olympic Off. tlWater Garden" - 1 - BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR. HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. 45,000 s.f. 15,000 s.f. 3.0 2 story 24,286 s.f. 10,000 s.!. 2.43 4 stories 48' 6't 20,300 s.f. (incl. parking) 8,800 s.f. 2.31 4 stories 53' 60,256 s.f. 37,500 s.f. 1. 61 3 stories 32,391 s.t. 22,500 s.f. 1. 44 4 stor~es 56' 25,087 s.f. 11.750 s.f. 2.135 (files say 2.1) 49' 961946 s.f. 37,500 s.f. 2.59 3-5 stories 8016" 119,525 s.f. 30,000 s.f. 3.98 (files say 3.5) 7 stories 83' 236,100 s.f. 116,906 s.f. 2.02 5 stories 56' 11259,000 s.!. 740,928 s.i. 1.7 6 stories 841 11. 1 pico Blvd. Hotel (under construction) 12. 1919 Santa Monica Off. 13. 1920 Santa Monica Hotel (files say 1932 Santa Monica) 14. 2336 Santa Monica Med Center (files say 2300 Santa Monica) * Above Grade Only - 2 - East side *BLDG. 61,434 SITE 27,593 FAR 2.23 liT. :3 stories West side 31,539 s.f. 38,766 s.f. .81 BLDG. SITE FAR HT. BLDG. SITE FAR HT. 41,210 s.f. 22,500 s.f. 1.83 (2.05 incl. parking) 4 st.ories 56,100 s.f. 22,500 s.!. 2.49 4. stories 56' (not incl. 7.5' steeples) BLDG. 27,827 s.f. (40,903 incl parking) SITE 16,500 s.f. FAR 1.69 (2.48 incl. parking) HT. 3 stories 40" ATTACHMENT B MIXED USE PROJECTS IN SANTA MONICA 309 Broadway Site Area: 30,000 commercial: 90,440 Residential: 28,894 Percent Residential: 25% 920 Broadway site Area: 150,000 Commercial: 11,093 Residential: 16,920 Percent Residential: 60% 1610 Broadway Site Area: 7,500 Commercial: 2,361 Residential: 3,320 Percent Residential: 58% 1541 Ocean Avenue Site Area: 30,000 commercial: 55,778 Residential: 9,143 Percent Residential: 14% 2224 Main Street site Area: 5,200 commercial: 2,500 Residential: 3,570 Percent Residential: 59% 3110 Main Street Site Area: unknown Commercial: 26,051 Residential: 3,000 Percent Residential: 10% 1415 6th Street Site Area: 7,500 commercial: 4,905 Residential: 2,780 Percent Residential: 3~~ 1540 7th street Site Area: 7,500 Commercial: 6,400 Residential: 1,540 Percent Residential: 19% 1543 7th Street Site Area: 7,500 commercial: 5,944 Resident~al: 6/256 Percent Residential: w/mixeduse , ATTACHMENT C t ~ l- e .c. 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U') CW') ....0 00 ...Jq ~g (/)0 ""0 OU') .-I ~ N CW') N OW -01:1: onU ..,<< "o:t~ .., -I W () 0:: ~ LL o W N - Cf) ATTACHMENT D ~o\ ~1TI 1111 ' [l]]]]] STREET rm 1III1111 r I~ fill 1111 IIIIII~ STREET 1I1I JIIIIIIIII~ rm 1!llllllll~ i III ullii1Jj~ i III 1111111 W~ - i ITllllimilll~ nnlllllllllIIM~, .( ~TREE. T _I rm~IIIIIIIIIIIII~' O]dlfTTlllTffiTll ~ 1Tl STR~ET · 1Tl EJi] c:r~~~~~ 1Tl 1Tl IT , III ~ IT ~ '-IE"" leI 99.... "9...."9....99.." """""9"99""" "99"""""""9" "99""""""""" "9""""""9""" """"""""9" -. . ..... . . .. . . .. . III. III. . .' .. '.: . -: . . . . I . -:- .... .. . I ~ I" " . . . --.-. I I". I I . . . . . ... -... ... , . , . . . . . fa r=:"I t:.=J ~ m E DI~ON $CltOOL . : . r , BOULEVARD J II ; ; ; I' . t I r I ~ I PROPOSED MI/eS REZONING es DISTRICT Ml/R&D DISTRICT MI/R&D W/OVERLAY RESIDENTIAL ONLY ATTACHMENT E SUMMARY OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS The following describes the proposed alternatives: o No Project/No Development Alternative. The CEQA guidelines require that an EIR analyze existing conditions without any changes as the "No Project" alternative. The No Project/No Development alternative would hold existing development as described in the city's 1992 Master Environmental Assessment, and provide for no new commercial or industrial development. o Alternative o. Existing Zoning alternative would allow buildout of the FAR and height restrictions of Ordinance. Ordinance. This the study area under the existing Zoning o Alternative 1. Under Alternative 1, the FAR allowed under the existing Zoning Ordinance would be reduced for large lots. The permitted FAR would gradually be decreased as the lot area increases in size. A "large lot" is defined as having over 22,500 square feet in area. Addi tional FAR reductions would be made for lots over 43,560 square feet (1 acre) in the C5 zone, and lots over 87,120 square feet (2 acres) in the Ml zone. o Alternative 2. This alternative provides for the same FAR reductions as in Alternative 1, and also requires that housing be provided above the first floor in the portions of the C3 and C3C districts that are located outside of the Bayside District Specific Plan area. o Alternative 3. The FAR allowances in the existing Zoning ordinance would be reduced by 25 percent, wi th additional FAR reduction for large lots over 22,500 square feet, as under Alternative 1. Additional large lot reductions would be made for lots over 43,560 square feet in the C5 zone and lots over 87,120 square feet in the MI zone. o Alternative 4. This alternative requires a 25 percent reduction in allowable FAR with additional FAR reductions for large lots, as described in Alternative 1. In addition, 40 percent of all new commercial FAR must be devoted to housing. o Alternative 5. Under this alternative, a 50 percent reduction from allowable FAR is considered. This alternative also incorporates an additional FAR reduction for large lots, as described under Alternative 1. - 1 - o Al ternati ve 6 . Alternative 6 provides a 50 percent reduction in allowable FAR with additional FAR reductions required for large lots. In addition, 40 percent of all new commercial development must be devoted to housing. o Alternative 7. This alternative permits a density bonus up to the existing zoning Ordinance standards for projects providing a public amenity. The density bonus alternative may be used as an overlay option on any of the alternatives, except Alternative 0, which is existing zoning. The EIR does not provide a quantitative analysis of this al ternati ve because the details, such as which amenities would qualify for density bonuses and what would be the average amount of densi ty bonus or amenity, have not been determined at this time. o Alternatives 8, 9, and 10. The Residential Transitional area rezoning alternative would rezone the C5 and M1 parcels located east of Twenty-sixth street/north of Olympic Boulevard and east of stewart street/north of Exposition Boulevard (FEIR Exhibit 2-2) to allow residential and neighborhood serving commercial uses instead of the commercial and industrial uses permitted under current zoning. The RT zone would not displace existing uses. Rather, existing uses would be permitted to remain indefinitely and RT standards for development would apply only when a parcel is redeveloped. Any of the three RT alternatives could be selected as an overlay and combined with Alternatives 0 through 6. Redevelopment of the RT area is considered at three different development densities: Alternative 8: Rezoning to R2 development standards. This would provide 1,307 units at buildout. Alternative 9: Rezoning to R3 development standards. This would provide 1,568 units at buildout. Alternative 10: Rezoning to R4 development standards. This would provide 2,178 units at buildout. Council directed the study of an alternative that would regulate housing development according to height and floor area ratios. This alternative was not specifically identified in the ErR since the height (four stories) and the FAR (1.25) would permit densities equivalent to Alternative 10, the R4 scenario. - 2 - All alternatives consider the same commercial land area, approximately 750 acres, and do not propose changing existing zoning des igna tion ( i . e. C2 , C3 1 etc.), with the exception of alternatives 8, 9, and 10, which analyze the creation of a residential transitional (RT) zone. The RT zoning designation would allow a mix of residential with neighborhood serving commercial uses. It would require the rezoning of approximately 50 acres of land currently zoned C5 and Ml to RT. Further, Alternative 7, which permits a density bonus when a public amenity is provided, does not set new development standards, but could be combined with another alternative as an implementation program. The ErR is intended to assist city Council in determining the appropriate level of commercial development in Santa Monica. The environmental impacts of each alternative are analyzed first at full buildout. Since the ErR assumes a constant rate of growth of 252,000 square feet per year, the full buildout year varies by alternative. Alternative 0 reaches buildout in 100 years; Alternative 1 and 2 reach buildout in 76 years; Alternatives 3 and 4 reach buildout in 46 years; Alternatives 5 and 6 reach buildout in 24 years. In addition, in order to understand the short-term impacts of the proposed alternatives, the ErR analyzes the impacts of each alternative in the year 2002. This analysis uses the same constant growth rate factor of 252,000 square feet per year for each alternative over the ten year periOd, reSUlting in a total of 2,520,000 square feet of development within the study area. Each alternative, therefore, permits the same amount - 3 - of growth by 2002. However, the land use mix varies between the alternatives due to the different FAR limitations. As part of the cumulative analysis, the FEIR does take into account development that may occur outside the specific study area. Therefore, the impacts presented under each alternative include growth from development within the study area as well as those areas that were speeif ieally exempted such as the ci vie Center, Bayside District, Main street etc. EIR ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODOLOGY The information presented in the EIR is based on both factual data as well as a series of assumptions. The City's Land Use Survey database (May, 1991), which provides basic land use characteristics such as parcel size, zone designation, existing building size, existing land use, and existing FAR, was used for much of the quantitative analysis. Adjustments were made to this data base to account for projects the 1992 MEA identified as approved or under construction. These projects are considered existing development and have been subtracted from the potential new development total for the City. The environmental analysis provides projections for future growth under each alternative. The projections under buildout show the maximum potential development rather than the probable commercial development. The quantitative analysis assumes total buildout on each parcel since the "average" huildout percent is difficult to predict. Therefore, for comparison purposes, maximum potential - 4 - buildout provides a consistent basis for comparing the alternatives. other assumptions used in the analysis include the following: o All residential dwellings are assumed to be multi-family units with an average unit size of 1200 square feet. o The growth rate of 252,000 square feet per year was based upon development trends in the City since the adoption of the Land Use and Circulation Element in 1984 as well as on employment projections for the city over the next 10 years. This would account for discretionary approvals and administrative approvals of small projects. o The land use mix for future development was determined according to zoning district. The mix was held constant for each alternative to provide a consistent basis for comparison of the environmental impacts. The mix of uses by zone was based on development trends in the City since the adoption of the Land Use and circulation Element in 1984. o The future development projections are based on the new commercial square footage that could be added in the City. Existing commercial square footage is not included in the projections of either the full buildout or 2002 scenario. o For analysis purposes, the FEIR compares Alternative 10, the most dense of the RT alternatives, with Alternative 0, existing zoning. o The projections for the RT analysis were based first on the maximum number of units permitted at the R2, R3, and R4 densities given the total amount land area in the district. These numbers were then reduced by 10 percent to accommodate neighborhood serving commercial uses. Finally, as with all the alternatives, developed land where the existing square footage was greater than the maximum allowed was eliminated from the database as square footage available for development. The projected impacts are not anticipated to increase since existing commercial square footage will be converted into residential use, thereby resulting in fewer impacts. The 2002 analysis was based upon the assumption that a total of 2.52 million square feet of development would be constructed during the ten year period, regardless of the development standards. The key differences between the alternatives would be - 5 - found in the mix of uses and intensity of use on any given site. To determine the potential amount of square footage devoted to specific uses, the same methodology was used for both full buildout and 2002 scenarios. For example, at buildout under Alternative 0, retail uses account for 19.5 percent of new development. This percentage was applied to the total amount of new square footage in the 10 year development figure of 2.52 million square feet. This resulted in 491,516 square feet of retail uses in the 2002 Alternative 0 scenario. For the RT area, development at 2002 was based on land area. The RT area encompasses approximately 50 acres, 6.67 percent of the total study area. Therefore, assuming growth is evenly distributed throughout the study area, development in the RT area would represent 6.67 percent of the 10 year development figure of 2.52 million square feet, or 168,000 square feet. This amount of development was then assumed to represent Al ternati ve 10, the most dense RT option. SUMMARY OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS This section provides a Stlmmary of the environmental impacts resulting from the implementation of the 11 project alternatives. BUILDOUT Table 1-1 in the EIR presents a comparison matrix of the environmental impacts associated with the buildout of each project alternative. The matrix ranks Alternatives 0 through 6 by issue area to indicate the level of negati ve impact of the - 6 - alternative. The rank number "1" represents the alternative with the least impact for that issue area, while the number "7" represents the alternative that would have the greatest impact. For example, Alternative 0, the existing zoning ordinance, has the greatest impact on traff ic and is ranked number 7 in this impact area. Alternative 6, which results in the least amount of development, has the fewest traffic impacts and is ranked number 1. Alternatives 8, 9, and 10 are not ranked but are noted as to whether impacts are increased (+), decreased (-), or are unchanged (0). In the areas of traffic, air quality, noise, electricity, and solid waste, the alternatives are ranked progressively with Alternative 0, the existing zoning ordinance, having the greatest impacts and Alternative 6, which requires a 50 percent reduction in existing FAR and requires that 40 percent of all new development be. devoted to residential use, having the fewest impacts. In the qualitative ranking of impacts, land use issues were based upon the potential conflicts between land uses. The housing intensive alternatives, 2, 4/ and 6 have the greatest impacts. The same rankings occur in the areas of population, police, fire, and parks and recreation since these impact areas are also highly influenced by increases in residential uses. The overall ranking that totals all impact areas by alternative shows that Alternatives 5 and 6 have the fewest impacts, Alternatives 0, 1, and 2 have the greatest impacts, and Alternative 3 and 4 fall in the middle. 2002 - 7 - In the short-term, at 2002, the alternatives tend to fall into distinct groups. In the categories of land use, population, natural gasl water, sewage, police, fire, schools, and park and recreation, Alternatives 4 and 6 have the greatest impacts due to the increased residential development. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 have the fewest impacts in those categories and Alternative 2 falls in the middle. In the areas of air quality, housing, and solid waste, Alternatives 0, 1, 3/ and 5 have the greatest impacts, Alternatives 4 and 6 have the fewest impacts, and Alternative 2 again falls in the middle. The traffic impacts generated by each of the alternatives in the year 2002 were found to be so similar that each was given the same ranking. The number of impacted intersections at both the a.m. and p.m. hours was found to be virtually identical. The overall ranking of impacts by alternative at 2002 determined that Alternatives 4 and 6 have the greatest impacts, Alternatives 1 and 5 have the fewest impacts, and Alternatives 0, 3, and 2 fall in the middle. LAND USE Buildout At buildout, commercial development in the City could range from 25.2 million square feet of development under Alternative 0, the existing zoning ordinance, to 6 million square feet of development under Alternatives 5 and 6, the two most restrictive of the alternatives analyzed. Alternatives 1 and 2 would permit approximately 19.1 million square feet of development and Alternatives 3 and 4 would allow approximately 11.7 million square feet of development. - 8 - In addition, the mix of land uses would vary according to alternative. As shown in Table 4-4 of the Draft EIR, Alternatives 0 and 1 result in the greatest amount of commercial development at 22.6 and 17.1 million square feet, respectively. Alternative 2, while allowing approximately the same amount of total development as Alternative 1, would have a smaller commercial buildout of 13.4 million square feet. This is due to the requirement that housing be provided above the first floor in the C3 and C3C zoning districts located outside of the Bayside District Specific Plan area. As a result, Alternative 2 has the potential to generate 4,792 housing units, more units than any alternative without the RT overlay. Alternatives 3 and 4 and Alternatives 5 and 6 are paired in terms of the total amount of development potential. However, the mix of uses differ, with Alternatives 4 and 6 creating the potential for substantially more residential units. Alternative 3, while having the potential to generate almost 1,000 residential units, also has a potential commercial buildout of 10.4 million square feet. This contrasts sharply with the commercial development potential of Alternative 4 (6.3 million square feet), Alternative 5 (5.3 million square feet, and Alternative 6 (3.2 million square feet) . The RT alternatives present the opportunity to increase the potential number of residential units in the city by decreasing the amount of potential office and industrial development. For analysis purposes, the EIR compares Alternative 10, the most dense of the RT options, with Alternative 0, existing zoning. As - 9 - shown in Table 4-5 in the DEIR, under Alternative 10, the total potential development in the RT area increases to 1.9 million square feet as opposed to a buildout of 1.2 million square feet under existing zoning. However, since residential uses compose 90 percent of the Alternative 10 square footage, the impacts would differ. Alternative 10 was not found to generate greater land use intensity or compatibility impacts than those associated with Alternative o. Since existing residential uses border the RT on the northeast and south of the parcels along Exposition Boulevard, the land use mix permitted under Alternative 10 would be consistent with compatible uses. 2002 Based on a growth rate of 2.52 million square feet in 10 years, each al ternati ve would permit the same amount of development within the study area by the year 2002. However, as shown in table 4-6, the land use mix varies. The land use amounts generally fall into groups, with Alternatives 0,1,3 and 5 grouped together and 4 and 6 grouped together. Al ternati ves 4 and 6 permit the greatest number of residential units, with a total of 969 and 971 units, respectively. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 would allow between 212 and 218 units, while Alternative 2 would provide 630 units. similarly, office development under Alternative 0, 1, 3, and 5 ranges from 1.3 to 1.4 million square feet, while under Alternatives 4 and 6 office development would reach 837,153 square feet and 847,603 square feet, respectively. At 2002, Alternative 10, the most dense of the RT alternatives, would permit a total of 168,000 square feet of new development. - 10 - This is, essentially, the same amount of development that would be permitted in the area under Alternative O. However, the mix of uses differ substantially. Under Al tern at i ve 0, off ice and warehouse/manufacturing development would represent 77 percent of the total potential development in the area. These uses would not be permitted under Alternative 10 in the C5 and M1 areas. Conversely, 90 percent of the development generated under Al ternati ve 10 in the C5 and M1 areas would be devoted to residential use. Only 10 percent of new development is assumed to be residential under Alternative O. TRANSPORTATION AND CIRCULATION Buildout The estimated total trips caused by buildout of the alternatives would range from a low of approximately 8,000 P.M. peak hour trips for Alternative 6 to a high of 44,683 P.M. peak hour trips for Alternative O. As shown in Table 4-9, the total number of trips decreases progressively from Alternative 0 to Alternative 6. In addition, the analysis projects that Alternative 10 would generate fewer P.M. peak hour trips than Alternative 0 (44,511 trips versus 44,683 trips). Distribution of these trips throughout the 154 study intersections resulted in a number of significantly impacted intersections. Alternatives 0 and 10 would significantly impact 110 intersection at the a.m. peak hour and 135 intersections at the p.m. peak hour. Alternative 1 would have similar impacts with 107 and 133 impacted intersections at the a.m. and p.m. peak hours, respectively. The fewest number of significantly impacted - 11 - intersection would occur under Alternative 6, with 51 a.m. peak hour and 90 p.m. peak hour intersections. The analysis assumes a worst case scenario and does not provide for individual project mitigation measures. Further, the analysis uses the HCM methodology and definition of significant impact which, as shown in the 1992 MEA, tends to state a worst use scenario. 2002 At 2002, the number of new p.m. peak hour trips would range from a low of 3,323 trips under Alternative 4 to a high of 4,577 p.m. peak hour trips under Alternative 5. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 have p.m. peak hour trips ranging from 4,470 to 4,577. Alternatives 4 and 6 show almost identical peak hour trip numbers of 3,323 and 3,328, respectively. Alternative 2 would remain between these two groups, generating 3,776 p.m. peak hour trips. Significantly impacted intersections, however, do not vary much between alternatives in the year 2002. Future development in 2002 would significantly impact from between a low of 36 (Alternative 4) to a high of 42 (Alternatives 1 and 3) intersections in the a. m. peak hours. The alternatives that provide greater amounts of residential development, Alternatives 2, 4, and 6, would result in 40, 36, and 38 impacted intersections at the a.m. peak hour. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, 5, and 10 would result in from 40 to 42 significantly impacted a.m. peak hour intersections. In the p. m. peak hours, each of the alternatives would have virtually the same number of significantly impacted intersections, ranging from 80 to 81 - 12 - intersections. As with the buildout analysis, all impacts are presented without consideration of individual project mitigation measures. Although specific mitigation measures are not identified since it is difficult to project where development projects will be located, the EIR, recommends that traffic mitigation occur through compliance with the forthcoming traffic impact fee program for new development. If adopted, this fee will fund mitigation to off-set traffic impacts resulting from new development. A nexus study is currently underway to provide for implementation of the impact fee. AIR QUALITY Buildout Air quality impacts resulting from the proposed development alternatives would be caused primarily by automobile emissions. stationary emissions from utility sources would also contribute to air quality impacts. In general, automobile emissions decline from Alternative 0 to Alternative 6, as shown in Table 4-29. Stationary emissions also decline progressively from Alternative o to Alternative 6. 2002 As with the buildout analysis, automobile and utility emissions would be the primary sources of air pollutants in 2002. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 would generate the greatest amount of automobile and stationary emissions. The alternatives that - 13 - emphasize residential uses, particularly Alternatives 4 and 6, would result in the fewest emissions. NOISE Buildout Since traffic volumes are greatest under Alternative 0, future noise levels under this al ternati ve represent the worst case scenario for all the development alternatives. Build out of Alternative 0 would increase noise levels on all arterials in the city. These noise impacts may be significant since, without mitigation, existing commercial uses would be subject to an exterior noise level of 65 Ldn or higher. This is above 60 LDN which is identified as the maximum acceptable level. Other roadways would face similar increases, potentially impacting adjacent residential neighborhoods. However, since the buildout period for this Alternative 0 is 100 years, it will take many years before the increases are noticeable. Noise increases for the other alternatives would be similar or less than Alternative 0, based on the projected traffic increases. Under the RT alternative, noise attributed to traffic would be similar to Alternative o. However, due to the change in land use from office and warehouse/manufacturing to residential, the number of stationary noise sources would be reduced. 2002 At 2002, traffic related noise levels are anticipated to increase a small amount. If traffic increases occur along roadways currently experiencing noise levels of 65 dBA or higher, the - 14 - recommended noise levels for commercial and residential areas could be exceeded. However, since it is not known where future development will occur, future noise impacts cannot . be quantified. However, noise impacts will be less for Alternatives 2, 4, and 6 than for Alternatives 0, 1, 3, 5, and 10 due to smaller increases in traffic volumes. POPULATION Buildout As shown in Table 4-39, population growth varies by alternative. Based on new housing units, maximum population growth would occur under Alternative 2 with an increase of 9,009 residents or a 10.3 percent increase in the existing population. Alternative 4 would generate a similarly large population increase of 8,462 persons (9.7% increase). Alternatives 0, 1, and 6 would all increase the City population by between 3,000 and 4,400 new residents, a growth of 4 to 5 percent. Alternatives 3 and 5 would have the least affect on population increase, with both alternatives increasing the population from 1 to 2 percent. Since the RT alternatives are designed to increase housing opportuni ties in the Ci ty , adoption of any of the RT options would further increase the city population. Alternative 10 would generate a popUlation of 4095 an increase of 3696 persons over Alternative o. 2002 At 2002, under any of the proposed growth from the al ternati ves would alternatives, population not be greater than - 15 - approximately 2.1 percent. This would occur under Alternatives 4 and 6 with an increase of approximately 1,820 persons. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 would contribute to less than a .5 percent population increase while Alternative 2 would increase population by 1.36 percent. Taking the staff recommendation of Alternative 4, total population in the city could increase from 86,905 to 93,051 in the year 2002 (based on annual growth in areas outside the study area of 230 units per year plus the 969 units from Alternate 4). Assuming a best case scenario that all the property in the RT District develops within the next ten years, the population in the year 2002 could reach 96,890. This represents a 1.15 percent annual growth rate which is above the annual growth projection in the 1992 MEA (0.74%), and above the BeAG annual population projections for the Santa Monica region and Los Angeles County, 0 . 72 percent and o. 69 percent respectively. HOUSING Buildout The proposed alternatives would permit from 518 (Alternative 5) to 4,792 (Alternative 2) additional housing units in the city. This would be an increase of between 1 percent and 10 percent over the total number of existing housing uni ts in the ci ty . Table 4-49 identifies the potential new housing units by alternative. Alternative 2 and 4 would generate the greatest number of new units (4,792 and 4,5011 respectively), followed by Alternatives 0 (2,123) and 6 (2,328), Alternatives 1 (1,628) and 3 (994) and Alternative 5 (518). The RT options would further - 16 - increase housing units with Alternative 10 providing 2,178, Alternative 9 providing 1,568 units and Alternative 8 providing 1,307 units. The calculated employment generation for each alternative would add significantly to the total number of jobs currently available in the City. The number of jobs generated range from 71,483 under Alternative 0 to 10,520 under Alternative 6. It should be noted, however, that buildout under Alternative 0 would take approximately 100 years and that this alternative represents the greatest growth for the city. Employment generation under Alternative 10 would be much lower than under Alternative 0 for the RT area. Alternative 10 would generate approximately 490 employees, based on 10 percent of the area being dedicated to neighborhood serving commercial uses. Alternative 0 would provide approximately 2,841 jObs, based on the mix of commercial land uses. 2002 At the year 2002, Alternatives 4 and 6 would provide the largest increase in the housing stock, 969 and 9 71 units respectively. Alternative 2, which provide the largest number of new units at buildout, provides 630 units in 2002, less than Alternatives 4 and 6. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 provide between 212 and 218 units by 2002. Additional units would be gained through implementation of the RT alternatives. The staff recommendation could result in the addition of 3,011 new uni ts in the commercial districts by the year 2002 again - 17 - assuming the C5 area redevelops in the next ten years. In addition to the 3,011 units in the commercial districts, it is estimated that 2,300 units (230 units per year) could be developed in all the areas outside the study area. This results in the addition of 5,311 new units in the next ten years. This projection of 1.11 annual growth, is above the annual growth rate projected in the 1992 MEA (0.56%), and the SCAG annual projection of 1.09% for the Santa Monica region, and below the 1.28% annual growth rate projected for Los Angeles county by SCAG. with the implementation of the staff recommendation, a substantial improvement to the jobs housing balance would occur. The recommendation would facilitate the city in reaching a better jobs/housing balance by opening new areas not previously available for housing development. Implementation of Al ternati ves 0 through 6 could generate from 4,360 to 7,567 jobs. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 would generate over 7000 jobs each, while Alternatives 4 and 6 would each generate over 4300 jobs. Alternative 2 would create 5,520 job opportunities. PUBLIC UTILITIES Electricity Buildout Electrical consumption rises substantially for all the alternatives. Retail uses consume the greatest amount of electricity of all the uses proposed. In addition, consumption decreases progressively from Alternative 0 to Alternative 6. - 18 - Implementation of Alternative 10 would increase electrical consumption over Alternative 0 due to the increase in retail uses in the area. 2002 In the short term at 2002, electrical consumption under all the alternatives would only increase between 2.5 and 3 percent over existing levels. Implementation of Alternative 10 would reduce electrical consumption over Alternative 0 in this 10 year scenario because, in the short term, Alternative 0 generates more retail development (20,933 sq.ft.) than Alternative 1 (16,800 sq. ft. ) . Natural Gas Buildout Hotel and residential uses are the largest consumers of natural gas. As a result, Alternatives 2, 4, and 6, the housing intens1ve alternatives that usually have fewer impacts than Alternatives 1, 3, and 5, respectively, consume more natural gas. As shown in Table 4 -62, Al ternati ve 0 would have the greatest natural gas consumption. The implementation of Alternative 10 would further increase natural gas consumption. 2002 Natural gas consumption at 2002 would be fairly equal for all alternatives. Natural gas consumption would be increased by 20 percent if Alternative 10 was implemented instead of Alternative o. - 19 - Water Buildout All alternatives increase water consumption substantially. Again, as shown in Table 4-69, since hotel and residential uses are the highest water consumers Alternatives 2, 4, and 6 have a greater impact on water than Alternatives 1, 3, and 5, respectively. Alternative 0 consumes the most water. Implementation of Alternative 10 would double the amount of water consumed in the RT area over the level calculated for this area under Al ternati ve 0 due to the increase in residential uses. However, if the City continues the existing policies related to water conservation and consumption, this should not be a significant impact since the existing water conservation policies require a two times zero net increase. 2002 Water consumption at 2002 would represent an increase of approximately 2 percent over existing levels for all alternatives. Development of Alternative 10 would further l.ncrease water consumption in the RT area by 27 percent over Alternative o. Sewer Buildout Sewage generation would be highest for Alternative 0 and lowest for Alternative 5. Alternatives 0, 2, and 4 increase the daily sewage flow beyond the current permitted flow of 11 mgd. This does not account for sewage generated outside the EIR study area. Alternatives 3, 5, and 6 would not cause daily flow to exceed - 20 - this capacity, but would still substantially increase current flow. Sewage generation from Alternative 10 would represent a 92 percent increase over sewage generation in this area under .the Alternative 0 scenario. 2002 In comparison to the current level of sewage generation in the City, the 2002 calculations for each alternative would represent an approximate 2.5 to 3 percent increase. Sewage generation in the RT area under Alternative 10 would be increased by 22 percent from the sewage generated by Alternative 0 in this area. However, if the Ci ty continues the existing policies, such as retro-fitting and low consumption plumbing fixtures, this should not be a significant impact. storm Drainage Buildout Due to the urban nature of the City I significant increase in runoff to storm drains is not anticipated. Further, the recently adopted run off ordinance will reduce run off by 20% of what would otherwise have occurred, as each site recycles. 2002 At 2002 impacts would be similar in scope to those of full buildout. Impact are not anticipated to be significant. Solid Waste Buildout As shown on Table 4-81, solid waste generation would be highest for Alternative 0 and lowest for Alternative 6. Alternative 0 - 21 - would increase the total generation for the City by approximately 21 percent while Al ternati ve 6 would represent a 4 . 4 percent increase. Although Alternative 0 would be considered a significant increase, the city's transfer station would still be operating below capacity. However, the lack of new disposal sites in the Los Angeles area indicates that increases in solid waste generation would result in significant impacts. However, given that the buildout is between 24 and 100 years, new methods of disposal or sites are anticipated to occur. Alternative 10 would increase solid waste generation in the RT area by 17 percent over the level generated by Alternative 0 in this area. 2002 At 2002 the alternatives generate similar amounts of solid waste, representing an increase of no more than 2 percent over existing levels. In this short-term analysis, Alternative 10 would reduce solid waste generation in the RT area by 25 percent from the amount generated by Alternative 0 in this area. PUBLIC SERVICES Police Protection Buildout Based on a service ratio of 2.2 officers per 1,000 persons, each of the alternatives would generate a need for additional police staff. Alternatives 2 and 4, which represent the highest population increases, would require 19.8 and 18.5 new officers, respectively, to maintain current staffing levels. Alternative 5 would required the fewest new officers to maintain staffing, 2.1 officers. Implementation of Alternative 10 would require a need - 22 - for 6 additional officers over the need anticipated for Alternative 0 in this area. 2002 At 2002, additional police staffing needs would range from between 1 and 4 new officers. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 would require 1 new officer, Alternative 2 would required 2.6 officers, and Alternatives 4 and 6 would required 4 new officers. Alternative 10 would not require additional pOlice officers at this time. Fire Protection Buildout since the service ratio is based upon the number of dwelling units per alternative, the commercial intensive alternatives generate a smaller demand on Fire Department staffing than the alternatives that require residential development. Alternative 2 requires the largest amount of additional staff at 10 fire fighters; Alternative 4 would require 9 fire fighters. Alternative 6, with the lowest total development and a 40 percent residential requirement, and Alternative 0, existing zoning, both require an additional 5 fire fighters. Buildout of the RT area under Alternative 10 would require an additional 3 fire fighters over development of the area under Alternative o. 2002 At 2002, fire staffing additional fire fighters. needs would vary between .44 and 2 In the RT area, neither Alternative 10 - 23 - nor Alternative 0 would generate a need for more fire fighters at this time. Schools Buildout Alternatives 0, 1, 2, and 4 would all require additional space for over 1,000 students. Alternatives 3, 5, and 5 would generate 715, 367, and 715 students, respectively. Alternative 0, which provides for a higher amount of commercial and industrial uses in the RT area than Alternative 10, would generate a higher number of students. Buildout under Alternative 10 would generate 307 students while if the area was buildout under Alternative 0, 520 students would be generated. 2002 At 2002, student increases would range from 152 to 225 students. Alternatives 4 and 6, the housing intensive alternatives, would generate 224 and 225 students, respectively. Alternatives 0, 1, 3, and 5 would generate the fewest students, between 152 and 155. Alternative 2 would generate 191 students. Implementation of Alternative 10 would generate 21 students; this area, under Alternative 0, would generate 9 students. These increases are not expected to impact the school system. Parks and Recreation Buildout Alternatives 2 and 4 would create the greatest need for park acreage, at an addi tional 22 .5 and 21. 3 acres, respect i vely . Alternatives 0 and 6 would require a similar amount of new park - 24 - space, 10 and 11 acres, respectively. Alternative 1 requires 7.8 acres and Alternative 3 requires 5 acres of additional park area. Alternative 5 would demand the smallest amount of additional park space, 2.5 acres. Alternative 10 would generate a demand for an additional 7 acres of park space, while Alternative 0 would only require .5 acres of park space for this area. However, since the RT area will involve the redevelopment of large parcels I the opportunity exists to create new park space in this neighborhood. 2002 At 2002, the park space requirements for each alternative would range from 1 to 4. 5 acres. Al ternati ves 0 I 1, 3 , and 5 would require 1 acre each; Alternative 2 would require 3 acres; Alternatives 4 and 6 would require 4.5 acres. Implementation of Alternative 10 would require 0.6 of park space while Alternative o would require only 0.01 additional park acres for this area. FISCAL Buildout All the development alternatives would result in a net beneficial impact to the City at buildout. Estimated net benefits at full buildout would range from a high of $34.52 million for Alternative 3 to a low of $4.35 million for Alternative 6. Net benefits were found to be fairly well distributed and do not appear to be directly related to the total amount of development allowed. Table 4-101 identifies the fiscal impacts at buildout for each alternative. Alternatives 3 and 4 both have a maximum potential buildout of approximately 11.7 million square feet. - 25 - However, Alternative 3 generates a net benefit of $34.52 million and Alternative 4 a net benefit of $8.3 million. 2002 As with the buildout scenario, the fiscal projections for the year 2002 indicate that all of the alternatives would produce net cumulative beneficial impacts to the city's revenues. However I in this short-term scenario, the revenues associated with each alternative vary by only $2.25 million and expenses for each alternative vary by only $1.57 million. 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